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Mazeikiai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-73
16-15 27-20 14-10 12-28
Position#7
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game82.3
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game64.0
LithuaniaLKL· Mazeikiu Ventos progimnazijos (Mazeikiai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Apr 2025
MAZ80
ZAL105
26 Jan 2025
MAZ82
ZAL88
14 May 2024
MAZ58
ZAL76
09 Oct 2023
MAZ69
ZAL73
13 Apr 2015
MAZ65
ZAL96
23 Dec 2014
MAZ47
ZAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
A09/03
NKL
Silute
#6
W
70-60
70
60
+10
no box
H11/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
H29/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A01/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 68
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 68
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 68
A30/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
27-26
7-20
17-28
21-13
20-16
14-15
15-16
8-23
21-13
20-12
23-22
16-26
23-16
23-12
17-19
21-16
21-22
28-23
17-12
21-25
25-20
25-15
21-23
19-22
20-10
13-13
13-24
13-26
22-17
27-13
12-25
21-21
18-17
21-20
19-24
15-31
19-14
24-20
16-19
153.0Avg total
76.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.782.3158.0-6.70%
Season at home (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Season away (2)74.082.5156.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)76.676.4153.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)76.879.8156.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.975.3148.2-2.446%
vs Similar (8)82.176.8158.9+5.475%
vs Weaker (9)79.467.3146.8+12.178%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
95-66
95
66
+29
103avg 78
A28/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
108-93
108
93
+15
105avg 78
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 78
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 78
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
53avg 78
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 78
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
107-55
107
55
+52
108avg 78
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 78
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
80avg 78
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 78
A05/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
26-13
26-18
25-17
26-21
20-25
34-25
28-22
19-24
22-24
15-27
15-19
27-22
20-20
27-16
21-22
23-14
17-18
10-13
18-24
23-24
23-21
24-24
27-18
34-16
21-7
25-14
27-18
15-17
26-19
25-14
13-19
23-23
15-22
15-16
25-7
15-23
22-19
21-23
24-14
164.0Avg total
88.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.064.0152.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)93.062.0155.0+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.076.0164.0+12.080%
Last 5 (5)88.671.6160.2+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.081.0152.0-10.025%
vs Similar (3)86.777.7164.3+9.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.173.9160.0+12.283%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
MazeikiaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A09/03
NKL
Silute
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H11/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H29/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/09
LKL
78.3Avg total
39.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.576.1+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.434.973.3+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.938.179.0+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.978.3+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.679.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.238.176.3+0.254%-
vs Similar (8)39.839.178.9+0.650%-
vs Weaker (9)41.631.973.4+9.7100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A28/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H01/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/10
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
43.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.580.9+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.982.6+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.137.179.1+5.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.539.082.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.281.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.877.5-6.00%-
vs Similar (3)41.040.081.0+1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.737.781.4+6.074%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.3
59.8%
55.4%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.0
27.3%
34.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws11.37.7
67.6%
73.2%7.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.1
59.5%
55.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.2
38.5%
34.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.417.9
76.5%
73.2%17.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLLLWWWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLWLWW
#7
League position
#1
-10.3
Net rating
+16.0
104.7
Offensive rating
122.0
115.0
Defensive rating
106.0
51.3%
Effective FG%
58.7%
60.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.39
27.3%
3-point %
38.5%
64.8%
Assist %
58.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 122.0Defence115.0 · 106.0Shooting51.3% · 58.7%3-point %27.3% · 38.5%Ball care16.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 31.7%Free throws0.17 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mazeikiai wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
13/04/15Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas65-96
26/01/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai76-52
23/12/14Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas47-95
24/11/14Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai98-79
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23ABC Wolves74-84
23/09/23HJonava79-82
18/09/23AJuventus74-81
22/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas 265-69
21/04/23ASuduva-Mantinga92-83
04/04/23HVytis VDU87-73
01/04/23AVytis VDU79-73
29/03/23HVytis VDU72-70
11/03/23HSilute70-60
09/03/23ASuduva-Mantinga74-89
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23AVirtus Bologna82-79
01/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes78-68
28/09/23AJuventus79-69
17/09/23AGargzdai107-55
10/06/23HRytas97-87
08/06/23ARytas68-69
06/06/23HRytas95-80
03/06/23ARytas71-94
01/06/23HRytas108-93
28/05/23ALietkabelis95-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.779.074.0
Allowed / game82.382.082.5
Point differential-6.7-3.0-8.5
Avg total158.0161.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.078.093.0
Allowed / game64.068.062.0
Point differential+24.0+10.0+31.0
Avg total152.0146.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.064.0+24.0
2 BC Wolves440100%88.568.5+20.0
3 Rytas440100%98.083.8+14.2
4 Jonava440100%88.583.0+5.5
5 Juventus43175%88.279.8+8.5
6 Lietkabelis43175%90.082.0+8.0
7 Siauliai41325%79.581.5-2.0
8 Neptunas41325%85.295.2-10.0
9 Mazeikiai3030%75.782.3-6.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes4040%85.593.0-7.5
11 Nevezis4040%76.295.5-19.2
12 Gargzdai4040%67.898.2-30.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1627141269
Zalgiris Kaunas1520102873
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