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Mazeikiai vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-66
18-16 20-21 17-17 22-12
Position#7
Record3-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#12
Record3-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game92.8
LithuaniaLKL· Mazeikiu Ventos progimnazijos (Mazeikiai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Gargzdai
25 Nov 2023
MAZ77
GAR66
22 Nov 2023
MAZ81
GAR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 71
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
87-84
87
84
+3
93avg 71
A23/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 71
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 71
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
88-107
88
107
-19
85avg 71
A04/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
80-109
80
109
-29
73avg 71
A08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 71
H13/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
81avg 71
A15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
64-82
64
82
-18
54avg 71
H18/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
66avg 71
H22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
25-26
23-23
21-18
23-14
23-24
10-26
31-20
17-21
16-26
20-29
22-10
18-18
22-19
31-22
19-22
24-23
27-28
17-21
20-35
22-26
20-33
23-25
15-25
27-24
19-22
26-10
16-25
13-19
20-23
27-31
31-17
9-24
25-15
13-20
17-23
19-22
26-17
18-25
18-27
174.3Avg total
83.7Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.784.5161.2-7.830%
Season at home (4)75.079.5154.5-4.525%
Season away (6)77.887.8165.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)83.790.6174.3-6.940%
Last 5 (5)80.890.6171.4-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.682.4157.1-7.831%
vs Similar (9)84.982.8167.7+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.273.0152.2+6.260%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
92avg 69
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
91avg 69
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
77avg 69
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 69
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 69
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 69
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 69
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 69
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 69
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 69
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
26-25
23-23
18-21
22-24
33-18
22-15
20-22
16-33
19-25
27-11
25-28
18-23
22-29
13-31
23-20
23-23
14-22
16-29
20-18
15-7
19-30
19-18
13-20
21-19
25-25
22-18
18-18
19-24
28-12
21-21
10-27
21-20
26-20
18-25
9-32
22-19
17-26
25-18
27-18
170.4Avg total
82.3Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.492.8170.2-15.430%
Season at home (6)77.893.0170.8-15.233%
Season away (4)76.892.5169.2-15.825%
Last 10 (10)82.388.1170.4-5.840%
Last 5 (5)79.083.4162.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.486.6161.0-12.223%
vs Similar (4)85.288.2173.5-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
MazeikiaiGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A23/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A04/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H13/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
87.1Avg total
41.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.680.0-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.837.476.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.843.583.3-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)41.945.287.1-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.085.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.341.979.2-4.644%-
vs Similar (9)41.441.783.1-0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.034.676.6+7.480%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
88.2Avg total
43.4Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.882.4-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.744.482.1-6.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.282.7-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.888.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.243.481.6-5.231%-
vs Similar (4)41.246.587.8-5.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.919.7
59.9%
55.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.1
31.3%
34.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
73.2%16.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.1
52.5%
55.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.9
33.6%
34.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.015.8
68.7%
73.2%15.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLWWLLWLWL
Gargzdai
WLLWLLLLWW
#7
League position
#12
-9.5
Net rating
-6.7
111.1
Offensive rating
104.8
120.6
Defensive rating
111.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.7%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
19.3%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.3%
3-point %
33.6%
64.9%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 104.8Defence120.6 · 111.4Shooting53.8% · 51.7%3-point %31.3% · 33.6%Ball care14.9% · 19.3%Off. rebounds23.7% · 30.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mazeikiai wins
2
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
22/11/23Mazeikiai v Gargzdai81-91
19/10/23Gargzdai v Mazeikiai95-93
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HGargzdai81-91
18/11/23HLietkabelis64-82
15/11/23AJuventus91-90
13/11/23HNevezis88-81
08/11/23ANeptunas80-109
04/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-107
29/10/23ASiauliai90-81
25/10/23HJuventus75-86
23/10/23ANeptunas87-84
19/10/23AGargzdai93-95
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AMazeikiai91-81
19/11/23HJuventus74-97
16/11/23ANeptunas78-84
12/11/23HJonava86-80
09/11/23HJuventus66-75
06/11/23HNeptunas73-92
30/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes76-103
25/10/23HNeptunas87-97
22/10/23ASiauliai97-79
19/10/23HMazeikiai95-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL30%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%25%33%
Points / game76.775.077.8
Allowed / game84.579.587.8
Point differential-7.8-4.5-10.0
Avg total161.2154.5165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL30%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game77.477.876.8
Allowed / game92.893.092.5
Point differential-15.4-15.2-15.8
Avg total170.2170.8169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas109190%94.080.3+13.7
2 BC Wolves109190%87.475.0+12.4
3 Zalgiris Kaunas109190%80.267.9+12.3
4 Lietkabelis107370%86.182.7+3.4
5 Juventus106460%87.880.7+7.1
6 Jonava105550%83.084.9-1.9
7 Neptunas104640%87.888.3-0.5
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes103730%89.791.5-1.8
9 Mazeikiai103730%76.784.5-7.8
10 Gargzdai103730%77.492.8-15.4
11 Siauliai101910%79.587.4-7.9
12 Nevezis101910%77.791.3-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1820172277
Gargzdai1621171266
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