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LWD Basket vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-105
18-23 22-28 23-38 31-16
Position#15
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game100.0
LWD Basket
vs
Okapi Aalst 🏆
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 8· Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje
Other2025-26
Meetings · LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst
22 Oct 2025
LWD 94
OKAP105
10 May 2025
LWD 99
OKAP88
30 Apr 2024
LWD 67
OKAP66
11 May 2022
LWD 61
OKAP78
01 Apr 2022
LWD 82
OKAP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
99-88
99
88
+11
102avg 79
H10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 79
H20/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
L
67-89
67
89
-22
64avg 79
A22/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
98avg 79
H24/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 79
A26/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 79
H28/05
DBL
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
81avg 79
A27/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
90-100
90
100
-10
83avg 79
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
82-94
82
94
-12
79avg 79
H11/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
89-108
89
108
-19
70avg 79
A18/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
26-16
25-25
17-29
20-30
22-22
22-15
16-23
17-27
22-23
18-21
10-18
28-17
27-15
20-32
14-17
26-21
19-17
22-23
17-21
15-23
26-25
23-22
21-20
16-32
26-26
17-15
25-25
22-24
21-25
21-19
26-32
28-19
22-34
15-19
17-22
21-21
23-28
23-26
22-33
176.9Avg total
84.9Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.2100.0186.2-13.80%
Season at home (2)86.097.0183.0-11.00%
Season away (2)86.5103.0189.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)84.992.0176.9-7.130%
Last 5 (5)86.098.0184.0-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)80.989.5170.4-8.629%
vs Similar (7)88.683.6172.1+5.071%
vs Weaker (6)85.083.7168.7+1.350%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 75
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
70avg 75
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 75
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 75
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
56avg 75
A07/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
88-99
88
99
-11
81avg 75
A10/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 75
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 75
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 75
A11/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
61avg 75
A18/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
10-16
28-22
9-18
20-28
17-17
13-23
25-22
22-23
22-20
17-20
18-15
32-16
32-25
23-23
13-14
11-26
16-23
13-19
21-12
18-31
16-26
25-25
29-17
20-18
19-21
22-21
28-25
18-24
23-18
21-15
31-17
22-22
23-20
16-20
24-21
19-17
25-19
17-27
17-22
164.6Avg total
81.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.281.8168.0+4.575%
Season at home (1)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)84.084.3168.3-0.367%
Last 10 (10)81.483.2164.6-1.850%
Last 5 (5)86.685.2171.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.986.3159.2-13.430%
vs Similar (10)80.783.0163.7-2.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.578.3165.8+9.280%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
LWD BasketOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H20/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A26/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H28/05
DBL
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A27/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H11/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/10
BNXT League
92.1Avg total
45.8Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.387.7-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.345.191.4+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.584.1-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)45.846.392.1-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.051.495.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.946.588.4-4.629%-
vs Similar (7)47.040.687.6+6.471%-
vs Weaker (6)43.742.586.2+1.250%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A07/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A10/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
BNXT League
83.8Avg total
40.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.181.7-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.485.7+3.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.240.978.1-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.483.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.283.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.842.479.2-5.620%-
vs Similar (10)40.842.883.6-2.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.138.182.2+6.070%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.2
50.9%
54.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.3
38.8%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.017.8
77.4%
72.4%17.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.4
50.4%
54.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.1
36.5%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.9
75.3%
72.4%14.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LWD Basket
LLLLLWWLLW
Okapi Aalst
LWWWLLWWLL
#15
League position
#3
-8.7
Net rating
-3.8
109.2
Offensive rating
108.0
117.9
Defensive rating
111.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.8%
3-point %
36.5%
68.8%
Assist %
61.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 108.0Defence117.9 · 111.8Shooting53.7% · 52.3%3-point %38.8% · 36.5%Ball care18.4% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.5% · 27.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ LWD Basket   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
LWD Basket wins
4
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
10/05/25LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst99-88
14/12/24Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket64-82
30/04/24LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst67-66
06/04/24Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket103-74
15/05/22Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket83-67
11/05/22LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst61-78
01/04/22LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst82-75
26/03/22Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket87-75
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25ALeiden89-108
11/10/25HDen Bosch82-94
04/10/25HOostende90-100
27/09/25ASpirou Charleroi84-98
28/05/25HLeiden85-90
26/05/25ALeiden84-82
24/05/25HLeiden89-81
22/05/25ALeiden67-89
20/05/25HLeiden80-90
10/05/25HOkapi Aalst99-88
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25ADonar Groningen78-85
11/10/25ADen Helder85-83
04/10/25HKortrijk93-74
28/09/25ABrussels Basketball89-85
10/05/25ALWD Basket88-99
07/05/25ADen Bosch61-80
03/05/25HBAL Weert100-78
30/04/25AMechelen79-78
26/04/25ALeuven Bears75-90
18/04/25ALimburg66-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game86.286.086.5
Allowed / game100.097.0103.0
Point differential-13.8-11.0-16.5
Avg total186.2183.0189.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game86.293.084.0
Allowed / game81.874.084.3
Point differential+4.5+19.0-0.3
Avg total168.0167.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden440100%97.270.2+27.0
2 Den Bosch330100%89.374.3+15.0
3 Mechelen330100%78.767.0+11.7
4 Oostende440100%89.078.8+10.2
5 Antwerp Giants43175%89.869.0+20.8
6 Belfius Mons43175%93.286.0+7.2
7 Donar Groningen43175%84.878.0+6.8
8 Brussels Basketball43175%86.580.0+6.5
9 Okapi Aalst43175%86.281.8+4.5
10 Limburg42250%86.279.8+6.5
11 Spirou Charleroi42250%79.283.8-4.5
12 Zwolle41325%76.077.0-1.0
13 Kortrijk41325%78.589.8-11.2
14 Den Helder4040%76.890.0-13.2
15 LWD Basket4040%86.2100.0-13.8
16 Leuven Bears4040%71.888.5-16.8
17 BAL Weert4040%66.290.8-24.5
18 Rotterdam4040%69.594.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LWD Basket1822233194
Okapi Aalst23283816105
← all games of the day
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