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Manisa vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-78
15-19 14-20 22-21 21-18
Position#25
Record3-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· Muradiye Spor Salonu
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManisaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#39
W
101-97
101
97
+4
93avg 75
A09/10
Champions League
Darussafaka
#15
L
86-94
86
94
-8
84avg 75
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
66avg 75
H19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Peristeri
#36
W
79-77
79
77
+2
75avg 75
H22/10
Champions League
Mersin SK
#6
L
88-97
88
97
-9
85avg 75
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 75
A03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Peristeri
#36
L
78-90
78
90
-12
71avg 75
A06/11
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
80avg 75
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
85-80
85
80
+5
83avg 75
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
106-109 OT
106
109
-3
94avg 75
H29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
31-24
21-26
32-27
24-34
16-22
23-22
23-16
17-6
11-22
18-22
21-24
21-23
23-17
18-17
17-20
28-29
17-24
27-20
16-24
25-19
16-13
21-36
11-17
15-28
24-17
14-22
25-23
21-24
20-24
21-26
20-16
20-18
11-22
17-18
37-22
23-25
21-17
24-17
21-30
173.8Avg total
84.5Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.290.2180.5+0.075%
Season at home (1)79.077.0156.0+2.0100%
Season away (3)94.094.7188.7-0.767%
Last 10 (10)84.589.3173.8-4.830%
Last 5 (5)84.890.8175.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.786.3164.0-8.620%
vs Similar (15)82.487.3169.7-4.940%
vs Weaker (4)87.882.2170.0+5.575%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#36
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 73
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
85avg 73
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
80avg 73
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
86-50
86
50
+36
84avg 73
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
82-75
82
75
+7
73avg 73
A26/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
47avg 73
H03/11
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
83-78
83
78
+5
85avg 73
A06/11
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
60avg 73
A09/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
75avg 73
H16/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
63-83
63
83
-20
52avg 73
H01/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
18-13
16-20
23-21
20-20
24-20
17-20
23-24
11-19
20-15
25-16
32-24
27-10
16-14
28-13
15-13
21-20
19-13
20-17
22-25
11-22
20-18
17-26
16-19
21-22
12-21
24-17
26-18
20-15
15-16
28-24
20-16
15-17
23-9
22-17
19-20
13-20
22-21
12-29
16-13
155.1Avg total
80.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.876.8163.5+10.075%
Season at home (2)91.576.5168.0+15.050%
Season away (2)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.175.0155.1+5.170%
Last 5 (5)74.476.0150.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.082.2158.2-6.230%
vs Similar (10)82.283.7165.9-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.874.1156.9+8.789%
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
ManisaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#39
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A09/10
Champions League
Darussafaka
#15
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Peristeri
#36
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H22/10
Champions League
Mersin SK
#6
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Peristeri
#36
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A06/11
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.9Avg total
40.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.682.5-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.641.179.7-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.944.084.9-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.882.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.441.180.5-1.740%-
vs Similar (15)38.742.381.0-3.740%-
vs Weaker (4)43.845.589.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A06/11
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H16/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/12
ACB
71.9Avg total
37.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.376.8+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.037.074.0+0.036%-
Last 30 away (16)39.739.579.2+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.771.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.270.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.340.375.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (10)40.540.581.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.833.973.7+5.967%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.9
51.4%
52.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.3
35.1%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.617.7
81.9%
74.0%17.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.8
52.2%
52.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.6
33.2%
35.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
74.0%14.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Manisa
LWLLLLWLLW
Murcia
LWWWLWWWLW
#25
League position
#7
-4.5
Net rating
+6.8
113.2
Offensive rating
105.9
117.7
Defensive rating
99.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.1%
3-point %
33.2%
62.0%
Assist %
66.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 105.9Defence117.7 · 99.0Shooting51.9% · 51.1%3-point %35.1% · 33.2%Ball care16.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.9% · 26.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Manisa   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Manisa wins
0
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
01/10/24Murcia v Manisa97-103 OT
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HTofas106-109 OT
16/11/24ATurk Telekom85-80
10/11/24HFenerbahce82-90
06/11/24APeristeri78-90
03/11/24AAnadolu Efes73-85
27/10/24AMersin SK88-97
22/10/24HPeristeri79-77
19/10/24HPetkim Spor67-74
14/10/24ADarussafaka86-94
09/10/24AFMP Beograd101-97
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HGran Canaria63-83
16/11/24HBreogan79-63
09/11/24AMoraBanc Andorra83-71
06/11/24AFMP Beograd83-78
03/11/24HReal Madrid64-85
26/10/24ABasquet Girona82-75
22/10/24HFMP Beograd86-50
19/10/24HBasket Zaragoza88-74
12/10/24ABaskonia92-95 OT
08/10/24APeristeri81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manisa
Champions League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game90.279.094.0
Allowed / game90.277.094.7
Point differential+0.0+2.0-0.7
Avg total180.5156.0188.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
Murcia
Champions League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game86.891.582.0
Allowed / game76.876.577.0
Point differential+10.0+15.0+5.0
Avg total163.5168.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja550100%98.673.0+25.6
2 Tenerife440100%81.260.2+21.0
3 Nymburk770100%86.473.0+13.4
4 Tortona440100%84.573.8+10.8
5 Bonn65183%84.779.3+5.3
6 Manresa43175%92.875.8+17.0
7 Rytas43175%87.576.8+10.8
8 Murcia43175%86.876.8+10.0
9 Karsiyaka43175%81.574.8+6.8
10 Reggiana43175%73.870.0+3.8
11 AEK Athens43175%78.575.8+2.8
12 Manisa43175%90.290.2+0.0
13 Petkim Spor86275%79.679.8-0.1
14 Wurzburg53260%85.681.2+4.4
15 Galatasaray53260%83.681.4+2.2
16 Hapoel Holon53260%79.078.2+0.8
17 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
18 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
19 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Nanterre42250%83.883.0+0.8
23 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
24 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
25 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
26 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
27 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
28 Szombathely42250%79.282.8-3.5
29 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
30 Peristeri52340%74.674.8-0.2
31 Oostende52340%78.479.0-0.6
32 Benfica62433%74.786.2-11.5
33 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan41325%75.879.2-3.5
34 VEF Riga41325%74.077.5-3.5
35 Promitheas41325%78.885.5-6.8
36 Igokea41325%81.889.0-7.2
37 Saint Quentin41325%69.076.2-7.2
38 Chemnitz41325%80.289.0-8.8
39 FMP Beograd51420%72.280.0-7.8
40 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
41 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
42 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
43 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
44 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
45 Slask Wroclaw4040%71.282.2-11.0
46 Vechta4040%80.294.8-14.5
47 Szczecin5050%64.281.8-17.6
48 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
49 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
50 Kolossos Rhodes4040%59.880.2-20.5
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manisa1514222172
Murcia1920211878
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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