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Logan W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2014
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 71-77
16-18 15-18 16-21 24-20
Position#8
Record6-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#5
Record9-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game71.0
AustraliaNBL WRound 17
Women2013-14
Meetings · Logan W v Adelaide Lightning W
01 Feb 2014
LOGA71
ADEL77
05 Jan 2013
LOGA86
ADEL59
19 Oct 2012
LOGA62
ADEL72
27 Jan 2012
LOGA52
ADEL63
31 Jan 2011
LOGA85
ADEL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Logan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Logan WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H07/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
H08/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H15/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A04/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
L
62-95
62
95
-33
H10/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A17/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#5
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A18/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A24/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
13-19
21-21
13-15
22-23
16-26
22-25
11-21
26-16
17-30
20-14
25-17
26-15
10-31
13-15
23-7
15-23
14-26
22-24
24-20
26-13
17-14
14-16
12-22
12-27
18-23
17-25
15-20
15-19
16-17
12-16
20-22
19-30
14-13
19-21
16-24
17-17
18-14
10-25
12-15
149.4Avg total
68.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.879.8151.5-8.030%
Season at home (9)70.677.2147.8-6.733%
Season away (11)72.781.8154.5-9.127%
Last 10 (10)68.880.6149.4-11.830%
Last 5 (5)63.878.6142.4-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)69.483.0152.4-13.520%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)74.858.6133.4+16.2100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A30/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A01/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H22/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H04/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A11/01
NBL W
Logan W
#8
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H18/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A24/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H26/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
27-24
4-24
17-13
26-25
11-20
16-22
18-18
18-16
16-13
9-15
20-18
13-20
17-6
10-18
18-22
26-13
7-15
19-27
15-20
21-19
27-10
21-24
15-11
19-21
20-14
11-16
23-11
30-19
13-14
21-19
24-16
34-22
10-21
26-23
14-24
16-20
14-20
21-11
17-20
144.2Avg total
72.1Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.871.0143.7+1.845%
Season at home (11)75.567.5143.1+8.055%
Season away (9)69.375.1144.4-5.833%
Last 10 (10)72.172.1144.2+0.040%
Last 5 (5)79.471.0150.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.074.9146.9-2.929%
vs Similar (12)72.571.9144.4+0.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.766.8147.5+13.964%
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Logan WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Logan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H08/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A04/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H10/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A17/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A18/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A24/01
NBL W
76.8Avg total
34.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.041.177.1-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.839.373.1-5.529%-
Last 30 away (16)37.942.780.6-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)34.742.176.8-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.471.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.242.978.1-7.720%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)39.832.272.0+7.660%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A30/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H22/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H04/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/01
NBL W
Logan W
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H18/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H26/01
NBL W
73.1Avg total
38.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.174.5+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.232.771.9+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)37.440.177.4-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)38.234.973.1+3.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.076.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.336.075.3+3.386%-
vs Similar (12)34.836.971.7-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.735.477.1+6.464%-
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Logan W wins
6
Adelaide Lightning W wins
Logan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/14ABendigo W57-71
18/01/14AAdelaide Lightning W68-88
17/01/14AGeelong United W63-74
10/01/14HDandenong W62-95
04/01/14APerth Lynx W69-65
21/12/13ASydney W75-93
20/12/13ACanberra C. Acad. W72-68
15/12/13HCanberra C. Acad. W88-77
08/12/13HTownsville W71-95
07/12/13HTownsville W63-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/14HSydney W68-71
24/01/14ADandenong W84-90
18/01/14HLogan W88-68
11/01/14ACanberra C. Acad. W73-62
04/01/14HDandenong W84-64
22/12/13HTownsville W67-75
15/12/13HGeelong United W58-66
07/12/13ASydney W63-62
01/12/13AGeelong United W71-85
30/11/13ABendigo W65-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Logan W
NBL W 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game71.870.672.7
Allowed / game79.877.281.8
Point differential-8.0-6.7-9.1
Avg total151.5147.8154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%55%33%
Points / game72.875.569.3
Allowed / game71.067.575.1
Point differential+1.8+8.0-5.8
Avg total143.7143.1144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W2119290%76.962.7+14.2
2 Dandenong W2015575%84.273.3+10.8
3 Geelong United W2013765%67.765.2+2.5
4 Townsville W2012860%78.371.6+6.7
5 Adelaide Lightning W2091145%72.871.0+1.8
6 Canberra C. Acad. W2191243%76.677.9-1.3
7 Sydney W2181338%73.572.6+0.9
8 Logan W2061430%71.879.8-8.0
9 Perth Lynx W211205%55.382.2-26.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Logan W1615162471
Adelaide Lightning W1818212077
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