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Mega Basket vs Cibona Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 80-76
20-17 20-21 24-17 16-21
Position#4
Record11-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#12
Record8-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game84.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 22· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v Cibona
20 Dec 2024
MEG88
CIB58
11 Mar 2024
MEG80
CIB76
23 Oct 2022
MEG93
CIB100
09 Jan 2022
MEG93
CIB89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cibona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
98avg 79
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 79
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
103avg 79
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 79
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
76avg 79
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 79
H28/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 79
A06/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
101avg 79
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 79
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
105avg 79
A03/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-13
30-16
21-23
14-23
24-18
27-21
32-24
30-18
13-20
25-21
26-19
23-18
23-14
22-18
18-22
26-25
13-34
23-26
18-27
20-19
14-31
18-18
20-24
17-17
14-23
21-16
19-18
26-27
24-21
22-17
29-22
15-26
23-31
30-29
24-14
27-29
25-20
27-22
27-20
175.9Avg total
89.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.083.1169.1+2.852%
Season at home (10)87.684.5172.1+3.160%
Season away (11)84.581.9166.4+2.545%
Last 10 (10)89.186.8175.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)88.488.8177.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.890.5170.3-10.717%
vs Similar (8)82.883.2166.0-0.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.978.3167.2+10.773%
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCibona
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
97-89
97
89
+8
99avg 74
A02/02
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
L
85-88
85
88
-3
77avg 74
A05/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
91-63
91
63
+28
96avg 74
H10/02
ABA League
Kvarner
#7
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 74
A14/02
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#3
W
80-67
80
67
+13
73avg 74
A16/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
65avg 74
H17/02
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#9
W
71-53
71
53
+18
70avg 74
H27/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
89-75
89
75
+14
80avg 74
A02/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 74
H05/03
ABA League
Alkar
#11
L
62-73
62
73
-11
55avg 74
A09/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
25-30
23-24
18-16
17-21
23-25
19-20
26-22
20-20
27-13
22-19
22-11
19-20
16-11
27-11
20-25
22-14
21-20
20-15
17-18
12-13
15-25
27-23
14-19
21-11
20-16
14-15
16-11
28-12
18-18
18-20
25-25
25-20
24-26
24-19
21-17
11-20
23-20
8-13
20-20
155.6Avg total
81.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.784.6164.3-5.038%
Season at home (10)80.584.0164.5-3.540%
Season away (11)78.985.2164.1-6.336%
Last 10 (10)81.973.7155.6+8.270%
Last 5 (5)76.872.6149.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.384.8161.1-8.433%
vs Similar (7)84.781.7166.4+3.071%
vs Weaker (13)80.272.6152.8+7.669%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
Mega BasketCibona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A03/03
ABA League
86.3Avg total
41.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.383.8+1.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.039.483.4+4.675%-
Last 30 away (14)40.943.484.4-2.557%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.186.3-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.889.8-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.342.781.0-4.333%-
vs Similar (8)41.142.283.4-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.339.184.5+6.293%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A02/02
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A05/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H10/02
ABA League
Kvarner
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A14/02
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H17/02
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#9
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H27/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A02/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H05/03
ABA League
Alkar
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/03
Premijer liga
79.2Avg total
41.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.880.5+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.781.7+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.079.3+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.479.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.275.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.043.280.2-6.233%-
vs Similar (7)41.940.682.4+1.357%-
vs Weaker (13)41.937.579.4+4.562%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.425.3
62.6%
54.3%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.4
33.9%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.715.9
70.0%
73.8%15.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.6
55.5%
54.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.8%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.413.6
78.2%
73.8%13.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLWLLLWWWW
Cibona
LWWWLWWWLW
#4
League position
#12
+3.5
Net rating
+11.1
113.8
Offensive rating
112.5
110.3
Defensive rating
101.4
58.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.9%
3-point %
32.8%
66.7%
Assist %
68.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 112.5Defence110.3 · 101.4Shooting58.5% · 52.9%3-point %33.9% · 32.8%Ball care18.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 29.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Cibona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mega Basket wins
2
Cibona wins
DateGameScore
24/11/23Cibona v Mega Basket69-83
29/01/23Cibona v Mega Basket72-106
23/10/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-100 OT
09/01/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-89
04/10/21Cibona v Mega Basket89-84 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto106-91
15/02/24HVojvodina Novi Sad92-100
11/02/24HMornar Bar101-87
06/02/24AZadar71-74
28/01/24HBuducnost72-92
22/01/24APartizan80-112
14/01/24HFMP Beograd86-72
08/01/24ABorac Mozzart94-78
31/12/23HCedevita Olimpija97-86
25/12/23HIgokea92-76
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AAlkar62-73
05/03/24HStudentski Centar94-82
02/03/24AGKK Sibenka89-75
27/02/24HDubrava71-53
17/02/24HZadar68-80
16/02/24ADubrava80-67
14/02/24AKvarner82-67
10/02/24HKK Krka Novo mesto91-63
05/02/24AMornar Bar85-88
02/02/24ADinamo Zagreb97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeWWWLW60%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%60%45%
Points / game86.087.684.5
Allowed / game83.184.581.9
Point differential+2.8+3.1+2.5
Avg total169.1172.1166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cibona
ABA League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%40%36%
Points / game79.780.578.9
Allowed / game84.684.085.2
Point differential-5.0-3.5-6.3
Avg total164.3164.5164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2219386%89.071.8+17.2
2 Buducnost2217577%84.375.9+8.4
3 Partizan2216673%93.176.1+17.0
4 Cedevita Olimpija2214864%85.983.8+2.1
5 Zadar2213959%78.975.7+3.1
6 Mega Basket21111052%86.083.1+2.8
7 Studentski Centar22111150%86.085.5+0.5
8 Igokea22111150%77.881.1-3.4
9 Split22101245%76.379.5-3.1
10 Cibona2181338%79.784.6-5.0
11 Borac Mozzart2281436%78.083.5-5.5
12 FMP Beograd2271532%77.584.8-7.3
13 Mornar Bar2241818%76.189.6-13.5
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2241818%73.987.5-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2020241680
Cibona1721172176
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