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Mercer vs Samford Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#259
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#281
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mercer v Samford
13 Jan 2027
MERC v SAMF
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
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SAMF86
15 Jan 2025
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SAMF75
17 Feb 2024
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SAMF84
08 Feb 2023
MERC69
SAMF70
05 Jan 2022
MERC83
SAMF80
05 Mar 2021
MERC87
SAMF59
08 Feb 2021
MERC89
SAMF82
19 Feb 2020
MERC106
SAMF66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Samford win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
51-50
44-41
45-45
32-33
42-45
49-35
33-41
35-36
38-41
39-21
51-32
24-47
43-49
33-34
43-54
39-46
39-32
28-31
33-44
161.3Avg total
79.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Season at home (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
Season away (4)75.287.5162.8-12.225%
Last 10 (10)79.981.4161.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.086.3154.3-18.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.075.9149.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (16)84.177.9162.0+6.156%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Berry Vikings
#413
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H03/11
NCAA
UNLV
#74
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#41
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
50-46
38-37
30-31
31-34
47-41
41-44
45-45
36-36
44-25
50-41
37-37
46-46
35-40
45-28
42-30
40-45
39-43
34-40
32-50
160.0Avg total
82.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.378.7156.0-1.333%
Season at home (2)76.574.0150.5+2.550%
Season away (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)82.377.7160.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)80.080.0160.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.383.0150.3-15.717%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.178.4157.6+0.743%
vs Weaker (9)83.665.3148.9+18.289%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
MercerSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.673.8+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.633.278.9+12.471%-
Last 30 away (16)33.635.869.4-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.873.0-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.868.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.337.365.7-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.536.873.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)40.135.475.6+4.756%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Berry Vikings
#413
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H03/11
NCAA
UNLV
#74
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#41
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H14/11
NCAA
79.3Avg total
40.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.774.2+0.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.634.675.2+6.144%-
Last 30 away (14)34.039.173.1-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.579.3+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.083.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.339.370.7-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.939.177.0-1.329%-
vs Weaker (9)40.332.172.4+8.256%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mercer wins
8
Samford wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26Mercer v Samford89-86
07/02/26Samford v Mercer69-49
06/02/25Samford v Mercer100-79
16/01/25Mercer v Samford74-75
09/03/24Samford v Mercer70-57
17/02/24Mercer v Samford88-84
20/01/24Samford v Mercer87-80
09/02/23Mercer v Samford69-70 OT
29/12/22Samford v Mercer78-69
27/01/22Samford v Mercer75-61
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AWest Virginia61-75
11/11/26AGeorgia Southern97-91 OT
08/11/26ADavidson76-88
06/11/26AVirginia Tech67-96
02/11/26HReinhardt90-53
08/03/26HWestern Carolina73-77
28/02/26HEast Tennessee St82-76
26/02/26AWestern Carolina74-78
21/02/26HSamford89-86
20/02/26HChattanooga Mocs90-94
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWright State66-90
07/11/26AUNLV79-88
03/11/26HBerry Vikings87-58
07/03/26HFurman81-86
28/02/26HNC Greensboro87-78
27/02/26HVMI80-61
21/02/26AMercer86-89
20/02/26ACitadel78-75
14/02/26AEast Tennessee St82-72 OT
12/02/26HWofford97-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game78.290.075.2
Allowed / game80.653.087.5
Point differential-2.4+37.0-12.2
Avg total158.8143.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%25%
Samford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.376.579.0
Allowed / game78.774.088.0
Point differential-1.3+2.5-9.0
Avg total156.0150.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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