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Mercer vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-75
38-41 36-34
Position#264
Record9-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#61
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mercer v Samford
13 Jan 2027
MERC v SAMF
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
MERC89
SAMF86
15 Jan 2025
MERC74
SAMF75
17 Feb 2024
MERC88
SAMF84
08 Feb 2023
MERC69
SAMF70
05 Jan 2022
MERC83
SAMF80
05 Mar 2021
MERC87
SAMF59
08 Feb 2021
MERC89
SAMF82
19 Feb 2020
MERC106
SAMF66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#354
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
A08/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A19/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
H01/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A04/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
46-43
40-38
33-35
37-30
38-33
29-30
37-43
36-44
61-58
40-37
31-31
42-37
43-48
34-26
36-41
32-40
36-30
44-40
38-45
158.0Avg total
80.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.976.0157.9+5.953%
Season at home (8)89.570.0159.5+19.575%
Season away (9)75.281.3156.6-6.133%
Last 10 (10)80.377.7158.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)78.076.8154.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.777.9153.6-2.246%
vs Similar (10)71.375.7147.0-4.450%
vs Weaker (7)92.667.0159.6+25.686%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#32
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H28/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H08/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A19/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A21/12
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H02/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
46-33
37-32
49-33
54-46
34-35
26-22
46-25
33-56
31-40
55-46
42-44
41-27
45-29
44-34
44-35
47-40
34-28
36-28
40-41
153.9Avg total
82.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.574.9162.5+12.682%
Season at home (10)89.367.1156.4+22.2100%
Season away (7)85.086.1171.1-1.157%
Last 10 (10)82.271.7153.9+10.590%
Last 5 (5)85.670.4156.0+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)84.683.2167.8+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.670.1155.8+15.586%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +6.8+6.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +6.8+6.8
MercerSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#354
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A08/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A04/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
37.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.770.3+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.732.970.6+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)33.136.869.9-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.172.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.074.4+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.637.571.2-3.923%-
vs Similar (10)31.633.765.3-2.150%-
vs Weaker (7)44.931.075.9+13.9100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#32
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H28/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A06/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A19/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A21/12
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H11/01
NCAA
78.5Avg total
41.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.276.8+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.031.072.0+10.094%-
Last 30 away (13)42.340.883.1+1.554%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.478.5+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.079.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)41.341.282.6+0.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.732.774.3+9.086%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mercer wins
5
Samford wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Samford v Mercer70-57
17/02/24Mercer v Samford88-84
20/01/24Samford v Mercer87-80
09/02/23Mercer v Samford69-70 OT
29/12/22Samford v Mercer78-69
27/01/22Samford v Mercer75-61
06/01/22Mercer v Samford83-80
06/03/21Mercer v Samford87-59
11/02/21Samford v Mercer70-77 OT
09/02/21Mercer v Samford89-82 OT
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AWestern Carolina82-85
09/01/25HEast Tennessee St68-70
04/01/25AVMI70-67
01/01/25HChattanooga Mocs99-94 OT
28/12/24AGeorgia State71-68
21/12/24AWinthrop97-102
19/12/24AQueens Royals66-73
15/12/24HChicago State75-63
08/12/24AStetson89-83 OT
04/12/24HWest Georgia86-72
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HNC Greensboro76-69
10/01/25HVMI81-68
04/01/25AWestern Carolina88-69
02/01/25HCitadel86-56
21/12/24AAlabama A&M Bulldogs97-90
19/12/24AArizona64-96
08/12/24HAustin Peay72-47
06/12/24ASouth Carolina St88-81
29/11/24HWest Georgia86-65
28/11/24HUtah Valley State84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%75%33%
Points / game81.989.575.2
Allowed / game76.070.081.3
Point differential+5.9+19.5-6.1
Avg total157.9159.5156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %18%25%11%
Samford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %82%100%57%
Points / game87.589.385.0
Allowed / game74.967.186.1
Point differential+12.6+22.2-1.1
Avg total162.5156.4171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%70%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%10%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford1714382%87.574.9+12.6
2 Furman1714382%77.265.8+11.4
3 NC Greensboro1710759%74.565.0+9.5
4 East Tennessee St1710759%75.167.4+7.7
5 Chattanooga Mocs1710759%77.572.2+5.3
6 Mercer179853%81.976.0+5.9
7 Wofford179853%75.170.5+4.6
8 VMI1871139%76.472.3+4.1
9 Citadel1551033%69.973.3-3.4
10 Western Carolina1651131%69.077.6-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer383674
Samford413475
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