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Louisville vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-83
34-45 35-38
Position#348
Record6-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#32
Record13-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Louisville v Duke
06 Jan 2026
LOUI73
DUKE84
08 Dec 2024
LOUI65
DUKE76
23 Jan 2024
LOUI69
DUKE83
29 Jan 2022
LOUI65
DUKE74
10 Mar 2021
LOUI56
DUKE70
23 Jan 2021
LOUI70
DUKE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#367
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H17/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
76-95
76
95
-19
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A11/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-38
46-37
31-29
32-46
39-25
46-38
33-53
43-42
22-37
31-40
34-40
36-43
37-41
43-30
35-44
48-45
29-46
41-40
33-48
32-42
151.7Avg total
71.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.177.8150.9-4.733%
Season at home (12)76.077.2153.2-1.242%
Season away (6)67.379.0146.3-11.717%
Last 10 (10)71.380.4151.7-9.120%
Last 5 (5)73.683.8157.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.079.0149.0-9.019%
vs Similar (2)81.576.0157.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H09/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H13/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H03/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-35
37-37
45-27
35-29
44-39
45-29
34-32
44-38
46-33
60-36
35-33
51-33
29-27
38-32
48-23
27-30
39-39
45-40
34-38
42-42
148.1Avg total
80.9Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.666.9148.5+14.876%
Season at home (12)85.867.3153.1+18.483%
Season away (5)71.865.8137.6+6.060%
Last 10 (10)80.967.2148.1+13.780%
Last 5 (5)77.667.4145.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (8)72.865.5138.2+7.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.266.5146.7+13.880%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.6-8.61st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +7.8+7.8
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.6-8.61st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +7.8+7.8
LouisvilleDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#367
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
31.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.137.668.7-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.335.267.5-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)29.640.770.3-11.115%-
Last 10 (10)31.540.171.6-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.877.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.938.970.8-7.023%-
vs Similar (2)25.028.553.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
38.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.230.366.5+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.131.670.6+7.578%-
Last 30 away (12)31.928.460.3+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.532.671.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.069.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (8)34.429.964.2+4.588%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.531.068.5+6.570%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Louisville wins
3
Duke wins
DateGameScore
21/02/23Duke v Louisville79-62
29/01/22Louisville v Duke65-74
10/03/21Louisville v Duke56-70
27/02/21Duke v Louisville73-80 OT
23/01/21Louisville v Duke70-65
18/01/20Duke v Louisville73-79
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AWake Forest65-90
18/01/24ANorth Carolina70-86
13/01/24HNC State83-89
11/01/24AMiami (FL)80-71
06/01/24HPittsburgh70-83
04/01/24AVirginia53-77
21/12/23HKentucky76-95
17/12/23HPepperdine85-63
14/12/23HArkansas State63-75
09/12/23ADePaul68-75
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HPittsburgh76-80
13/01/24HGeorgia Tech84-79
10/01/24APittsburgh75-53
06/01/24ANotre Dame67-59
03/01/24HSyracuse86-66
30/12/23HQueens Royals106-69
21/12/23HBaylor78-70
13/12/23HHofstra89-68
09/12/23HCharlotte80-56
02/12/23AGeorgia Tech68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %33%42%17%
Points / game73.176.067.3
Allowed / game77.877.279.0
Point differential-4.7-1.2-11.7
Avg total150.9153.2146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%8%0%
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %76%83%60%
Points / game81.685.871.8
Allowed / game66.967.365.8
Point differential+14.8+18.4+6.0
Avg total148.5153.1137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1916384%83.569.1+14.5
2 Duke1713476%81.666.9+14.8
3 SMU Mustangs1813572%76.362.4+13.9
4 Clemson1813572%80.773.1+7.7
5 Virginia1813572%65.558.2+7.3
6 NC State1813572%77.370.2+7.1
7 Syracuse1813572%75.771.7+4.0
8 Wake Forest1913668%80.270.6+9.6
9 Miami (FL)1912763%81.472.8+8.6
10 Pittsburgh1811761%76.566.8+9.7
11 Virginia Tech1811761%73.768.1+5.6
12 Boston College1811761%77.373.0+4.3
13 Florida State1811761%76.673.5+3.1
14 Stanford1810856%79.376.4+2.8
15 Georgia Tech189950%73.675.2-1.7
16 Notre Dame1871139%62.865.1-2.3
17 California1971237%75.676.6-0.9
18 Louisville1861233%73.177.8-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville343569
Duke453883
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