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Split vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-80
28-20 20-20 24-22 18-18
Position#14
Record1-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.5
Split 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game72.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2024
Meetings · Split v Mega Basket
22 Mar 2026
SPL96
MEG74
19 Oct 2024
SPL90
MEG80
18 Dec 2023
SPL88
MEG73
11 Dec 2022
SPL79
MEG75
31 Mar 2022
SPL81
MEG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 78
H29/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
55-84
55
84
-29
40avg 78
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
54avg 78
A02/06
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 78
H21/09
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
95avg 78
H26/09
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
63avg 78
A28/09
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
90-59
90
59
+31
97avg 78
H04/10
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
85-78
85
78
+7
82avg 78
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
74-76
74
76
-2
64avg 78
A12/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
97avg 78
A14/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
27-20
13-23
26-12
16-23
18-24
16-16
5-21
18-26
13-23
16-26
19-18
14-14
18-21
31-24
11-20
14-24
35-16
21-25
28-25
13-33
27-26
14-19
21-19
23-9
29-14
22-26
16-10
18-16
19-23
23-22
25-17
17-13
17-18
18-22
22-23
22-25
31-24
23-10
19-24
161.5Avg total
79.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.082.5159.5-5.525%
Season at home (2)79.578.5158.0+1.050%
Season away (2)74.586.5161.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)79.981.6161.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)83.878.6162.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.885.9160.7-11.225%
vs Similar (1)76.083.0159.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (17)89.174.1163.2+15.194%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 78
A21/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
73-103
73
103
-30
60avg 78
A03/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
69-94
69
94
-25
62avg 78
H07/05
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
53avg 78
A24/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
72avg 78
H27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
68-96
68
96
-28
39avg 78
A30/05
Super League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 78
A22/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 78
H29/09
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 78
A05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
84-59
84
59
+25
85avg 78
H13/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
23-19
21-19
19-11
20-27
13-25
22-26
18-25
26-19
11-28
16-29
16-18
22-22
20-18
13-23
17-19
18-28
23-19
26-15
25-26
9-39
22-8
16-23
21-26
16-19
23-14
18-16
23-21
17-24
21-21
19-17
26-18
18-24
18-21
24-18
23-17
23-14
21-13
19-21
21-11
161.2Avg total
78.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.572.2154.8+10.2100%
Season at home (2)83.569.5153.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)81.575.0156.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.982.3161.2-3.460%
Last 5 (5)79.677.0156.6+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.692.8171.4-14.230%
vs Similar (4)93.082.2175.2+10.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.778.0165.7+9.787%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
SplitMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H29/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/06
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/09
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H26/09
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A28/09
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H04/10
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/10
Premijer liga
82.4Avg total
41.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.881.8+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.637.479.9+5.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.683.9-1.264%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.482.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.283.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.243.581.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (1)41.043.084.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (17)44.837.081.8+7.888%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A03/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H07/05
ABA League
Partizan
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A24/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A30/05
Super League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A22/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/09
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H13/10
ABA League
81.0Avg total
38.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.085.0-3.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.244.286.4-2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.843.883.6-4.053%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.481.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.477.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.448.385.7-10.910%-
vs Similar (4)42.843.586.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.140.483.5+2.780%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.6
54.5%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.2
35.5%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
75.6%14.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.0
52.1%
54.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.45.7
29.4%
35.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws24.017.2
71.7%
75.6%17.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLWWLWLLLW
Mega Basket
WWWWLWLLLW
#14
League position
#9
-1.5
Net rating
-6.0
110.9
Offensive rating
99.5
112.4
Defensive rating
105.5
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
35.5%
3-point %
29.4%
68.7%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 99.5Defence112.4 · 105.5Shooting54.0% · 49.5%3-point %35.5% · 29.4%Ball care16.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.3% · 22.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Split   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Split wins
3
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
31/03/24Mega Basket v Split92-78
18/12/23Split v Mega Basket88-73
26/03/23Mega Basket v Split90-85
11/12/22Split v Mega Basket79-75
31/03/22Split v Mega Basket81-80
12/12/21Mega Basket v Split78-65
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/24ACedevita Junior95-83
12/10/24ACedevita Olimpija74-76
06/10/24HCrvena zvezda85-78
04/10/24HDubrovnik90-59
28/09/24ABuducnost75-97
26/09/24HKvarner98-90
21/09/24HIgokea74-79
02/06/24AZadar66-93
31/05/24HZadar55-84
29/05/24HZadar87-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HMornar Bar84-59
05/10/24ADubai83-80
29/09/24HFMP Beograd83-80
22/09/24AKK Krka Novo mesto80-70
30/05/24APartizan68-96
27/05/24HPartizan92-88
24/05/24APartizan72-82
07/05/24HCrvena zvezda69-94
03/05/24ACrvena zvezda73-103
21/04/24ACedevita Olimpija85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.079.574.5
Allowed / game82.578.586.5
Point differential-5.5+1.0-12.0
Avg total159.5158.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.583.581.5
Allowed / game72.269.575.0
Point differential+10.2+14.0+6.5
Avg total154.8153.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost440100%90.563.0+27.5
2 Partizan440100%94.571.0+23.5
3 Mega Basket440100%82.572.2+10.2
4 Dubai43175%86.281.2+5.0
5 FMP Beograd53260%80.877.8+3.0
6 Igokea53260%77.679.0-1.4
7 Crvena zvezda42250%86.077.8+8.2
8 Studentski Centar42250%74.873.2+1.5
9 Spartak Subotica42250%84.586.5-2.0
10 Cedevita Olimpija52340%78.482.8-4.4
11 Borac Mozzart52340%77.083.6-6.6
12 KK Krka Novo mesto41325%77.280.8-3.5
13 Split41325%77.082.5-5.5
14 Zadar41325%70.081.2-11.2
15 Cibona51420%76.087.8-11.8
16 Mornar Bar5050%70.892.6-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2820241890
Mega Basket2020221880
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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