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Gargzdai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 87-97
16-33 19-25 27-11 25-28
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game88.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale (Gargzdai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gargzdai v Neptunas
06 Feb 2027
GAR v NEP
upcoming
26 Sep 2026
GAR87
NEP78
23 May 2026
GAR74
NEP84
14 Mar 2026
GAR81
NEP70
13 Dec 2025
GAR87
NEP104
06 Nov 2023
GAR73
NEP92
25 Oct 2023
GAR87
NEP97
13 Mar 2023
GAR54
NEP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 69
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
58avg 69
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-107
55
107
-52
42avg 69
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-104
68
104
-36
56avg 69
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 69
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
51avg 69
A07/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
44avg 69
A12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 69
H16/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
92avg 69
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
91avg 69
A22/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-25
17-26
18-13
21-22
19-23
15-21
21-20
10-27
16-34
7-21
14-25
18-27
18-20
14-24
19-29
17-31
23-23
17-26
22-25
20-24
16-25
18-20
20-15
12-24
11-17
22-24
9-17
19-26
23-23
23-25
23-24
28-12
28-24
26-25
23-23
18-21
22-24
33-18
22-15
20-22
166.1Avg total
75.1Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.088.5166.5-10.550%
Season at home (1)95.093.0188.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)75.191.0166.1-15.930%
Last 5 (5)83.284.8168.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.886.8161.6-12.020%
vs Similar (5)80.682.4163.0-1.860%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
no box
A12/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 76
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
91avg 76
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 76
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
102-112 OT
102
112
-10
no box
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
66-98
66
98
-32
57avg 76
H08/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-87
112
87
+25
116avg 76
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
92-90
92
90
+2
88avg 76
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 76
H23/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
25-16
14-27
29-20
21-26
14-22
30-24
26-23
16-14
29-24
18-26
28-17
25-30
17-18
24-16
16-26
24-30
27-20
22-24
22-21
22-26
11-23
17-18
16-31
19-18
26-15
14-19
17-24
28-20
30-25
31-21
23-21
25-24
18-24
24-22
25-20
14-23
24-23
26-10
20-31
183.9Avg total
90.6Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.588.0177.5+1.5100%
Season at home (1)92.090.0182.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)87.086.0173.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.693.3183.9-2.740%
Last 5 (5)88.289.6177.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.592.5173.0-11.99%
vs Similar (9)87.284.8172.0+2.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.081.9168.9+5.160%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
GargzdaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-55
23
55
-32
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A07/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A22/10
LKL
84.5Avg total
37.7Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.143.581.6-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.242.578.7-6.329%-
Last 30 away (16)39.744.484.1-4.819%-
Last 10 (10)37.746.884.5-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.089.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.543.681.0-6.120%-
vs Similar (5)41.043.484.4-2.440%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H08/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H23/10
LKL
88.1Avg total
43.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.984.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.245.286.4-3.925%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.281.1+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.688.1-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.287.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.545.484.8-5.927%-
vs Similar (9)42.640.883.3+1.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.642.083.6-0.430%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.7
48.4%
56.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.1
30.6%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.315.6
76.8%
74.5%15.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.7
54.7%
56.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.8
35.3%
34.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.717.7
71.7%
74.5%17.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WWWLLLLLLL
Neptunas
LWWWLLLWLL
#9
League position
#3
-22.5
Net rating
-3.9
98.2
Offensive rating
115.9
120.6
Defensive rating
119.8
47.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
60.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
13.8%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.6%
3-point %
35.3%
62.4%
Assist %
74.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 115.9Defence120.6 · 119.8Shooting47.5% · 53.9%3-point %30.6% · 35.3%Ball care18.6% · 13.8%Off. rebounds24.8% · 28.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
29/04/23Neptunas v Gargzdai91-86
13/03/23Gargzdai v Neptunas54-73
24/10/22Neptunas v Gargzdai94-69
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ASiauliai97-79
19/10/23HMazeikiai95-93
16/10/23HNevezis97-84
12/10/23AJuventus61-84
07/10/23ALietkabelis66-84
01/10/23HRytas82-98
23/09/23ABC Wolves68-104
17/09/23HZalgiris Kaunas55-107
06/05/23ARytas65-91
02/05/23HLietkabelis65-86
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23HMazeikiai84-87
18/10/23HJuventus92-90
15/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-87
11/10/23AMazeikiai87-86 OT
08/10/23HBC Wolves66-98
02/10/23AJuventus102-112 OT
24/09/23ASiauliai82-90
16/09/23HLietkabelis91-81
14/05/23HRytas91-95
12/05/23ARytas99-107 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.095.061.0
Allowed / game88.593.084.0
Point differential-10.5+2.0-23.0
Avg total166.5188.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.592.087.0
Allowed / game88.090.086.0
Point differential+1.5+2.0+1.0
Avg total177.5182.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai220100%95.086.5+8.5
2 Neptunas220100%89.588.0+1.5
3 Juventus21150%87.076.5+10.5
4 Pieno Zvaigzdes21150%95.595.0+0.5
5 Gargzdai21150%78.088.5-10.5
6 BC Olimpas Palanga31233%76.779.3-2.7
7 Nevezis31233%92.095.3-3.3
8 Mazeikiai2020%89.591.0-1.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1619272587
Neptunas3325112897
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