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Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 120-106
16-21 29-24 39-23 36-38
Position#7
Record39-24
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game114.8
vs
Position#10
Record40-24
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.6
Allowed / game114.5
USANBA· Crypto.com Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Los Angeles Lakers v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Apr 2027
LAL v MIN
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
LAL120
MIN106
24 Oct 2025
LAL128
MIN110
30 Apr 2025
LAL96
MIN103
22 Apr 2025
LAL94
MIN85
19 Apr 2025
LAL95
MIN117
27 Feb 2025
LAL111
MIN102
22 Oct 2024
LAL110
MIN103
07 Apr 2024
LAL117
MIN127
10 Mar 2024
LAL120
MIN109
11 Apr 2023
LAL108
MIN102
03 Mar 2023
LAL102
MIN110
02 Jan 2022
LAL108
MIN103
12 Nov 2021
LAL83
MIN107
16 Mar 2021
LAL137
MIN121
27 Dec 2020
LAL127
MIN91
12 Apr 2020
LAL v MIN
upcoming
08 Dec 2019
LAL142
MIN125
24 Jan 2019
LAL105
MIN120
07 Nov 2018
LAL114
MIN110
06 Apr 2018
LAL96
MIN113
25 Dec 2017
LAL104
MIN121
09 Apr 2017
LAL110
MIN109
24 Mar 2017
LAL130
MIN119
02 Feb 2016
LAL119
MIN115
28 Oct 2015
LAL111
MIN112
10 Apr 2015
LAL106
MIN98
28 Nov 2014
LAL119
MIN120
20 Dec 2013
LAL104
MIN91
10 Nov 2013
LAL90
MIN113
28 Feb 2013
LAL116
MIN94
16 Mar 2012
LAL97
MIN92
29 Feb 2012
LAL104
MIN85
18 Mar 2011
LAL106
MIN98
09 Nov 2010
LAL99
MIN94
19 Mar 2010
LAL104
MIN96
11 Dec 2009
LAL104
MIN92
06 Mar 2009
LAL110
MIN90
14 Dec 2008
LAL98
MIN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Los Angeles Lakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Los Angeles LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLakers
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
125-122
125
122
+3
119avg 105
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
89-111
89
111
-22
71avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
109-110
109
110
-1
100avg 105
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
110-113
110
113
-3
105avg 105
A27/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
129-101
129
101
+28
127avg 105
A01/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
128-104
128
104
+24
121avg 105
H02/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
110-101
110
101
+9
110avg 105
H04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
113-120
113
120
-7
105avg 105
A06/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
128-117
128
117
+11
125avg 105
H07/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
110-97
110
97
+13
100avg 105
H08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-30
31-35
27-30
26-27
28-28
22-32
21-24
18-27
33-25
23-28
24-26
29-31
27-22
22-27
31-31
30-33
33-20
32-27
34-25
30-29
36-18
28-31
32-27
32-28
31-33
23-18
22-27
34-23
22-32
32-32
32-29
27-27
35-27
29-24
35-29
29-37
31-23
23-26
34-20
22-28
224.7Avg total
115.1Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)115.8114.8230.6+1.162%
Season at home (31)117.6114.9232.6+2.765%
Season away (32)114.1114.6228.7-0.559%
Last 10 (10)115.1109.6224.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)117.8107.8225.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.3113.7215.0-12.317%
vs Similar ◀ (14)115.1114.6229.7+0.650%
vs Weaker (10)121.5110.3231.8+11.280%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
138-116
138
116
+22
138avg 110
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
133-109
133
109
+24
127avg 110
H12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
122-111
122
111
+11
115avg 110
H21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
108-135
108
135
-27
104avg 110
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
124-121
124
121
+3
118avg 110
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 110
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
117-108
117
108
+9
116avg 110
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-110
117
110
+7
111avg 110
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
115-107
115
107
+8
110avg 110
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
92-119
92
119
-27
72avg 110
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-34
40-22
25-31
32-29
32-26
29-25
35-31
37-27
40-25
29-32
27-31
26-23
26-35
32-33
20-26
30-41
33-27
29-32
34-35
28-27
29-27
15-11
19-30
31-20
22-31
36-19
32-32
27-26
23-32
34-30
32-20
28-28
31-27
24-27
35-22
25-31
30-27
20-33
28-30
14-29
228.4Avg total
116.0Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)118.6114.5233.1+4.262%
Season at home (34)114.8110.8225.6+4.065%
Season away (30)123.0118.6241.6+4.460%
Last 10 (10)116.0112.4228.4+3.680%
Last 5 (5)107.0106.4213.4+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)116.7113.3230.0+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (17)115.0113.2228.2+1.865%
vs Weaker (10)124.8116.4241.2+8.460%
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
Los Angeles LakersMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Los Angeles LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H22/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A27/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A01/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H02/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A06/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H07/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H08/03
NBA
112.0Avg total
58.2Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.257.1115.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.958.2116.1-0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)58.655.7114.4+2.943%-
Last 10 (10)58.253.8112.0+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)58.052.8110.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.760.0112.7-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)57.158.6115.6-1.536%-
vs Weaker (10)63.253.2116.4+10.080%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H07/03
NBA
115.0Avg total
59.5Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.6114.1+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.255.6113.8+2.756%-
Last 30 away (14)58.955.6114.5+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)59.555.5115.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)52.852.8105.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.758.0107.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.054.9111.9+2.165%-
vs Weaker (10)63.856.0119.8+7.870%-
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Los Angeles Lakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Los Angeles Lakers: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.227.6
55.0%
54.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.813.9
39.9%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws23.318.2
78.1%
78.1%18.2
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.229.5
58.8%
54.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.7
36.0%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws25.618.9
73.8%
78.1%18.9
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Los Angeles Lakers
WWLWWWLLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLWWW
#7
League position
#10
+5.5
Net rating
+3.5
116.1
Offensive rating
112.9
110.6
Defensive rating
109.3
57.0%
Effective FG%
56.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
12.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.9%
3-point %
36.0%
62.7%
Assist %
60.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 112.9Defence110.6 · 109.3Shooting57.0% · 56.8%3-point %39.9% · 36.0%Ball care12.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds20.2% · 23.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Los Angeles Lakers   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HNew York Knicks110-97
07/03/26HIndiana Pacers128-117
06/03/26ADenver Nuggets113-120
04/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans110-101
02/03/26HSacramento Kings128-104
01/03/26AGolden State Warriors129-101
27/02/26APhoenix Suns110-113
25/02/26HOrlando Magic109-110
22/02/26HBoston Celtics89-111
21/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers125-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HOrlando Magic92-119
06/03/26HToronto Raptors115-107
04/03/26HMemphis Grizzlies117-110
01/03/26ADenver Nuggets117-108
27/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers94-88
25/02/26APortland Trail Blazers124-121
23/02/26HPhiladelphia 76ers108-135
21/02/26HDallas Mavericks122-111
12/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers133-109
10/02/26HAtlanta Hawks138-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayLWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %62%65%59%
Points / game115.8117.6114.1
Allowed / game114.8114.9114.6
Point differential+1.1+2.7-0.5
Avg total230.6232.6228.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)60% (5)86% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643430
Win %62%65%60%
Points / game118.6114.8123.0
Allowed / game114.5110.8118.6
Point differential+4.2+4.0+4.4
Avg total233.1225.6241.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%38%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)60% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder64501478%118.6108.1+10.5
2 San Antonio Spurs63461773%118.6111.5+7.1
3 Detroit Pistons64461872%117.0109.6+7.4
4 Boston Celtics65432266%114.5107.2+7.3
5 Houston Rockets64402462%114.6109.7+4.9
6 Minnesota Timberwolves64402462%118.6114.5+4.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers63392462%115.8114.8+1.1
8 Cleveland Cavaliers65402562%118.7114.6+4.2
9 New York Knicks64392561%116.7110.9+5.8
10 Denver Nuggets65392660%120.3116.6+3.6
11 Phoenix Suns64382659%112.7110.6+2.1
12 Toronto Raptors63362757%113.7111.7+2.0
13 Miami Heat65372857%120.8116.7+4.1
14 Orlando Magic61342756%115.0113.4+1.6
15 Philadelphia 76ers65353054%115.9116.3-0.3
16 Atlanta Hawks65343152%117.8117.2+0.6
17 Charlotte Hornets66333350%115.7112.3+3.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers64323250%112.8112.3+0.5
19 Golden State Warriors65323349%115.2114.2+1.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers66313547%115.1117.8-2.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks64273742%111.1116.0-4.9
22 Chicago Bulls65273842%115.6119.9-4.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies64234136%115.9118.3-2.4
24 Dallas Mavericks65214432%113.0117.8-4.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans66214532%115.5120.2-4.7
26 Utah Jazz65204531%117.4124.9-7.5
27 Brooklyn Nets65174826%107.0115.9-8.9
28 Washington Wizards64164825%112.6123.7-11.1
29 Sacramento Kings66165024%110.7120.9-10.3
30 Indiana Pacers65155023%111.4119.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Los Angeles Lakers16293936120
Minnesota Timberwolves21242338106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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