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Llaneros vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-77
20-20 22-18 17-18 16-21
Position#14
Record2-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#11
Record3-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game80.1
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez
Other2025
Meetings · Llaneros v Toros de Aragua
15 Apr 2025
LLAN80
TORO88
07 Apr 2025
LLAN75
TORO77
10 Jul 2024
LLAN v TORO
upcoming
31 May 2024
LLAN95
TORO90
14 May 2023
LLAN92
TORO88
11 Apr 2023
LLAN79
TORO59
15 Aug 2022
LLAN98
TORO60
14 Jul 2022
LLAN53
TORO50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#2
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
64avg 64
A14/03
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 64
H16/03
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
59-76
59
76
-17
48avg 64
A18/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
40avg 64
H20/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
69-72
69
72
-3
59avg 64
H21/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
61avg 64
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
50-81
50
81
-31
43avg 64
A27/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
66-77
66
77
-11
55avg 64
A30/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
61avg 64
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 64
A03/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
19-12
13-17
15-11
9-18
17-22
23-13
16-22
13-15
12-28
17-17
17-16
13-16
19-18
7-15
11-5
12-23
18-14
16-20
23-15
13-19
19-21
20-20
15-21
11-15
17-18
14-29
8-19
18-24
18-22
17-11
13-20
20-16
16-22
15-14
20-17
25-26
14-23
24-13
22-19
140.0Avg total
65.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)65.774.3140.0-8.620%
Season at home (3)61.367.0128.3-5.70%
Season away (7)67.677.4145.0-9.929%
Last 10 (10)65.774.3140.0-8.620%
Last 5 (5)67.877.8145.6-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.782.4154.1-10.65%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.176.3147.4-5.230%
vs Weaker (1)95.090.0185.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
68-100
68
100
-32
59avg 65
A15/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
69-70
69
70
-1
63avg 65
H17/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 65
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
89-78 OT
89
78
+11
85avg 65
A23/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
72-76
72
76
-4
69avg 65
A24/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
64avg 65
H30/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
72avg 65
H01/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
85-75
85
75
+10
84avg 65
H02/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
56avg 65
A04/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
79avg 65
H05/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
14-28
27-20
15-30
11-6
17-18
19-17
22-29
12-16
18-18
11-25
25-24
19-16
23-17
9-17
19-20
24-14
20-25
14-14
14-23
24-18
22-18
11-17
20-13
23-22
12-24
18-17
26-19
22-25
26-15
14-19
23-16
16-20
25-20
9-21
13-16
22-17
11-21
19-21
22-15
153.6Avg total
74.8Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.880.1153.9-6.327%
Season at home (5)78.074.8152.8+3.240%
Season away (6)70.384.5154.8-14.217%
Last 10 (10)74.878.8153.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)76.876.2153.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)75.687.9163.4-12.38%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.673.4149.0+2.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
LlanerosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H16/03
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A18/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A03/04
Superliga
71.4Avg total
31.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.841.276.9-5.420%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.637.875.4-0.242%-
Last 30 away (18)34.643.477.9-8.86%-
Last 10 (10)31.939.571.4-7.60%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.275.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.741.275.9-6.511%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.841.478.2-4.630%-
vs Weaker (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A15/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H17/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H01/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H02/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/04
Superliga
Pioneros
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H05/04
Superliga
75.3Avg total
37.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.443.880.2-7.421%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.642.280.8-3.527%-
Last 30 away (18)35.044.879.8-9.817%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.075.3-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.080.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)36.044.980.9-9.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.438.677.0-0.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Llaneros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.218.1
42.9%
50.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.3
24.5%
32.7%15.9
🏀 Free throws20.313.6
67.0%
67.2%13.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.0
46.5%
50.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.1
32.6%
32.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
67.2%14.7
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
WWLLLLLLLL
Toros de Aragua
LLWLWLWLLL
#14
League position
#11
-11.8
Net rating
-9.4
86.1
Offensive rating
94.0
97.8
Defensive rating
103.5
40.8%
Effective FG%
47.4%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
20.6%
Turnover %
21.1%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
24.5%
3-point %
32.6%
55.6%
Assist %
70.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence86.1 · 94.0Defence97.8 · 103.5Shooting40.8% · 47.4%3-point %24.5% · 32.6%Ball care20.6% · 21.1%Off. rebounds28.1% · 26.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Llaneros   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Llaneros wins
2
Toros de Aragua wins
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25AFrontinos85-81
02/04/25AFrontinos71-69
30/03/25AToros de Aragua66-77
27/03/25AGaiteros del Zulia50-81
26/03/25AGaiteros del Zulia67-81
21/03/25HFrontinos69-72
20/03/25HFrontinos50-54
18/03/25APioneros59-76
16/03/25HPioneros65-75
14/03/25ATrotamundos75-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HPioneros80-81 OT
04/04/25APioneros63-77
02/04/25HBrillantes85-75
01/04/25HBrillantes79-82
30/03/25HLlaneros77-66
24/03/25AFrontinos72-76
23/03/25AFrontinos89-78 OT
19/03/25ATrotamundos66-83
17/03/25HTrotamundos69-70
15/03/25AGaiteros del Zulia68-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %20%0%29%
Points / game65.761.367.6
Allowed / game74.367.077.4
Point differential-8.6-5.7-9.9
Avg total140.0128.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%14%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL27%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game73.878.070.3
Allowed / game80.174.884.5
Point differential-6.3+3.2-14.2
Avg total153.9152.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %18%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gaiteros del Zulia10100100%86.368.1+18.2
2 Pioneros107370%80.576.1+4.4
3 Marinos128467%78.573.1+5.4
4 Spartans117464%80.175.7+4.4
5 Piratas de La Guaira95456%83.384.7-1.3
6 Frontinos105550%73.874.7-0.9
7 Trotamundos115645%78.582.5-3.9
8 Guaiqueries94544%76.976.7+0.2
9 Gladiadores104640%85.286.7-1.5
10 Brillantes104640%78.580.4-1.9
11 Cocodrilos104640%74.676.9-2.3
12 Panteras114736%70.876.7-5.9
13 Toros de Aragua113827%73.880.1-6.3
14 Llaneros102820%65.774.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Llaneros2022171675
Toros de Aragua2018182177
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