PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lusitania vs Maia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.8
PortugalProligaRound 19· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lusitania v Maia
13 Feb 2027
LUSI v MAIA
upcoming
31 Oct 2025
LUSI69
MAIA65
25 Jan 2025
LUSI82
MAIA69
09 Dec 2023
LUSI76
MAIA82
03 Apr 2021
LUSI93
MAIA67
07 Dec 2019
LUSI87
MAIA90
22 Apr 2017
LUSI87
MAIA85
05 Nov 2016
LUSI89
MAIA86
09 Apr 2016
LUSI59
MAIA58
28 Nov 2015
LUSI75
MAIA63
17 Jan 2015
LUSI75
MAIA60
14 Dec 2013
LUSI67
MAIA53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 81
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 81
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 81
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 81
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 81
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 81
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 81
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 81
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 81
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
96avg 74
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 74
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
74avg 74
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 74
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
105-96
105
96
+9
67avg 74
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
44avg 74
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 74
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
85-95
85
95
-10
83avg 74
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
23-12
9-19
18-22
25-20
23-16
22-24
16-13
22-20
30-24
28-23
16-24
31-25
20-10
11-21
16-18
12-23
28-18
8-26
25-15
21-18
28-20
23-23
11-23
23-29
14-24
23-22
31-27
22-17
17-15
23-18
8-24
17-29
167.4Avg total
83.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.287.8171.0-4.750%
Season at home (3)96.791.3188.0+5.3100%
Season away (3)69.784.3154.0-14.70%
Last 10 (10)83.883.6167.4+0.270%
Last 5 (5)78.886.2165.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.381.3153.7-9.033%
vs Similar (9)84.781.9166.6+2.867%
vs Weaker (15)87.771.6159.3+16.173%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
LusitaniaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
41.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.878.7+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.479.9+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.377.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.780.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.537.574.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (9)41.239.881.0+1.467%-
vs Weaker (15)44.434.879.2+9.687%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
52.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.418.6
73.2%
67.3%18.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
Maia
LWLWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#10
+13.5
Net rating
+5.7
95.6
Offensive rating
91.8
82.1
Defensive rating
86.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.3%
3-point %
35.5%
67.2%
Assist %
63.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 91.8Defence82.1 · 86.2Shooting53.2% · 50.8%3-point %32.3% · 35.5%Ball care16.2% · 17.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Lusitania   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lusitania wins
5
Maia wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Maia v Lusitania82-77
27/12/25Maia v Lusitania85-81
31/10/25Lusitania v Maia69-65
16/03/25Maia v Lusitania93-86
25/01/25Lusitania v Maia82-69
09/12/23Lusitania v Maia76-82
03/04/21Lusitania v Maia93-67
03/01/21Maia v Lusitania65-76
07/12/19Lusitania v Maia87-90
22/04/17Lusitania v Maia87-85
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASangalhos65-86
07/11/26HVasco Da Gama103-101 OT
31/10/26ABarreirense85-95
24/10/26HLusitania82-77
17/10/26ASanto Andre59-72
03/10/26HGinasio Olhanense105-96
01/05/26AGinasio Olhanense83-73
25/04/26HCD Povoa75-73
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.296.769.7
Allowed / game87.891.384.3
Point differential-4.7+5.3-14.7
Avg total171.0188.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.