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Lusitania vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 69-65
20-14 15-17 17-15 17-19
Position#3
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#4
Record2-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game76.2
PortugalProligaRound 5· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lusitania v Maia
13 Feb 2027
LUSI v MAIA
upcoming
31 Oct 2025
LUSI69
MAIA65
25 Jan 2025
LUSI82
MAIA69
09 Dec 2023
LUSI76
MAIA82
03 Apr 2021
LUSI93
MAIA67
07 Dec 2019
LUSI87
MAIA90
22 Apr 2017
LUSI87
MAIA85
05 Nov 2016
LUSI89
MAIA86
09 Apr 2016
LUSI59
MAIA58
28 Nov 2015
LUSI75
MAIA63
17 Jan 2015
LUSI75
MAIA60
14 Dec 2013
LUSI67
MAIA53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 75
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
74-70
74
70
+4
60avg 75
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
91avg 75
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
103-84
103
84
+19
100avg 75
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 75
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 75
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 75
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
46avg 75
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
64avg 75
H25/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-8
22-25
25-14
20-24
15-16
23-13
17-21
19-20
25-26
22-23
28-12
19-21
26-25
24-15
34-15
19-29
19-20
16-23
24-15
26-15
30-30
21-25
28-17
16-20
16-20
26-8
11-23
21-29
27-17
16-25
18-18
13-21
18-16
9-28
20-22
16-15
20-16
15-12
10-13
21-15
158.3Avg total
81.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.274.5143.8-5.225%
Season at home (2)70.068.5138.5+1.550%
Season away (2)68.580.5149.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)81.377.0158.3+4.370%
Last 5 (5)74.478.0152.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.680.3150.9-9.720%
vs Weaker (20)85.577.5163.1+8.070%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 66
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
71avg 66
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
64-60
64
60
+4
53avg 66
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 66
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 66
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
61avg 66
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
64avg 66
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
48avg 66
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 66
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 66
A25/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
18-13
24-26
13-18
18-16
23-16
10-19
20-20
19-18
9-13
19-21
17-8
25-16
14-28
21-17
18-12
21-17
10-18
28-18
29-21
22-21
13-17
18-17
23-17
18-21
21-22
26-25
16-19
15-22
11-29
23-17
20-23
22-15
23-13
21-16
22-16
23-16
15-20
22-17
19-14
152.0Avg total
78.4Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.276.2155.5+3.050%
Season at home (2)78.575.5154.0+3.050%
Season away (2)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)78.473.6152.0+4.880%
Last 5 (5)78.675.4154.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.381.3154.7-8.044%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.181.1160.3-2.053%
vs Weaker (6)77.866.5144.3+11.3100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
LusitaniaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H25/10
Proliga
79.9Avg total
40.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.378.9+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.178.6+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.579.1+2.260%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.179.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.479.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.737.971.6-4.230%-
vs Weaker (20)44.038.582.5+5.570%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/10
Proliga
72.7Avg total
36.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.676.2-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.575.1+0.060%-
Last 30 away (15)35.841.677.4-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.572.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.275.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.642.477.0-7.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.840.378.1-2.547%-
vs Weaker (6)37.033.370.3+3.767%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.1
50.7%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.1
34.2%
30.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.614.2
68.9%
67.4%14.2
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.9
49.4%
50.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.5
29.4%
30.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.9
74.1%
67.4%16.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WLLLWWWWWW
Maia
WWLLWWWWWW
#3
League position
#4
+7.1
Net rating
+7.1
108.0
Offensive rating
102.2
100.9
Defensive rating
95.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
47.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.2%
3-point %
29.4%
59.2%
Assist %
54.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 102.2Defence100.9 · 95.2Shooting50.9% · 47.1%3-point %34.2% · 29.4%Ball care19.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds34.9% · 31.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Lusitania   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lusitania wins
4
Maia wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Maia v Lusitania93-86
25/01/25Lusitania v Maia82-69
09/12/23Lusitania v Maia76-82
03/04/21Lusitania v Maia93-67
03/01/21Maia v Lusitania65-76
07/12/19Lusitania v Maia87-90
22/04/17Lusitania v Maia87-85
18/03/17Maia v Lusitania88-77
21/01/17Maia v Lusitania82-89
05/11/16Lusitania v Maia89-86
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HAcademica66-56
19/10/25AIlliabum63-81
11/10/25HGinasio74-81
04/10/25ASampaense74-80
04/05/25AGinasio95-92
26/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-73
19/04/25ASampaense103-84
05/04/25HBarreirense94-82
30/03/25ASanto Andre74-70
23/03/25HGalitos Aveiro85-71
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ASampaense79-67
18/10/25HAcademica88-60
11/10/25HCD Povoa69-91
04/10/25AIlliabum81-87
04/05/25ABarreirense76-72
25/04/25HGinasio88-74
19/04/25ASanto Andre78-73
16/04/25HSanto Andre64-60
05/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B84-81 OT
29/03/25AGalitos Aveiro77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game69.270.068.5
Allowed / game74.568.580.5
Point differential-5.2+1.5-12.0
Avg total143.8138.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.278.580.0
Allowed / game76.275.577.0
Point differential+3.0+3.0+3.0
Avg total155.5154.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa440100%90.568.5+22.0
2 Illiabum440100%86.266.5+19.8
3 CAB Madeira440100%87.572.0+15.5
4 Portimonense440100%86.573.5+13.0
5 Benfica Lisboa B43175%77.567.2+10.2
6 Ginasio43175%76.569.5+7.0
7 Imortal B53260%79.680.0-0.4
8 Galomar42250%88.583.8+4.8
9 Maia42250%79.276.2+3.0
10 Sampaense42250%76.284.0-7.8
11 Lusitania41325%69.274.5-5.2
12 Ginasio Olhanense51420%77.883.4-5.6
13 Santo Andre4040%75.088.0-13.0
14 Sangalhos4040%65.282.5-17.2
15 Academica4040%57.278.8-21.5
16 CB Queluz4040%63.086.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2015171769
Maia1417151965
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