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Mazeikiai vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-91
19-22 26-17 18-25 18-27
Position#10
Record1-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game93.4
vs
Position#9
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game86.6
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Gargzdai
25 Nov 2023
MAZ77
GAR66
22 Nov 2023
MAZ81
GAR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
54-90
54
90
-36
36avg 72
A14/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 72
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
87-84
87
84
+3
93avg 72
A23/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 72
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 72
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
88-107
88
107
-19
85avg 72
A04/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
80-109
80
109
-29
73avg 72
A08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 72
H13/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
81avg 72
A15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
64-82
64
82
-18
54avg 72
H18/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
10-27
24-17
9-17
24-28
25-26
23-23
21-18
23-14
23-24
10-26
31-20
17-21
16-26
20-29
22-10
18-18
22-19
31-22
19-22
24-23
27-28
17-21
20-35
22-26
20-33
23-25
15-25
27-24
19-22
26-10
16-25
13-19
20-23
27-31
31-17
9-24
25-15
13-20
17-23
171.5Avg total
81.0Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.093.4178.4-8.420%
Season at home (2)80.586.5167.0-6.00%
Season away (3)88.098.0186.0-10.033%
Last 10 (10)81.090.5171.5-9.540%
Last 5 (5)82.293.8176.0-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.581.8156.2-7.335%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.481.8167.1+3.662%
vs Weaker (5)79.273.0152.2+6.260%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 68
H16/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
92avg 68
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
91avg 68
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
77avg 68
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 68
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 68
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 68
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 68
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 68
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 68
H19/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
23-25
23-24
28-12
28-24
26-25
23-23
18-21
22-24
33-18
22-15
20-22
16-33
19-25
27-11
25-28
18-23
22-29
13-31
23-20
23-23
14-22
16-29
20-18
15-7
19-30
19-18
13-20
21-19
25-25
22-18
18-18
19-24
28-12
21-21
10-27
21-20
26-20
18-25
9-32
171.3Avg total
82.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.486.6164.0-9.220%
Season at home (3)82.788.3171.0-5.733%
Season away (2)69.584.0153.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)82.988.4171.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)75.485.6161.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)74.387.1161.4-12.922%
vs Similar ◀ (3)83.390.7174.0-7.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
MazeikiaiGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
21-56
21
56
-35
A14/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A23/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A04/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H13/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/11
LKL
86.4Avg total
39.5Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.679.5-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.037.275.2+0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)39.843.583.3-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)39.546.986.4-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.488.6-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.141.678.8-4.541%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.042.083.0-1.038%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.676.6+7.480%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
LKL
89.2Avg total
44.1Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.782.3-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.744.482.1-6.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.642.982.5-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)44.145.189.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.482.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)38.343.381.6-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.047.089.0-5.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.6
58.0%
56.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.7
30.6%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.7
72.1%
74.5%14.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.5
53.3%
56.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.9
34.3%
34.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.215.8
68.1%
74.5%15.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LWWLLWLWLL
Gargzdai
LLWLLLLWWW
#10
League position
#9
-13.6
Net rating
-5.8
107.6
Offensive rating
105.7
121.2
Defensive rating
111.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.2%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.6%
3-point %
34.3%
63.6%
Assist %
63.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 105.7Defence121.2 · 111.5Shooting52.5% · 52.7%3-point %30.6% · 34.3%Ball care16.2% · 19.2%Off. rebounds25.1% · 29.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mazeikiai wins
1
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
19/10/23Gargzdai v Mazeikiai95-93
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HLietkabelis64-82
15/11/23AJuventus91-90
13/11/23HNevezis88-81
08/11/23ANeptunas80-109
04/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-107
29/10/23ASiauliai90-81
25/10/23HJuventus75-86
23/10/23ANeptunas87-84
19/10/23AGargzdai93-95
14/10/23ARytas54-90
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HJuventus74-97
16/11/23ANeptunas78-84
12/11/23HJonava86-80
09/11/23HJuventus66-75
06/11/23HNeptunas73-92
30/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes76-103
25/10/23HNeptunas87-97
22/10/23ASiauliai97-79
19/10/23HMazeikiai95-93
16/10/23HNevezis97-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game85.080.588.0
Allowed / game93.486.598.0
Point differential-8.4-6.0-10.0
Avg total178.4167.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%50%0%
Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game77.482.769.5
Allowed / game86.688.384.0
Point differential-9.2-5.7-14.5
Avg total164.0171.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas550100%93.884.2+9.6
2 Siauliai54180%93.086.0+7.0
3 Juventus53260%85.077.0+8.0
4 Nevezis63350%87.585.3+2.2
5 BC Olimpas Palanga63350%76.279.0-2.8
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes51420%87.093.2-6.2
7 Mazeikiai51420%85.093.4-8.4
8 Gargzdai51420%77.486.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1926181881
Gargzdai2217252791
← all games of the day
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