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Neptunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 109-80
26-22 33-20 25-23 25-15
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game89.3
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Mazeikiai
14 May 2025
NEP85
MAZ79
01 Feb 2025
NEP99
MAZ63
09 Oct 2024
NEP106
MAZ71
01 Apr 2024
NEP91
MAZ89
08 Nov 2023
NEP109
MAZ80
23 Oct 2023
NEP84
MAZ87
04 Jan 2015
NEP95
MAZ77
27 Sep 2014
NEP110
MAZ64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 76
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
102-112 OT
102
112
-10
no box
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
66-98
66
98
-32
57avg 76
H08/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-87
112
87
+25
116avg 76
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
92-90
92
90
+2
88avg 76
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 76
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 76
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
77-88
77
88
-11
61avg 76
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 76
A06/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
17-18
24-16
16-26
24-30
27-20
22-24
22-21
22-26
11-23
17-18
16-31
19-18
26-15
14-19
17-24
28-20
30-25
31-21
23-21
25-24
18-24
24-22
25-20
14-23
24-23
26-10
20-31
33-16
25-19
11-27
28-25
21-21
23-17
23-34
10-16
23-23
22-14
29-16
18-20
178.9Avg total
89.1Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.087.7179.7+4.3100%
Season at home (1)92.090.0182.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)92.086.5178.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.189.8178.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)88.485.0173.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.795.8177.4-14.10%
vs Similar (10)86.285.1171.3+1.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.582.1171.5+7.473%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 72
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 72
A30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
70avg 72
H09/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
H11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
54-90
54
90
-36
36avg 72
A14/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 72
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
87-84
87
84
+3
93avg 72
A23/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 72
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 72
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
88-107
88
107
-19
85avg 72
A04/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
18-17
21-20
19-24
15-31
19-14
24-20
16-19
16-15
27-20
14-10
12-28
18-19
15-26
19-14
24-17
11-29
10-27
24-17
9-17
24-28
25-26
23-23
21-18
23-14
23-24
10-26
31-20
17-21
16-26
20-29
22-10
18-18
22-19
31-22
19-22
24-23
27-28
17-21
20-35
166.4Avg total
79.5Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.789.3174.0-4.70%
Season at home (2)80.586.5167.0-6.00%
Season away (1)93.095.0188.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)79.586.9166.4-7.420%
Last 5 (5)86.690.6177.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.777.9152.6-3.244%
vs Similar (8)83.680.2163.9+3.462%
vs Weaker (6)81.071.2152.2+9.867%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
NeptunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H08/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/11
LKL
88.6Avg total
45.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.684.7-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.645.487.0-3.827%-
Last 30 away (15)42.539.982.4+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)45.742.988.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.886.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.946.485.3-7.622%-
vs Similar (10)42.740.583.2+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.141.585.5+2.645%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
21-56
21
56
-35
A14/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A23/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A04/11
LKL
83.5Avg total
38.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.577.7+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.135.974.0+2.371%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.881.0-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.683.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.489.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.739.477.1-1.856%-
vs Similar (8)40.140.180.2+0.050%-
vs Weaker (6)42.233.876.0+8.383%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.3
58.5%
56.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.5%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.317.1
70.4%
74.5%17.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.6
56.2%
56.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.3
32.6%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
74.5%12.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWLWWWLLL
Mazeikiai
LWLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#10
+1.2
Net rating
-11.8
115.4
Offensive rating
104.5
114.2
Defensive rating
116.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
32.6%
70.0%
Assist %
65.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 104.5Defence114.2 · 116.3Shooting55.1% · 52.8%3-point %33.5% · 32.6%Ball care15.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 26.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Neptunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
1
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
23/10/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai84-87
11/10/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas86-87 OT
28/03/15Mazeikiai v Neptunas59-71
04/01/15Neptunas v Mazeikiai95-77
10/11/14Mazeikiai v Neptunas69-81
27/09/14Neptunas v Mazeikiai110-64
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23AGargzdai92-73
29/10/23AJonava77-88
25/10/23AGargzdai97-87
23/10/23HMazeikiai84-87
18/10/23HJuventus92-90
15/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-87
11/10/23AMazeikiai87-86 OT
08/10/23HBC Wolves66-98
02/10/23AJuventus102-112 OT
24/09/23ASiauliai82-90
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-107
29/10/23ASiauliai90-81
25/10/23HJuventus75-86
23/10/23ANeptunas87-84
19/10/23AGargzdai93-95
14/10/23ARytas54-90
11/10/23HNeptunas86-87 OT
09/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-73
30/09/23ABC Wolves74-84
23/09/23HJonava79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.092.092.0
Allowed / game87.790.086.5
Point differential+4.3+2.0+5.5
Avg total179.7182.0178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Mazeikiai
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.780.593.0
Allowed / game89.386.595.0
Point differential-4.7-6.0-2.0
Avg total174.0167.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai330100%98.088.7+9.3
2 Neptunas330100%92.087.7+4.3
3 Juventus32167%86.776.0+10.7
4 Nevezis42250%89.885.8+4.0
5 BC Olimpas Palanga52340%73.478.4-5.0
6 Gargzdai31233%81.091.3-10.3
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes41325%88.893.5-4.8
8 Mazeikiai3030%84.789.3-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas26332525109
Mazeikiai2220231580
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