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Marsonia vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-77
32-21 22-19 22-21 22-16
Position#6
Record13-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#1
Record21-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game80.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 26· Sports Hall Viju
Other2024-25
Meetings · Marsonia v Samobor
17 Apr 2025
MARS98
SAMO77
04 Nov 2023
MARS79
SAMO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Cibona
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 71
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
78avg 71
H16/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
49avg 71
A23/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
75-93
75
93
-18
61avg 71
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
65avg 71
H09/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
61avg 71
A15/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
70avg 71
H23/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
55avg 71
A30/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
79-64
79
64
+15
72avg 71
H06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 71
A13/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
29-21
9-18
23-25
27-22
27-17
16-29
19-18
12-21
12-18
22-24
24-23
15-28
25-24
15-15
20-26
12-14
17-27
30-15
21-10
24-22
12-29
20-22
19-24
22-22
24-23
16-19
21-27
14-25
18-24
15-17
28-19
20-16
15-9
25-26
19-13
11-31
17-11
22-25
27-17
163.0Avg total
78.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.083.6167.6+0.552%
Season at home (12)86.075.8161.8+10.283%
Season away (13)82.290.7172.9-8.523%
Last 10 (10)78.884.2163.0-5.430%
Last 5 (5)77.884.2162.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.188.8167.9-9.625%
vs Similar (12)84.284.4168.7-0.250%
vs Weaker (9)88.878.4167.2+10.367%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#8
W
95-64
95
64
+31
89avg 83
H08/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
84avg 83
A16/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
68-66
68
66
+2
61avg 83
H23/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
82-70
82
70
+12
81avg 83
A01/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
90-95
90
95
-5
80avg 83
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 83
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 83
A22/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
109-82
109
82
+27
109avg 83
A02/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 83
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 83
H13/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
22-13
32-17
18-14
22-22
31-31
19-21
16-20
18-18
15-18
19-12
16-18
25-19
18-19
18-9
21-23
22-30
19-21
22-18
27-26
25-14
35-25
16-23
19-21
25-18
18-27
22-20
22-15
26-21
34-24
30-19
19-18
15-19
20-28
25-20
13-13
22-19
17-28
32-17
15-17
166.8Avg total
87.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.780.6169.3+8.184%
Season at home (13)87.576.9164.5+10.692%
Season away (12)90.084.6174.6+5.475%
Last 10 (10)87.379.5166.8+7.870%
Last 5 (5)90.081.2171.2+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.782.3157.0-7.733%
vs Similar (6)87.088.0175.0-1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.878.8168.7+11.090%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
MarsoniaSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#4
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H16/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A23/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H09/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A15/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H23/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A30/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A13/04
Prva Liga
80.7Avg total
37.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.983.4-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.237.580.7+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.746.486.1-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.743.080.7-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.477.8-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.143.680.8-6.525%-
vs Similar (12)42.241.383.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker (9)43.840.784.4+3.167%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H08/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A16/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H23/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A01/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A02/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H13/04
Prva Liga
88.6Avg total
45.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.687.4+4.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.885.4+5.956%-
Last 30 away (14)45.943.889.6+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.243.488.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.692.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.343.083.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (6)47.242.789.8+4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.440.987.2+5.560%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.1
53.5%
52.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.0
28.8%
33.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.710.5
66.9%
70.4%10.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.924.5
57.1%
52.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.7
31.6%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.611.4
73.1%
70.4%11.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
LWLLLWLLWL
Samobor
WLWWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#1
-8.1
Net rating
+10.3
100.0
Offensive rating
111.7
108.1
Defensive rating
101.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.8%
3-point %
31.6%
44.0%
Assist %
58.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 111.7Defence108.1 · 101.4Shooting48.8% · 53.3%3-point %28.8% · 31.6%Ball care15.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds24.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Marsonia   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marsonia wins
3
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Samobor v Marsonia100-80
11/02/24Samobor v Marsonia97-88
04/11/23Marsonia v Samobor79-81
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25AOmis77-84
06/04/25HSonik Puntamika79-64
30/03/25ACrikvenica75-85
23/03/25HMladost83-91
15/03/25AKK Zagreb75-97
09/03/25HHermes80-66
02/03/25ADakovo75-93
23/02/25AKastela70-86
16/02/25HJazine89-86
11/02/25ACibona85-90
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HJazine86-81
06/04/25ASkrljevo73-80
02/04/25AGorica109-82
22/03/25ABosco87-80
16/03/25HKastela95-83
08/03/25HOmis90-95
01/03/25ASonik Puntamika82-70
23/02/25HCrikvenica68-66
16/02/25AMladost88-94
08/02/25HKK Zagreb95-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%83%23%
Points / game84.086.082.2
Allowed / game83.675.890.7
Point differential+0.5+10.2-8.5
Avg total167.6161.8172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%58%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW84%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %84%92%75%
Points / game88.787.590.0
Allowed / game80.676.984.6
Point differential+8.1+10.6+5.4
Avg total169.3164.5174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2521484%88.780.6+8.1
2 Mladost2619773%82.176.4+5.7
3 Kastela2618869%87.075.3+11.6
4 Jazine2618869%90.882.1+8.7
5 Skrljevo2617965%90.281.7+8.5
6 Gorica26141254%81.883.8-2.0
7 Marsonia25131252%84.083.6+0.5
8 KK Zagreb26131350%79.177.8+1.3
9 Sonik Puntamika26111542%74.776.2-1.5
10 Omis26101638%77.380.0-2.7
11 Crikvenica2681831%68.278.1-9.9
12 Dakovo2671927%76.584.7-8.3
13 Bosco2671927%75.684.3-8.7
14 Hermes2652119%77.588.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia3222222298
Samobor2119211677
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