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Mega Basket vs Borac Mozzart Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-78
25-26 21-18 28-20 18-14
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game75.5
Mega Basket 🏆
Serbia
vs
Borac Mozzart
Serbia
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game79.0
SerbiaSuper LeagueRound 4· Hala sportova Ranko
Other2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v Borac Mozzart
15 Mar 2026
MEG95
BOR77
09 Dec 2024
MEG98
BOR74
06 Oct 2023
MEG89
BOR90
17 May 2023
MEG92
BOR78
03 Dec 2022
MEG86
BOR74
22 May 2022
MEG85
BOR71
23 Jan 2022
MEG85
BOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Borac Mozzart winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 77
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 77
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 77
H26/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
80avg 77
H03/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 77
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
52avg 77
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
76avg 77
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 77
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 77
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
80avg 77
H10/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
26-15
28-22
17-22
17-28
18-16
31-16
20-20
23-20
20-21
26-26
21-18
19-25
17-26
17-21
25-15
24-24
14-30
26-14
12-17
11-26
23-17
18-19
18-23
22-14
15-35
18-28
22-17
20-15
23-19
22-16
18-24
19-15
27-14
14-26
20-27
19-16
26-19
32-20
11-22
165.6Avg total
82.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.575.5161.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)83.074.0157.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.183.5165.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)79.682.4162.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.888.1162.8-13.38%
vs Similar ◀ (8)92.082.6174.6+9.488%
vs Weaker (9)91.281.4172.7+9.878%
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
65avg 73
H19/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
105-84
105
84
+21
108avg 73
H25/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
99-113
99
113
-14
no box
A31/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 73
H09/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
A15/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
96-78
96
78
+18
86avg 73
H25/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
L
101-107
101
107
-6
86avg 73
A28/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
97-67
97
67
+30
93avg 73
H02/05
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
81avg 73
H11/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
86avg 73
A14/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
16-18
16-31
20-20
29-19
28-16
30-30
18-19
20-36
28-26
23-35
28-16
17-19
17-23
16-22
32-23
21-22
21-20
28-24
17-19
28-19
29-23
19-24
20-12
23-19
28-29
23-28
27-31
22-19
14-13
36-9
25-26
24-14
17-28
30-20
19-21
24-18
27-18
21-23
23-16
179.7Avg total
93.2Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.579.0171.5+13.5100%
Season at home (1)90.083.0173.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)95.075.0170.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.286.5179.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)95.882.0177.8+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.893.0168.8-17.212%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.388.4174.7-2.143%
vs Weaker (7)92.483.0175.4+9.457%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Mega BasketBorac Mozzart
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H03/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/05
Super League
82.7Avg total
40.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.484.5-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.484.2-0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.484.9-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.282.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.946.984.8-9.08%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.641.683.2+0.062%-
vs Weaker (9)44.740.985.6+3.867%-
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H19/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H25/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A31/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H25/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A28/04
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H02/05
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H11/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A14/05
Super League
87.7Avg total
46.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.585.6-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.983.9+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.146.187.2-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)46.141.687.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.240.087.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.445.983.2-8.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.444.989.3-0.443%-
vs Weaker (7)44.439.183.6+5.371%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.6
55.8%
54.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.1
31.7%
34.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.316.8
72.1%
72.9%16.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.3
55.5%
54.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.7
36.4%
34.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.219.7
81.4%
72.9%19.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLWLLLLWWW
Borac Mozzart
WWWLWWLLWL
#5
League position
#4
-1.6
Net rating
+9.3
107.1
Offensive rating
120.9
108.7
Defensive rating
111.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
55.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
12.2%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.7%
3-point %
36.4%
61.3%
Assist %
50.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 120.9Defence108.7 · 111.6Shooting52.8% · 55.1%3-point %31.7% · 36.4%Ball care18.2% · 12.2%Off. rebounds29.4% · 27.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Borac Mozzart
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mega Basket wins
2
Borac Mozzart wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Borac Mozzart v Mega Basket80-86
03/12/22Mega Basket v Borac Mozzart86-74
24/05/22Borac Mozzart v Mega Basket75-82
22/05/22Mega Basket v Borac Mozzart85-71
23/01/22Mega Basket v Borac Mozzart85-91
17/10/21Borac Mozzart v Mega Basket80-68
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/23HKK Metalac88-77
07/05/23HBuducnost80-82
03/05/23AVojvodina Novi Sad83-74
28/04/23ABuducnost77-94
15/04/23ACedevita Olimpija70-85
08/04/23HBuducnost76-85
03/04/23HCrvena zvezda78-87
26/03/23HSplit90-85
19/03/23ABorac Mozzart86-80
12/03/23HMZT Skopje93-86
Borac Mozzartlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23AKK Metalac95-75
11/05/23HVojvodina Novi Sad90-83
02/05/23HHelios Domzale97-67
28/04/23AHelios Domzale101-107
25/04/23HHelios Domzale96-78
15/04/23ABuducnost87-85
09/04/23HCrvena zvezda82-87
31/03/23ASplit99-113
25/03/23HMZT Skopje105-84
19/03/23HMega Basket80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
Super League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.588.083.0
Allowed / game75.577.074.0
Point differential+10.0+11.0+9.0
Avg total161.0165.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Borac Mozzart
Super League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.590.095.0
Allowed / game79.083.075.0
Point differential+13.5+7.0+20.0
Avg total171.5173.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FMP Beograd330100%101.784.0+17.7
2 Borac Mozzart220100%92.579.0+13.5
3 Mega Basket220100%85.575.5+10.0
4 OKK Beograd43175%91.877.5+14.2
5 Vojvodina Novi Sad31233%79.083.0-4.0
6 Spartak Subotica31233%83.388.7-5.3
7 KK Metalac3030%76.087.7-11.7
8 Zlatibor4040%77.5101.0-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2521281892
Borac Mozzart2618201478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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