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Murcia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-63
15-17 23-9 22-17 19-20
Position#10
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.0
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game84.0
SpainACBRound 8· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Murcia v Breogan
25 Apr 2027
MUR v BRE
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
MUR83
BRE96
16 Nov 2024
MUR79
BRE63
12 May 2024
MUR68
BRE61
29 Sep 2022
MUR70
BRE84
23 Mar 2022
MUR91
BRE72
03 Nov 2018
MUR76
BRE64
01 Oct 2010
MUR83
BRE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Manisa
#25
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
91avg 74
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
74avg 74
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 74
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
85avg 74
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
80avg 74
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
86-50
86
50
+36
84avg 74
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
82-75
82
75
+7
73avg 74
A26/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
47avg 74
H03/11
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
83-78
83
78
+5
85avg 74
A06/11
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
60avg 74
A09/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-22
24-19
19-22
22-16
20-22
13-23
22-16
24-22
18-13
16-20
23-21
20-20
24-20
17-20
23-24
11-19
20-15
25-16
32-24
27-10
16-14
28-13
15-13
21-20
19-13
20-17
22-25
11-22
20-18
17-26
16-19
21-22
12-21
24-17
26-18
20-15
15-16
28-24
20-16
163.5Avg total
84.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.082.0164.0+0.057%
Season at home (3)80.380.7161.0-0.367%
Season away (4)83.283.0166.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)84.579.0163.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)79.671.8151.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.082.2158.2-6.230%
vs Similar (11)83.584.6168.2-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.275.5158.8+7.888%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
76-54
76
54
+22
71avg 67
H05/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
97-92
97
92
+5
84avg 67
H10/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
61-68
61
68
-7
53avg 67
A12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
72-90
72
90
-18
58avg 67
A29/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
54avg 67
H13/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
68avg 67
A19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 67
H27/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
53-111
53
111
-58
32avg 67
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 67
H07/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 67
H10/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
11-18
22-9
17-14
26-19
22-19
29-29
20-25
9-18
16-20
22-16
14-14
17-22
22-20
22-22
11-26
16-23
25-13
15-37
19-14
18-16
18-19
25-22
15-13
22-29
20-16
15-16
20-20
18-24
11-32
13-28
11-27
21-17
15-20
20-26
22-16
27-17
11-19
18-20
21-14
154.4Avg total
74.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.684.0156.6-11.429%
Season at home (4)76.879.2156.0-2.525%
Season away (3)67.090.3157.3-23.333%
Last 10 (10)74.280.2154.4-6.040%
Last 5 (5)72.282.2154.4-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.979.8151.7-7.927%
vs Similar (14)78.981.1160.1-2.236%
vs Weaker (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
MurciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#25
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A06/11
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
ACB
74.5Avg total
38.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.877.4-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.337.274.5+0.138%-
Last 30 away (17)39.739.979.6-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.274.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.270.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.340.375.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (11)40.940.481.3+0.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.034.974.9+5.162%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H05/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H10/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H13/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H27/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/11
ACB
76.5Avg total
37.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.576.8-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.376.3+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)35.541.777.2-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.476.5-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.878.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.138.976.0-1.953%-
vs Similar (14)37.840.478.2-2.629%-
vs Weaker (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.7
51.7%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.7
33.9%
35.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.0
71.8%
76.4%15.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.2
48.4%
54.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.6
35.4%
35.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
76.4%11.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWLWWWLWWL
Breogan
WLLLWLLLWW
#10
League position
#13
+7.1
Net rating
-7.4
107.5
Offensive rating
98.8
100.4
Defensive rating
106.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.4%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.9%
3-point %
35.4%
64.3%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 98.8Defence100.4 · 106.2Shooting51.3% · 50.2%3-point %33.9% · 35.4%Ball care17.0% · 20.4%Off. rebounds30.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Murcia wins
4
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
12/05/24Murcia v Breogan68-61
17/12/23Breogan v Murcia74-83
07/05/23Breogan v Murcia60-65
29/09/22Murcia v Breogan70-84
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
10/02/19Breogan v Murcia77-73
03/11/18Murcia v Breogan76-64
09/01/11Breogan v Murcia73-84
01/10/10Murcia v Breogan83-87
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AMoraBanc Andorra83-71
06/11/24AFMP Beograd83-78
03/11/24HReal Madrid64-85
26/10/24ABasquet Girona82-75
22/10/24HFMP Beograd86-50
19/10/24HBasket Zaragoza88-74
12/10/24ABaskonia92-95 OT
08/10/24APeristeri81-76
05/10/24HBilbao89-83 OT
01/10/24HManisa97-103 OT
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HBarcelona77-70
07/11/24HTenerife78-79
02/11/24ABasket Zaragoza53-111
27/10/24HForca Lleida77-81
19/10/24AJoventut Badalona76-70
13/10/24HValencia75-87
29/09/24ABilbao72-90
12/05/24AMurcia61-68
10/05/24HMoraBanc Andorra97-92
05/05/24HTenerife76-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game82.080.383.2
Allowed / game82.080.783.0
Point differential+0.0-0.3+0.2
Avg total164.0161.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %29%33%25%
Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game72.676.867.0
Allowed / game84.079.290.3
Point differential-11.4-2.5-23.3
Avg total156.6156.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja76186%88.081.0+7.0
2 Valencia65183%91.280.0+11.2
3 Tenerife65183%85.877.3+8.5
4 Real Madrid75271%87.776.1+11.6
5 Barcelona74357%89.383.3+6.0
6 Manresa74357%82.977.0+5.9
7 Gran Canaria74357%78.977.4+1.4
8 Murcia74357%82.082.0+0.0
9 Bilbao73443%85.685.0+0.6
10 MoraBanc Andorra73443%84.984.6+0.3
11 Joventut Badalona73443%79.479.7-0.3
12 Basket Zaragoza73443%92.192.7-0.6
13 Baskonia73443%89.191.0-1.9
14 Forca Lleida73443%81.686.9-5.3
15 Leyma Coruna72529%82.992.3-9.4
16 Breogan72529%72.684.0-11.4
17 Basquet Girona72529%74.186.6-12.4
18 Granada71614%74.182.4-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1523221979
Breogan179172063
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