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Mega Basket vs Cibona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-58
18-15 22-11 25-18 23-14
Position#9
Record6-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#16
Record2-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game87.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mega Basket v Cibona
20 Dec 2024
MEG88
CIB58
11 Mar 2024
MEG80
CIB76
23 Oct 2022
MEG93
CIB100
09 Jan 2022
MEG93
CIB89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cibona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Dubai
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 77
A05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
84-59
84
59
+25
85avg 77
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#14
L
80-90
80
90
-10
76avg 77
A19/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
53avg 77
H27/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
62avg 77
A03/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 77
H10/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 77
A16/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
60avg 77
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
100avg 77
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-110
86
110
-24
77avg 77
A14/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
18-21
24-18
23-17
23-14
21-13
19-21
21-11
20-28
20-20
22-24
18-18
11-15
19-24
19-18
15-16
14-15
19-25
24-16
12-21
23-16
21-22
19-24
13-19
21-24
25-22
20-18
16-29
21-19
19-25
11-12
17-9
26-25
26-13
24-19
22-17
17-28
23-31
28-30
18-21
159.2Avg total
79.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.479.3158.8+0.150%
Season at home (5)81.073.4154.4+7.660%
Season away (7)78.383.6161.9-5.343%
Last 10 (10)79.080.2159.2-1.240%
Last 5 (5)82.084.6166.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.190.1167.2-13.025%
vs Similar (6)82.281.8164.0+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.578.4167.8+11.191%
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCibona
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
95avg 75
H12/11
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
84-95
84
95
-11
81avg 75
A15/11
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
73-63
73
63
+10
75avg 75
A16/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
91avg 75
A29/11
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 75
A02/12
ABA League
Split
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
74avg 75
H06/12
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
73avg 75
A09/12
ABA League
Dubrava
#11
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 75
H11/12
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
66-75
66
75
-9
68avg 75
H14/12
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
88-68
88
68
+20
95avg 75
H16/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
19-23
26-16
24-29
24-17
18-24
16-29
26-25
18-8
13-15
24-13
18-27
28-26
22-27
25-27
13-8
18-29
19-20
22-26
18-13
17-20
15-29
23-18
26-24
15-24
15-20
29-24
19-20
28-19
22-24
17-21
14-8
17-18
18-14
18-17
13-26
23-10
19-12
26-22
20-24
163.3Avg total
81.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.387.5163.8-11.217%
Season at home (6)71.780.8152.5-9.233%
Season away (6)81.094.2175.2-13.20%
Last 10 (10)81.781.6163.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.878.8157.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.787.5162.2-12.713%
vs Similar (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (13)87.277.8164.9+9.477%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
Mega BasketCibona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A19/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H27/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A03/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A14/12
ABA League
82.9Avg total
40.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.045.286.2-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.444.386.7-1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.746.085.7-6.331%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.482.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.089.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.146.684.7-8.517%-
vs Similar (6)40.545.886.3-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.642.386.9+2.473%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/11
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/11
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A16/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A29/11
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A02/12
ABA League
Split
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H06/12
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/12
ABA League
Dubrava
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/12
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H14/12
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H16/12
Premijer liga
78.0Avg total
38.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.681.5-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.839.580.3+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.944.182.9-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.178.0-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.844.982.7-7.133%-
vs Similar (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (13)41.938.280.1+3.862%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.0
49.7%
54.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.5
32.8%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.916.3
78.0%
75.6%16.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.9
60.1%
54.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.4
31.1%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
75.6%12.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWWLLLLLWW
Cibona
WLWLLLWWLW
#9
League position
#16
-2.1
Net rating
+0.4
104.4
Offensive rating
105.6
106.6
Defensive rating
105.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
21.3%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
31.1%
68.7%
Assist %
66.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 105.6Defence106.6 · 105.2Shooting49.5% · 54.9%3-point %32.8% · 31.1%Ball care17.5% · 21.3%Off. rebounds30.6% · 29.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Cibona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mega Basket wins
2
Cibona wins
DateGameScore
11/03/24Mega Basket v Cibona80-76
24/11/23Cibona v Mega Basket69-83
29/01/23Cibona v Mega Basket72-106
23/10/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-100 OT
09/01/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-89
04/10/21Cibona v Mega Basket89-84 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ASpartak Subotica86-110
09/12/24HBorac Mozzart98-74
02/12/24AZadar68-65
16/11/24ACedevita Olimpija82-93
10/11/24HCrvena zvezda76-81
03/11/24ABuducnost69-77
27/10/24HIgokea64-73
19/10/24ASplit80-90
13/10/24HMornar Bar84-59
05/10/24ADubai83-80
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24HDubrovnik88-68
14/12/24HCedevita Olimpija66-75
11/12/24HDubrava81-72
09/12/24ACrvena zvezda78-88
06/12/24HSplit81-91
02/12/24ABuducnost77-88
29/11/24AKvarner99-96 OT
16/11/24AOsijek73-63
15/11/24AIgokea84-95
12/11/24HDubrava90-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game79.481.078.3
Allowed / game79.373.483.6
Point differential+0.1+7.6-5.3
Avg total158.8154.4161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cibona
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game76.371.781.0
Allowed / game87.580.894.2
Point differential-11.2-9.2-13.2
Avg total163.8152.5175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1211192%94.571.8+22.7
2 Buducnost1210283%88.273.2+15.0
3 Crvena zvezda1210283%87.779.5+8.2
4 Dubai129375%85.478.1+7.3
5 Spartak Subotica127558%86.381.8+4.5
6 FMP Beograd127558%82.183.5-1.4
7 Igokea127558%81.182.7-1.6
8 Mega Basket126650%79.479.3+0.1
9 Cedevita Olimpija126650%81.281.8-0.6
10 Zadar125742%74.275.2-1.1
11 Split125742%78.283.8-5.5
12 Studentski Centar124833%83.786.1-2.4
13 KK Krka Novo mesto123925%82.187.4-5.3
14 Borac Mozzart123925%75.686.4-10.8
15 Cibona1221017%76.387.5-11.2
16 Mornar Bar121118%75.993.8-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1822252388
Cibona1511181458
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