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Lusitania vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 83-98
17-22 21-22 21-21 24-33
Position#12
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game91.2
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
Oliveirense 🏆
Portugal
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game74.2
PortugalLPBRound 8· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lusitania v Oliveirense
16 Mar 2024
LUSI83
OLIV98
02 Apr 2023
LUSI71
OLIV72
07 Feb 2023
LUSI83
OLIV68
28 Oct 2021
LUSI81
OLIV74
19 Mar 2021
LUSI92
OLIV82
25 Jan 2020
LUSI80
OLIV69
27 Apr 2019
LUSI98
OLIV100
27 Jan 2019
LUSI57
OLIV77
19 May 2018
LUSI48
OLIV84
08 Oct 2017
LUSI77
OLIV83
26 Nov 2016
LUSI68
OLIV78
19 Dec 2015
LUSI84
OLIV76
15 Nov 2014
LUSI59
OLIV57
29 Mar 2014
LUSI80
OLIV71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
89-83
89
83
+6
81avg 59
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 59
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
74avg 59
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
70-93
70
93
-23
46avg 59
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
62-91
62
91
-29
45avg 59
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 59
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 59
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
68-102
68
102
-34
56avg 59
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
87-99
87
99
-12
74avg 59
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
70-95
70
95
-25
57avg 59
H14/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
32-14
21-25
20-23
23-18
17-27
16-21
17-20
22-19
15-29
17-27
25-25
20-13
17-24
14-26
19-30
15-21
8-18
14-30
25-22
8-31
18-13
23-32
21-23
11-24
25-17
19-21
24-24
15-30
21-16
19-23
13-33
23-25
26-24
13-28
25-22
21-22
15-23
16-27
18-23
168.1Avg total
74.7Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.491.2164.6-17.86%
Season at home (7)74.091.1165.1-17.114%
Season away (9)73.091.2164.2-18.20%
Last 10 (10)74.793.4168.1-18.710%
Last 5 (5)74.896.2171.0-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.591.5165.0-17.97%
vs Similar (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
55-77
55
77
-22
42avg 75
H07/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 75
A17/01
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
91-73
91
73
+18
93avg 75
H20/01
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 75
A27/01
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 75
H03/02
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 75
H10/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
74-55
74
55
+19
70avg 75
A01/03
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 75
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
54avg 75
H09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
9-22
16-22
13-16
25-22
14-19
16-16
17-17
20-8
23-20
25-18
23-27
17-27
21-12
16-16
24-14
23-25
30-22
15-19
22-20
25-15
13-25
23-13
19-20
19-19
16-25
20-22
21-10
16-10
22-15
22-9
14-21
25-9
16-13
23-18
15-24
18-21
14-20
17-16
24-19
150.8Avg total
77.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.774.2152.9+4.469%
Season at home (9)82.179.3161.4+2.867%
Season away (7)74.367.7142.0+6.671%
Last 10 (10)77.873.0150.8+4.870%
Last 5 (5)78.470.2148.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.283.0161.2-4.850%
vs Similar (4)77.281.5158.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.468.1147.5+11.388%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -8.8-8.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -8.8-8.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
LusitaniaOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/03
LPB
79.7Avg total
36.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.443.480.8-5.920%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.542.682.1-3.238%-
Last 30 away (17)35.943.979.8-8.16%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.979.7-6.110%-
Last 5 (5)36.645.081.6-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.944.282.0-6.318%-
vs Similar (1)27.030.057.0-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H07/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/01
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/01
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/01
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H03/02
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A01/03
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/03
LPB
74.9Avg total
38.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.376.6+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.579.9+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)37.136.173.2+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.674.9+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.471.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.843.683.4-3.938%-
vs Similar (4)36.042.878.8-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.633.574.1+7.165%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.3
48.2%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.8
30.1%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
69.3%11.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.2
50.7%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.0
33.8%
33.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
69.3%14.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLLW
Oliveirense
LWWWWWWWLL
#12
League position
#3
-24.7
Net rating
+3.9
94.2
Offensive rating
102.3
118.8
Defensive rating
98.4
47.0%
Effective FG%
50.6%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
22.0%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.1%
3-point %
33.8%
54.6%
Assist %
54.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 102.3Defence118.8 · 98.4Shooting47.0% · 50.6%3-point %30.1% · 33.8%Ball care18.8% · 22.0%Off. rebounds24.4% · 32.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Lusitania   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lusitania wins
5
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Lusitania v Oliveirense71-72
05/03/23Oliveirense v Lusitania73-69
07/02/23Lusitania v Oliveirense83-68
08/10/22Oliveirense v Lusitania96-78
13/01/22Oliveirense v Lusitania88-73
28/10/21Lusitania v Oliveirense81-74
19/03/21Lusitania v Oliveirense92-82
07/02/21Oliveirense v Lusitania102-95
13/12/20Oliveirense v Lusitania84-90
25/01/20Lusitania v Oliveirense80-69
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HSporting CP70-95
09/03/24ACD Povoa87-99
02/03/24HVitoria68-102
14/02/24APortimonense79-86
03/02/24AOvarense70-99
27/01/24AImortal62-91
20/01/24HGalomar70-93
06/01/24AImortal79-100
22/12/23AFC Porto73-86
16/12/23HEsgueira89-83
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HOvarense73-76
03/03/24AGalomar79-64
01/03/24AGalomar74-55
14/02/24HCD Povoa86-83 OT
10/02/24HImortal80-73
03/02/24HFC Porto90-86
27/01/24AEsgueira78-69
20/01/24HEsgueira91-73
17/01/24AFC Porto72-74
07/01/24HBenfica55-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %6%14%0%
Points / game73.474.073.0
Allowed / game91.291.191.2
Point differential-17.8-17.1-18.2
Avg total164.6165.1164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game78.782.174.3
Allowed / game74.279.367.7
Point differential+4.4+2.8+6.6
Avg total152.9161.4142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%22%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1714382%87.374.0+13.3
2 Benfica1713476%88.268.8+19.5
3 Sporting CP1713476%92.479.8+12.6
4 Oliveirense1611569%78.774.2+4.4
5 Ovarense1711665%79.978.1+1.8
6 CD Povoa179853%82.884.6-1.8
7 Vitoria178947%80.880.2+0.5
8 Imortal178947%78.582.0-3.5
9 Galomar1751229%73.479.5-6.2
10 Portimonense1751229%70.879.2-8.5
11 Esgueira1731418%71.886.9-15.2
12 Lusitania161156%73.491.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1721212483
Oliveirense2222213398
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