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Louisville vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-81
45-31 44-50
Position#26
Record20-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#177
Record16-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Louisville v Florida State
22 Feb 2025
LOUI89
FLOR81
03 Feb 2024
LOUI101
FLOR92
04 Feb 2023
LOUI78
FLOR81
18 Jan 2021
LOUI65
FLOR78
04 Jan 2020
LOUI65
FLOR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
98-73
98
73
+25
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-34
47-44
43-27
42-34
39-28
42-39
50-27
48-46
45-21
27-38
38-27
32-50
41-31
43-27
46-38
42-40
41-27
50-39
35-28
40-32
150.3Avg total
82.6Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.569.0148.5+10.577%
Season at home (14)76.469.3145.6+7.171%
Season away (12)83.268.6151.8+14.683%
Last 10 (10)82.667.7150.3+14.990%
Last 5 (5)81.667.8149.4+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.279.8150.0-9.60%
vs Similar (8)77.075.2152.2+1.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.565.6147.1+15.988%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H18/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H30/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-23
54-47
37-24
54-54
33-37
35-40
25-33
46-45
15-35
51-41
41-36
35-41
29-28
38-32
21-35
51-35
19-36
27-36
31-31
43-35
143.7Avg total
71.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.370.7146.0+4.562%
Season at home (15)76.169.2145.3+6.973%
Season away (11)74.172.8146.9+1.345%
Last 10 (10)71.372.4143.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)67.069.0136.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.981.4149.3-13.614%
vs Similar (15)76.771.6148.3+5.173%
vs Weaker (8)80.165.8145.9+14.475%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.5+12.51st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +2.8+2.8
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.5+12.51st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +2.8+2.8
LouisvilleFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
41.3Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.532.870.3+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.933.870.7+3.159%-
Last 30 away (13)38.331.569.8+6.885%-
Last 10 (10)41.328.870.1+12.5100%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.270.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.641.476.0-6.840%-
vs Similar (8)37.035.072.0+2.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.629.367.9+9.382%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H18/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
15-35
15
35
-20
H30/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/02
NCAA
59.7Avg total
27.9Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.331.965.2+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.630.764.3+2.969%-
Last 30 away (14)32.933.366.1-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)27.931.859.7-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)28.233.261.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.338.169.4-6.914%-
vs Similar (15)33.229.963.1+3.367%-
vs Weaker (8)35.130.265.4+4.975%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Louisville wins
6
Florida State wins
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/25ANotre Dame75-60
13/02/25ANC State91-66
08/02/25HMiami (FL)88-78
06/02/25ABoston College84-58
01/02/25AGeorgia Tech70-77
29/01/25HWake Forest72-59
22/01/25ASMU Mustangs98-73
18/01/25HVirginia81-67
15/01/25ASyracuse85-61
11/01/25APittsburgh82-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HMiami (FL)74-66
15/02/25HClemson46-72
13/02/25AWake Forest72-70
05/02/25HNotre Dame67-60
01/02/25ABoston College76-77
30/01/25HVirginia Tech66-76
26/01/25AStanford71-78
23/01/25ACalifornia68-77
18/01/25HGeorgia Tech91-78
16/01/25HPittsburgh82-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game79.576.483.2
Allowed / game69.069.368.6
Point differential+10.5+7.1+14.6
Avg total148.5145.6151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Florida State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWLWLW73%
AwayLLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %62%73%45%
Points / game75.376.174.1
Allowed / game70.769.272.8
Point differential+4.5+6.9+1.3
Avg total146.0145.3146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2623388%81.060.8+20.2
2 Clemson2621581%77.466.4+11.0
3 SMU Mustangs2620677%82.771.4+11.3
4 Louisville2620677%79.569.0+10.5
5 Wake Forest2619773%70.666.7+3.9
6 Pittsburgh26161062%77.371.0+6.3
7 Florida State26161062%75.370.7+4.5
8 Stanford26161062%74.671.8+2.7
9 North Carolina27161159%80.976.7+4.2
10 Georgia Tech26131350%74.673.5+1.1
11 Virginia26131350%64.565.5-1.0
12 California26121446%74.775.7-1.0
13 Notre Dame26111542%73.271.9+1.3
14 Virginia Tech26111542%68.771.9-3.2
15 Boston College26111542%71.075.5-4.5
16 Syracuse27111641%74.778.6-3.9
17 NC State26101638%69.569.7-0.2
18 Miami (FL)2662023%74.979.7-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville454489
Florida State315081
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