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Llaneros vs Toros de Aragua Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 10 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Postponed
Position#16
Record5-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#18
Record3-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game88.4
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez
Other2024
Meetings · Llaneros v Toros de Aragua
15 Apr 2025
LLAN80
TORO88
07 Apr 2025
LLAN75
TORO77
10 Jul 2024
LLAN v TORO
upcoming
31 May 2024
LLAN95
TORO90
14 May 2023
LLAN92
TORO88
11 Apr 2023
LLAN79
TORO59
15 Aug 2022
LLAN98
TORO60
14 Jul 2022
LLAN53
TORO50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
68avg 68
A04/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 68
H06/06
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 68
H11/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
83avg 68
H15/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
75-57
75
57
+18
77avg 68
H18/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
68-97
68
97
-29
55avg 68
A21/06
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
69-70
69
70
-1
61avg 68
A24/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 68
A27/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
70avg 68
A03/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
73-104
73
104
-31
60avg 68
A07/07
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
18-22
32-18
14-27
21-16
17-22
16-24
20-17
20-21
19-19
20-20
21-23
14-14
25-31
22-18
24-18
15-12
24-19
18-17
18-9
8-28
22-22
21-22
17-25
15-16
20-17
20-16
14-21
26-24
17-22
16-16
15-21
18-18
19-30
12-17
29-28
16-37
21-23
14-23
22-21
159.0Avg total
75.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.582.3158.8-5.823%
Season at home (9)79.178.8157.9+0.333%
Season away (13)74.784.7159.4-10.015%
Last 10 (10)75.483.6159.0-8.220%
Last 5 (5)72.489.4161.8-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.985.8160.8-10.95%
vs Similar (7)75.679.9155.4-4.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.879.5169.2+10.2100%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#16
L
90-95
90
95
-5
83avg 65
A31/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
56avg 65
H04/06
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 65
H08/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
76-97
76
97
-21
63avg 65
H11/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
63avg 65
A21/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 65
A24/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
69avg 65
A29/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
69-102
69
102
-33
64avg 65
A02/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
A04/07
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
58avg 65
A07/07
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-28
21-18
31-32
14-27
24-15
21-20
12-29
29-29
23-25
17-23
18-17
19-27
23-28
10-22
24-20
17-16
26-31
18-16
15-19
18-29
20-16
20-22
22-26
13-20
21-19
20-17
27-19
19-13
15-37
24-29
11-23
–
–
–
–
15-23
18-21
21-25
20-23
169.5Avg total
78.1Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.788.4165.1-11.714%
Season at home (8)79.187.6166.8-8.525%
Season away (14)75.388.9164.1-13.67%
Last 10 (10)78.191.4169.5-13.310%
Last 5 (5)76.291.0167.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.790.2166.8-13.58%
vs Similar (3)77.077.7154.7-0.767%
vs Weaker (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
LlanerosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A04/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H06/06
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H15/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H18/06
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A21/06
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A24/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A27/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A03/07
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A07/07
Superliga
80.4Avg total
36.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.180.8-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.939.578.5-0.645%-
Last 30 away (19)38.643.682.2-5.032%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.580.4-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.447.483.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.244.181.3-6.816%-
vs Similar (7)40.739.380.0+1.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.237.880.0+4.575%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A31/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/06
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H08/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H11/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/06
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A29/06
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A02/07
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A07/07
Superliga
85.9Avg total
39.1Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.845.283.0-7.414%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.745.785.5-6.09%-
Last 30 away (18)36.644.981.4-8.317%-
Last 10 (9)39.146.885.9-7.70%-
Last 5 (5)36.445.081.4-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.645.883.4-8.112%-
vs Similar (3)33.742.376.0-8.70%-
vs Weaker (1)53.040.093.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.4
52.0%
50.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.1
31.6%
32.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.913.1
59.8%
68.8%13.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.419.4
45.8%
50.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.2
31.4%
32.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.812.8
64.6%
68.8%12.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
LLLLLWWLLL
Toros de Aragua
LLLWLLLLLL
#16
League position
#18
-11.4
Net rating
-18.5
98.3
Offensive rating
101.5
109.7
Defensive rating
120.0
50.1%
Effective FG%
46.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.6%
3-point %
31.4%
63.4%
Assist %
57.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 101.5Defence109.7 · 120.0Shooting50.1% · 46.3%3-point %31.6% · 31.4%Ball care19.3% · 14.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 30.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Llaneros   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Llaneros wins
1
Toros de Aragua wins
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24ABroncos73-104
03/07/24AGladiadores78-93
27/06/24ATrotamundos74-83
24/06/24ABrillantes69-70
21/06/24APioneros68-97
18/06/24HFrontinos75-57
15/06/24HSpartans85-81
11/06/24HBrillantes80-83
06/06/24HPioneros74-79
04/06/24ATrotamundos78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24APioneros74-92
04/07/24ABroncos77-93
02/07/24ASpartans69-102
29/06/24AFrontinos81-75
24/06/24ATrotamundos80-93
21/06/24AGladiadores76-82
11/06/24HSpartans76-97
08/06/24HBroncos87-94
04/06/24HGladiadores71-91
31/05/24ALlaneros90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %23%33%15%
Points / game76.579.174.7
Allowed / game82.378.884.7
Point differential-5.8+0.3-10.0
Avg total158.8157.9159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%11%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)29% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLWLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22814
Win %14%25%7%
Points / game76.779.175.3
Allowed / game88.487.688.9
Point differential-11.7-8.5-13.6
Avg total165.1166.8164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2321291%87.376.5+10.7
2 Cocodrilos2318578%80.574.0+6.4
3 Guaiqueries2417771%76.871.3+5.5
4 Trotamundos2215768%84.079.6+4.4
5 Marinos2315865%78.272.1+6.0
6 Piratas de La Guaira2214864%76.071.3+4.7
7 Pioneros23131057%80.378.8+1.5
8 Broncos23131057%84.983.8+1.1
9 Spartans22121055%84.379.7+4.6
10 Heroes de Falcon24131154%75.773.8+2.0
11 Brillantes23121152%79.475.9+3.5
12 Gaiteros del Zulia22101245%74.778.8-4.1
13 Frontinos2481633%72.981.2-8.3
14 Panteras2471729%71.275.7-4.5
15 Centauros2361726%76.382.0-5.7
16 Llaneros2251723%76.582.3-5.8
17 Diablos2341917%74.184.6-10.5
18 Toros de Aragua2231914%76.788.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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