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Cedevita Olimpija vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 93-82
24-21 22-25 18-20 29-16
Position#6
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9· Arena Sto
Domestic2024
Meetings · Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket
05 Oct 2025
COL117
MEG81
16 Nov 2024
COL93
MEG82
21 Apr 2024
COL71
MEG85
30 Sep 2023
COL89
MEG87
15 Apr 2023
COL85
MEG70
13 Mar 2022
COL92
MEG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Split
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
74avg 82
H12/10
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 82
H15/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
L
78-91
78
91
-13
70avg 82
A18/10
ABA League
Aris
#19
W
82-75
82
75
+7
85avg 82
A23/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 82
H27/10
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
83-94
83
94
-11
77avg 82
H30/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 82
A04/11
ABA League
JL Bourg
#12
L
83-90
83
90
-7
59avg 82
H06/11
Eurocup
Zadar
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 82
A09/11
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
80-109
80
109
-29
66avg 82
A12/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
18-17
22-18
23-22
18-10
25-13
17-27
16-22
21-28
23-22
12-24
22-17
23-24
14-24
17-13
28-14
26-19
15-27
13-24
17-21
19-19
17-26
19-32
28-17
20-22
25-29
19-26
22-15
17-17
22-21
29-31
15-21
7-17
25-24
17-19
24-21
18-21
32-36
10-31
20-21
165.7Avg total
78.8Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.884.8162.5-7.025%
Season at home (3)77.085.7162.7-8.733%
Season away (5)78.284.2162.4-6.020%
Last 10 (10)78.886.9165.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)81.093.2174.2-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.096.5176.5-16.50%
vs Similar (10)80.289.2169.4-9.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.077.5166.5+11.587%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
72avg 76
H27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
68-96
68
96
-28
39avg 76
A30/05
Super League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 76
A22/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 76
H29/09
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 76
A05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
84-59
84
59
+25
85avg 76
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#14
L
80-90
80
90
-10
76avg 76
A19/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
53avg 76
H27/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
62avg 76
A03/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 76
H10/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
23-19
26-15
25-26
9-39
22-8
16-23
21-26
16-19
23-14
18-16
23-21
17-24
21-21
19-17
26-18
18-24
18-21
24-18
23-17
23-14
21-13
19-21
21-11
20-28
20-20
22-24
18-18
11-15
19-24
19-18
15-16
14-15
19-25
24-16
12-21
23-16
21-22
19-24
13-19
157.3Avg total
77.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.476.2153.6+1.150%
Season at home (4)76.873.2150.0+3.550%
Season away (4)78.079.2157.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)77.979.4157.3-1.550%
Last 5 (5)74.676.0150.6-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.689.8166.5-13.227%
vs Similar (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
vs Weaker (13)89.178.0167.1+11.192%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Cedevita OlimpijaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/10
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H15/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A18/10
ABA League
Aris
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/10
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A04/11
ABA League
JL Bourg
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/11
Eurocup
Zadar
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A09/11
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A12/11
Eurocup
83.1Avg total
39.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.286.9+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.839.283.0+4.754%-
Last 30 away (17)45.344.589.8+0.841%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.383.1-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.486.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.049.892.8-6.80%-
vs Similar (10)40.346.686.9-6.320%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.337.985.2+9.573%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A30/05
Super League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A22/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/09
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A19/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H27/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A03/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/11
ABA League
78.5Avg total
37.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.984.5-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.743.284.9-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)39.444.684.1-5.243%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.978.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.446.684.0-9.318%-
vs Similar (5)40.242.682.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker (13)43.841.184.8+2.777%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.4
53.1%
54.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.4
29.8%
35.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.9%
75.6%16.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.7
27.9%
35.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
75.6%17.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
LLLLLLWLWW
Mega Basket
LLLLWWWWLW
#6
League position
#9
-12.1
Net rating
-2.0
103.9
Offensive rating
103.6
116.1
Defensive rating
105.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
48.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.8%
3-point %
27.9%
56.8%
Assist %
60.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 103.6Defence116.1 · 105.6Shooting50.2% · 48.4%3-point %29.8% · 27.9%Ball care18.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cedevita Olimpija wins
4
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/24AValencia80-109
09/11/24AZadar73-81
06/11/24HJL Bourg83-90
04/11/24ACrvena zvezda86-92
30/10/24HHapoel Jerusalem83-94
27/10/24HBuducnost71-91
23/10/24AAris82-75
18/10/24AIgokea78-91
15/10/24HLietkabelis76-72
12/10/24HSplit76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HCrvena zvezda76-81
03/11/24ABuducnost69-77
27/10/24HIgokea64-73
19/10/24ASplit80-90
13/10/24HMornar Bar84-59
05/10/24ADubai83-80
29/09/24HFMP Beograd83-80
22/09/24AKK Krka Novo mesto80-70
30/05/24APartizan68-96
27/05/24HPartizan92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game77.877.078.2
Allowed / game84.885.784.2
Point differential-7.0-8.7-6.0
Avg total162.5162.7162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.476.878.0
Allowed / game76.273.279.2
Point differential+1.1+3.5-1.2
Avg total153.6150.0157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan880100%90.267.9+22.4
2 Buducnost87188%86.468.6+17.8
3 Crvena zvezda86275%84.577.9+6.6
4 Dubai86275%84.480.8+3.6
5 Spartak Subotica85362%84.979.5+5.4
6 Igokea95456%78.178.7-0.6
7 Mega Basket84450%77.476.2+1.1
8 FMP Beograd84450%81.683.5-1.9
9 Studentski Centar94544%82.481.3+1.1
10 Split94544%77.979.9-2.0
11 Zadar83538%73.878.8-5.0
12 Borac Mozzart83538%75.981.4-5.5
13 KK Krka Novo mesto82625%81.087.5-6.5
14 Cedevita Olimpija82625%77.884.8-7.0
15 Cibona92722%77.288.8-11.6
16 Mornar Bar81712%75.191.5-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita Olimpija2422182993
Mega Basket2125201682
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