PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chemnitz vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 111-88
31-22 23-12 19-26 38-28
Position#11
Record2-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game86.0
GermanyBBLRound 4· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg
31 Oct 2026
CHE94
LUD78
10 Oct 2025
CHE111
LUD88
01 May 2025
CHE104
LUD100
06 Jan 2024
CHE85
LUD66
08 Jan 2023
CHE89
LUD80
12 Feb 2022
CHE74
LUD56
22 Dec 2020
CHE91
LUD114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
L
94-104
94
104
-10
86avg 75
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
90-93
90
93
-3
74avg 75
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 75
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
97-88
97
88
+9
96avg 75
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
64-92
64
92
-28
48avg 75
A27/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
67avg 75
A28/09
BBL
Panionios
#19
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
79avg 75
A01/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
W
102-78
102
78
+24
101avg 75
H03/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 75
A05/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#16
W
86-67
86
67
+19
87avg 75
H08/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
30-27
22-20
21-23
20-29
24-17
24-27
22-20
15-19
18-17
18-20
19-18
23-21
36-19
14-24
24-24
23-26
18-22
7-19
16-25
27-27
11-15
26-26
17-26
13-30
32-19
21-8
11-20
22-28
20-16
32-17
28-17
21-16
20-19
26-29
23-19
28-17
25-12
18-17
15-21
172.2Avg total
86.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.085.0176.0+6.067%
Season at home (1)102.078.0180.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)85.588.5174.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)86.086.2172.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)89.082.2171.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.395.6180.9-10.222%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.685.9170.5-1.353%
vs Weaker (6)85.276.7161.8+8.583%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
43avg 65
H13/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
79-74
79
74
+5
68avg 65
A19/04
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
89-78
89
78
+11
72avg 65
H26/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
82avg 65
A01/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
75-73
75
73
+2
60avg 65
A03/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
85-76
85
76
+9
73avg 65
H07/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
72-73
72
73
-1
63avg 65
A11/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
91avg 65
A24/09
German Cup
Frankfurt
#15
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 65
A03/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 65
H05/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
7-29
18-14
21-17
22-16
19-25
14-13
24-20
27-25
27-19
20-23
15-11
21-19
25-13
25-26
19-32
18-14
17-17
23-22
17-20
9-12
19-26
27-16
30-22
25-12
26-21
12-15
9-25
19-21
20-19
20-19
24-24
33-18
18-21
29-21
18-28
22-23
26-21
13-12
18-28
166.6Avg total
84.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.586.0174.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Season away (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.182.5166.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)87.083.4170.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.072.0154.0+10.050%
vs Similar ◀ (20)76.477.7154.1-1.245%
vs Weaker (7)83.073.3156.3+9.771%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
ChemnitzLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/09
BBL
Panionios
#19
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A01/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A05/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#16
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H08/10
Eurocup
87.7Avg total
44.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.085.0-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.141.484.5+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)41.144.485.5-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.087.7+1.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.883.6+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.646.184.7-7.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.343.386.6-0.153%-
vs Weaker (6)44.337.381.7+7.050%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H13/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/04
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H26/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A01/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H07/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A11/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A24/09
German Cup
Frankfurt
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A03/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H05/10
BBL
80.7Avg total
41.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.476.1+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.537.276.8+2.354%-
Last 30 away (17)38.137.575.5+0.641%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.080.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.882.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.030.576.5+15.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)37.539.176.7-1.640%-
vs Weaker (7)40.033.973.9+6.157%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.3
57.6%
53.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.0
33.4%
34.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.116.2
76.8%
73.5%16.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.9
48.8%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.6
30.3%
34.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws27.617.5
63.4%
73.5%17.5
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWLLLWLLL
Ludwigsburg
LWWLWWLWWL
#11
League position
#9
-0.8
Net rating
+2.1
108.2
Offensive rating
107.2
109.0
Defensive rating
105.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
47.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
20.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.4%
3-point %
30.3%
57.7%
Assist %
53.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 107.2Defence109.0 · 105.2Shooting54.1% · 47.4%3-point %33.4% · 30.3%Ball care20.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.6% · 36.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Chemnitz wins
5
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
01/05/25Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg104-100 OT
15/12/24Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz69-65
27/04/24Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-93
06/01/24Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg85-66
05/05/23Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz86-79
08/01/23Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg89-80
12/02/22Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg74-56
05/11/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz74-76
09/03/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-60
22/12/20Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg91-114
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25HLietkabelis86-67
05/10/25AHeidelberg90-83
03/10/25HHamburg102-78
01/10/25APanionios86-89 OT
28/09/25AUlm81-94
27/05/25AHeidelberg64-92
25/05/25HHeidelberg97-88
20/05/25AHeidelberg70-74
17/05/25HHeidelberg90-93
11/05/25AOldenburg94-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HWurzburg79-84
03/10/25AFrankfurt98-88
24/09/25AFrankfurt101-96 OT
11/05/25ABayern72-73
07/05/25HSyntainics MBC85-76
03/05/25ABamberg75-73
01/05/25AChemnitz100-104 OT
26/04/25HHamburg89-78
19/04/25AGottingen79-74
13/04/25HAlba Berlin63-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game91.0102.085.5
Allowed / game85.078.088.5
Point differential+6.0+24.0-3.0
Avg total176.0180.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game88.579.098.0
Allowed / game86.084.088.0
Point differential+2.5-5.0+10.0
Avg total174.5163.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern220100%94.578.0+16.5
2 Syntainics MBC330100%91.081.7+9.3
3 Wurzburg330100%82.773.3+9.3
4 Ulm330100%91.382.3+9.0
5 Trier330100%92.385.7+6.7
6 Frankfurt32167%90.782.0+8.7
7 Chemnitz32167%91.085.0+6.0
8 Bamberg21150%92.583.5+9.0
9 Alba Berlin21150%94.587.5+7.0
10 Ludwigsburg21150%88.586.0+2.5
11 Vechta21150%84.586.0-1.5
12 Bonn31233%70.375.7-5.3
13 Jena31233%80.791.0-10.3
14 Heidelberg3030%80.787.7-7.0
15 Oldenburg3030%77.385.0-7.7
16 Rostock2020%79.087.5-8.5
17 Hamburg3030%80.797.0-16.3
18 Basketball Braunschweig3030%76.095.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz31231938111
Ludwigsburg2212262888
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.