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Mercer vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-86
0-0 44-41 0-0 45-45
Position#117
Record17-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game75.0
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Samford
USA
Position#149
Record16-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mercer v Samford
13 Jan 2027
MERC v SAMF
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
MERC89
SAMF86
15 Jan 2025
MERC74
SAMF75
17 Feb 2024
MERC88
SAMF84
08 Feb 2023
MERC69
SAMF70
05 Jan 2022
MERC83
SAMF80
05 Mar 2021
MERC87
SAMF59
08 Feb 2021
MERC89
SAMF82
19 Feb 2020
MERC106
SAMF66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
102-92
102
92
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H22/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A24/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A07/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A14/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
51-37
0-0
51-55
0-0
41-24
0-0
47-52
0-0
43-36
0-0
34-44
0-0
43-29
0-0
52-48
0-0
43-37
0-0
52-44
0-0
37-34
0-0
38-45
0-0
22-40
0-0
27-29
0-0
29-31
0-0
40-33
0-0
18-25
0-0
52-29
0-0
39-44
0-0
51-50
157.6Avg total
81.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.175.0158.1+8.261%
Season at home (13)93.571.1164.5+22.492%
Season away (15)74.278.3152.5-4.133%
Last 10 (10)81.076.6157.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)70.672.0142.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.075.4144.4-6.433%
vs Weaker (18)86.277.1163.3+9.272%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-38
0-0
44-38
0-0
41-38
0-0
37-50
0-0
32-32
0-0
43-32
0-0
33-35
0-0
40-43
0-0
41-39
0-0
47-35
0-0
39-32
0-0
39-32
0-0
40-22
0-0
29-27
0-0
47-34
0-0
50-46
0-0
38-37
0-0
30-31
0-0
31-34
0-0
47-41
151.3Avg total
79.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.274.8153.1+3.457%
Season at home (12)81.468.8150.2+12.675%
Season away (16)75.979.3155.2-3.444%
Last 10 (10)79.372.0151.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)80.868.0148.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.879.8146.6-13.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.878.2157.0+0.650%
vs Weaker (10)83.269.6152.8+13.680%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
MercerSamford
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H22/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
18-25
18
25
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.6Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.034.374.3+5.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.932.477.3+12.664%-
Last 30 away (16)35.736.171.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.633.770.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)29.034.863.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.028.062.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.435.467.9-3.033%-
vs Weaker (18)41.935.577.4+6.461%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.837.072.8-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.433.873.2+5.638%-
Last 30 away (17)33.039.572.5-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.171.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.031.870.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.839.269.0-9.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.438.474.7-2.029%-
vs Weaker (10)39.133.372.4+5.850%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mercer wins
8
Samford wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Samford v Mercer69-49
06/02/25Samford v Mercer100-79
16/01/25Mercer v Samford74-75
09/03/24Samford v Mercer70-57
17/02/24Mercer v Samford88-84
20/01/24Samford v Mercer87-80
09/02/23Mercer v Samford69-70 OT
29/12/22Samford v Mercer78-69
27/01/22Samford v Mercer75-61
06/01/22Mercer v Samford83-80
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HChattanooga Mocs90-94
14/02/26ACitadel70-54
12/02/26HFurman69-64
07/02/26ASamford49-69
06/02/26AChattanooga Mocs75-79
31/01/26HVMI95-81
30/01/26HNC Greensboro95-77
24/01/26AWofford77-80
22/01/26HWestern Carolina88-76
17/01/26ANC Greensboro102-92
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26ACitadel78-75
14/02/26AEast Tennessee St82-72 OT
12/02/26HWofford97-80
07/02/26HMercer69-49
06/02/26HCitadel78-64
01/02/26AWestern Carolina88-74
29/01/26AFurman73-78
24/01/26HChattanooga Mocs75-64
21/01/26AWofford78-88
17/01/26HEast Tennessee St75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL61%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %61%92%33%
Points / game83.193.574.2
Allowed / game75.071.178.3
Point differential+8.2+22.4-4.1
Avg total158.1164.5152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%77%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %57%75%44%
Points / game78.281.475.9
Allowed / game74.868.879.3
Point differential+3.4+12.6-3.4
Avg total153.1150.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %11%0%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2820871%78.368.1+10.2
2 Wofford28181064%79.277.0+2.3
3 Mercer28171161%83.175.0+8.2
4 Furman28171161%76.570.6+5.9
5 Samford28161257%78.274.8+3.4
6 Western Carolina27121544%78.778.3+0.4
7 NC Greensboro28121643%78.680.7-2.1
8 Chattanooga Mocs29121741%76.074.3+1.6
9 Citadel29101934%70.475.9-5.4
10 VMI2962321%72.279.7-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mercer04404589
Samford04104586
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