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Llaneros vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 80-88
23-22 21-22 16-17 20-27
Position#14
Record2-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#11
Record5-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game79.6
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez
Other2025
Meetings · Llaneros v Toros de Aragua
15 Apr 2025
LLAN80
TORO88
07 Apr 2025
LLAN75
TORO77
10 Jul 2024
LLAN v TORO
upcoming
31 May 2024
LLAN95
TORO90
14 May 2023
LLAN92
TORO88
11 Apr 2023
LLAN79
TORO59
15 Aug 2022
LLAN98
TORO60
14 Jul 2022
LLAN53
TORO50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#13
L
69-72
69
72
-3
59avg 64
H21/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
61avg 64
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
50-81
50
81
-31
43avg 64
A27/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
66-77
66
77
-11
55avg 64
A30/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
61avg 64
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 64
A03/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
75avg 64
H07/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 64
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
59-70
59
70
-11
42avg 64
A12/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 64
A13/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
18-14
16-20
23-15
13-19
19-21
20-20
15-21
11-15
17-18
14-29
8-19
18-24
18-22
17-11
13-20
20-16
16-22
15-14
20-17
25-26
14-23
24-13
22-19
20-20
22-18
17-18
16-21
24-24
19-26
23-23
16-16
14-14
14-17
13-16
18-23
15-19
14-15
15-24
21-17
146.1Avg total
68.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.075.3142.3-8.314%
Season at home (5)68.273.4141.6-5.20%
Season away (9)66.376.3142.7-10.022%
Last 10 (10)68.977.2146.1-8.320%
Last 5 (5)73.278.4151.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.481.5151.9-11.15%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.976.9148.8-5.030%
vs Weaker (1)95.090.0185.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#13
W
89-78 OT
89
78
+11
85avg 64
A23/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
72-76
72
76
-4
69avg 64
A24/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
64avg 64
H30/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
72avg 64
H01/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
85-75
85
75
+10
84avg 64
H02/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
56avg 64
A04/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
79avg 64
H05/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
77-75
77
75
+2
64avg 64
A07/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 64
H11/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
60-92
60
92
-32
50avg 64
H12/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
23-17
9-17
19-20
24-14
20-25
14-14
14-23
24-18
22-18
11-17
20-13
23-22
12-24
18-17
26-19
22-25
26-15
14-19
23-16
16-20
25-20
9-21
13-16
22-17
11-21
19-21
22-15
20-20
18-22
18-17
21-16
17-20
14-16
26-14
17-17
9-21
14-29
19-23
18-19
152.5Avg total
75.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.179.6152.7-6.636%
Season at home (7)74.976.1151.0-1.343%
Season away (7)71.383.1154.4-11.929%
Last 10 (10)75.676.9152.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)70.878.4149.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)74.687.3161.9-12.88%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.274.0153.2+5.280%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
LlanerosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#13
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A03/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A12/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A13/04
Superliga
73.9Avg total
34.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.541.376.8-5.817%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.739.377.0-1.733%-
Last 30 away (18)34.042.676.6-8.66%-
Last 10 (10)34.339.673.9-5.310%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.476.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.141.175.2-6.95%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.142.179.2-5.030%-
vs Weaker (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H01/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H02/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H05/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H11/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
23-50
23
50
-27
H12/04
Superliga
78.1Avg total
38.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.143.579.6-7.421%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.842.279.1-5.425%-
Last 30 away (17)35.544.479.9-8.818%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.078.1-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.241.274.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)35.144.779.8-9.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.837.878.6+3.060%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.218.6
43.1%
50.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.15.9
25.5%
32.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
67.2%14.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.4
47.8%
50.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.9
32.5%
32.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.813.7
65.9%
67.2%13.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
LLLLWWLLLL
Toros de Aragua
LWWLLWLWLW
#14
League position
#11
-11.1
Net rating
-3.9
88.1
Offensive rating
95.4
99.2
Defensive rating
99.3
41.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
20.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
25.5%
3-point %
32.5%
58.0%
Assist %
65.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.1 · 95.4Defence99.2 · 99.3Shooting41.4% · 48.1%3-point %25.5% · 32.5%Ball care20.7% · 20.4%Off. rebounds29.5% · 26.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Llaneros   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Llaneros wins
2
Toros de Aragua wins
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25ABrillantes65-75
12/04/25ABrillantes59-70
09/04/25HTrotamundos82-89
07/04/25HToros de Aragua75-77
03/04/25AFrontinos85-81
02/04/25AFrontinos71-69
30/03/25AToros de Aragua66-77
27/03/25AGaiteros del Zulia50-81
26/03/25AGaiteros del Zulia67-81
21/03/25HFrontinos69-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HGaiteros del Zulia60-92
11/04/25HGaiteros del Zulia74-67
07/04/25ALlaneros77-75
05/04/25HPioneros80-81 OT
04/04/25APioneros63-77
02/04/25HBrillantes85-75
01/04/25HBrillantes79-82
30/03/25HLlaneros77-66
24/03/25AFrontinos72-76
23/03/25AFrontinos89-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %14%0%22%
Points / game67.068.266.3
Allowed / game75.373.476.3
Point differential-8.3-5.2-10.0
Avg total142.3141.6142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game73.174.971.3
Allowed / game79.676.183.1
Point differential-6.6-1.3-11.9
Avg total152.7151.0154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gaiteros del Zulia1514193%84.466.8+17.6
2 Spartans1410471%81.474.7+6.6
3 Marinos149564%80.475.6+4.8
4 Brillantes148657%78.177.2+0.9
5 Trotamundos148657%78.178.9-0.9
6 Piratas de La Guaira116555%83.384.3-1.0
7 Pioneros137654%78.277.5+0.6
8 Gladiadores147750%85.785.7+0.0
9 Cocodrilos146843%75.677.9-2.2
10 Guaiqueries114736%75.577.1-1.5
11 Frontinos145936%70.274.9-4.6
12 Toros de Aragua145936%73.179.6-6.6
13 Panteras1441029%72.579.7-7.2
14 Llaneros1421214%67.075.3-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Llaneros2321162080
Toros de Aragua2222172788
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