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Gargzdai vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-93
28-24 26-25 23-23 18-21
Position#9
Record0-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game84.0
Gargzdai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game87.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale (Gargzdai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gargzdai v Mazeikiai
08 Jan 2024
GAR82
MAZ93
19 Oct 2023
GAR95
MAZ93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 68
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 68
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 68
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
58avg 68
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-107
55
107
-52
42avg 68
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-104
68
104
-36
56avg 68
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 68
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
51avg 68
A07/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
44avg 68
A12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 68
H16/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
20-18
22-23
16-21
19-20
28-22
18-18
21-31
9-25
17-26
18-13
21-22
19-23
15-21
21-20
10-27
16-34
7-21
14-25
18-27
18-20
14-24
19-29
17-31
23-23
17-26
22-25
20-24
16-25
18-20
20-15
12-24
11-17
22-24
9-17
19-26
23-23
23-25
23-24
28-12
164.1Avg total
72.3Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)72.391.8164.1-19.510%
Last 5 (5)74.890.8165.6-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)74.087.2161.3-13.215%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.079.8156.8-2.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A01/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 62
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 62
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 62
A30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
70avg 62
H09/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
H11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
54-90
54
90
-36
36avg 62
A14/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
23-16
23-12
17-19
21-16
21-22
28-23
17-12
21-25
25-20
25-15
21-23
19-22
20-10
13-13
13-24
13-26
22-17
27-13
12-25
21-21
18-17
21-20
19-24
15-31
19-14
24-20
16-19
16-15
27-20
14-10
12-28
18-19
15-26
19-14
24-17
11-29
10-27
24-17
9-17
155.4Avg total
75.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.087.0173.0-1.00%
Season at home (1)86.087.0173.0-1.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.979.5155.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)72.483.2155.6-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.176.7149.8-3.740%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.178.6160.7+3.671%
vs Weaker (8)79.266.9146.1+12.475%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: -4.8-4.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: -4.8-4.8
GargzdaiMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-55
23
55
-32
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A07/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
LKL
81.9Avg total
35.5Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.380.2-6.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.341.676.9-6.429%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.883.1-6.612%-
Last 10 (10)35.546.481.9-10.910%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.482.4-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)36.743.580.3-6.819%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.842.079.8-4.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
21-56
21
56
-35
A14/10
LKL
79.0Avg total
37.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.275.9+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.035.173.1+2.973%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.478.7-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.979.0-4.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.877.8-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.138.976.0-1.953%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.140.479.6-1.343%-
vs Weaker (8)41.231.272.5+10.0100%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.916.7
45.3%
56.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.9
31.9%
34.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.114.2
74.3%
74.5%14.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.2
53.8%
56.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.2
27.9%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws11.07.8
70.9%
74.5%7.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WLLLLLLLLL
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLWWW
#9
League position
#10
-28.2
Net rating
-17.1
95.9
Offensive rating
94.8
124.1
Defensive rating
111.9
46.3%
Effective FG%
48.3%
60.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
21.2%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.17
31.9%
3-point %
27.9%
66.3%
Assist %
63.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 94.8Defence124.1 · 111.9Shooting46.3% · 48.3%3-point %31.9% · 27.9%Ball care19.3% · 21.2%Off. rebounds26.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
0
Mazeikiai wins
No previous meetings.
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/23HNevezis97-84
12/10/23AJuventus61-84
07/10/23ALietkabelis66-84
01/10/23HRytas82-98
23/09/23ABC Wolves68-104
17/09/23HZalgiris Kaunas55-107
06/05/23ARytas65-91
02/05/23HLietkabelis65-86
29/04/23ANeptunas86-91
26/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-89
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ARytas54-90
11/10/23HNeptunas86-87 OT
09/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-73
30/09/23ABC Wolves74-84
23/09/23HJonava79-82
18/09/23AJuventus74-81
22/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas 265-69
21/04/23ASuduva-Mantinga92-83
04/04/23HVytis VDU87-73
01/04/23AVytis VDU79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game61.0-61.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential-23.0--23.0
Avg total145.0-145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Mazeikiai
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential-1.0-1.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai220100%95.086.5+8.5
2 Neptunas220100%89.588.0+1.5
3 Juventus21150%87.076.5+10.5
4 Nevezis21150%105.0104.5+0.5
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes21150%95.595.0+0.5
6 Mazeikiai1010%86.087.0-1.0
7 BC Olimpas Palanga2020%76.586.0-9.5
8 Gargzdai1010%61.084.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2826231895
Mazeikiai2425232193
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