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Neptunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 84-87
14-23 24-23 26-10 20-31
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#7
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game82.0
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Mazeikiai
14 May 2025
NEP85
MAZ79
01 Feb 2025
NEP99
MAZ63
09 Oct 2024
NEP106
MAZ71
01 Apr 2024
NEP91
MAZ89
08 Nov 2023
NEP109
MAZ80
23 Oct 2023
NEP84
MAZ87
04 Jan 2015
NEP95
MAZ77
27 Sep 2014
NEP110
MAZ64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 76
H07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
no box
A12/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 76
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
91avg 76
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 76
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
102-112 OT
102
112
-10
no box
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
66-98
66
98
-32
57avg 76
H08/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-87
112
87
+25
116avg 76
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
92-90
92
90
+2
88avg 76
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
17-19
16-25
18-29
20-25
25-16
14-27
29-20
21-26
14-22
30-24
26-23
16-14
29-24
18-26
28-17
25-30
17-18
24-16
16-26
24-30
27-20
22-24
22-21
22-26
11-23
17-18
16-31
19-18
26-15
14-19
17-24
28-20
30-25
31-21
23-21
25-24
18-24
24-22
25-20
184.7Avg total
89.7Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.693.6184.2-3.040%
Season at home (3)89.788.7178.3+1.067%
Season away (2)92.0101.0193.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)89.795.0184.7-5.340%
Last 5 (5)91.894.6186.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.791.2168.8-13.58%
vs Similar (9)87.284.8172.0+2.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.381.3168.7+6.067%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#5
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 66
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 66
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 66
A30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
70avg 66
H09/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
H11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
54-90
54
90
-36
36avg 66
A14/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 66
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
21-22
28-23
17-12
21-25
25-20
25-15
21-23
19-22
20-10
13-13
13-24
13-26
22-17
27-13
12-25
21-21
18-17
21-20
19-24
15-31
19-14
24-20
16-19
16-15
27-20
14-10
12-28
18-19
15-26
19-14
24-17
11-29
10-27
24-17
9-17
24-28
25-26
23-23
21-18
159.0Avg total
77.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.082.0152.0-12.00%
Season at home (2)74.077.5151.5-3.50%
Season away (3)67.385.0152.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)77.381.7159.0-4.420%
Last 5 (5)75.285.8161.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.876.9150.7-3.143%
vs Similar (8)83.580.6164.1+2.962%
vs Weaker (8)79.266.9146.1+12.475%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
NeptunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H08/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
88.8Avg total
43.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.483.1-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.545.186.6-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.679.5+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.088.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.091.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.344.282.5-5.825%-
vs Similar (9)42.640.883.3+1.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.041.683.6+0.433%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
21-56
21
56
-35
A14/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
81.2Avg total
38.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.877.0+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.434.973.3+3.679%-
Last 30 away (16)39.940.380.2-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.143.181.2-5.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.047.083.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.439.076.4-1.657%-
vs Similar (8)40.442.182.5-1.838%-
vs Weaker (8)41.231.272.5+10.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
55.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.8
37.0%
34.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws25.418.5
72.8%
73.2%18.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.7
56.6%
55.4%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.3
29.2%
34.7%25.0
🏀 Free throws14.710.2
69.3%
73.2%10.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWWLLLWLLL
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLWW
#6
League position
#7
-3.0
Net rating
-14.9
117.3
Offensive rating
98.2
120.2
Defensive rating
113.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
21.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.0%
3-point %
29.2%
75.6%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 98.2Defence120.2 · 113.1Shooting54.2% · 50.7%3-point %37.0% · 29.2%Ball care14.0% · 21.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Neptunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
0
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas86-87 OT
28/03/15Mazeikiai v Neptunas59-71
04/01/15Neptunas v Mazeikiai95-77
10/11/14Mazeikiai v Neptunas69-81
27/09/14Neptunas v Mazeikiai110-64
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HJuventus92-90
15/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-87
11/10/23AMazeikiai87-86 OT
08/10/23HBC Wolves66-98
02/10/23AJuventus102-112 OT
24/09/23ASiauliai82-90
16/09/23HLietkabelis91-81
14/05/23HRytas91-95
12/05/23ARytas99-107 OT
07/05/23HBC Wolves75-104
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/23AGargzdai93-95
14/10/23ARytas54-90
11/10/23HNeptunas86-87 OT
09/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-73
30/09/23ABC Wolves74-84
23/09/23HJonava79-82
18/09/23AJuventus74-81
22/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas 265-69
21/04/23ASuduva-Mantinga92-83
04/04/23HVytis VDU87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game90.689.792.0
Allowed / game93.688.7101.0
Point differential-3.0+1.0-9.0
Avg total184.2178.3193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%50%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.074.067.3
Allowed / game82.077.585.0
Point differential-12.0-3.5-17.7
Avg total152.0151.5152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas660100%96.077.0+19.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas660100%83.266.7+16.5
3 BC Wolves65183%90.375.5+14.8
4 Juventus65183%87.777.0+10.7
5 Lietkabelis64267%90.287.8+2.3
6 Jonava64267%82.383.5-1.2
7 Neptunas52340%90.693.6-3.0
8 Gargzdai62433%77.592.7-15.2
9 Siauliai61517%77.585.2-7.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes6060%84.094.8-10.8
11 Mazeikiai5050%70.082.0-12.0
12 Nevezis6060%76.592.5-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1424262084
Mazeikiai2323103187
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