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Mestre vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 55-83
22-18 9-21 13-30 11-14
Position#15
Record9-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#17
Record6-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game81.6
ItalySerie A2Round 21· Palasport Taliercio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Forli
03 Apr 2027
MEST v FORL
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
MEST55
FORL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 67
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 67
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 67
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 67
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
73avg 67
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 67
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 67
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 67
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 67
A03/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
22-23
19-15
27-13
13-20
13-22
22-18
10-21
22-26
22-13
19-15
16-21
15-19
22-14
18-14
20-23
24-21
10-18
23-21
15-23
23-22
14-22
24-18
24-24
21-20
15-26
16-16
22-10
20-13
19-21
15-19
25-22
15-15
26-16
15-23
18-15
16-20
14-22
21-18
12-17
151.0Avg total
74.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.779.9157.6-2.247%
Season at home (9)78.380.7159.0-2.356%
Season away (10)77.179.2156.3-2.140%
Last 10 (10)74.876.2151.0-1.460%
Last 5 (5)75.075.8150.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.182.0156.1-7.927%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.177.9161.0+5.371%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
59-86
59
86
-27
52avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 69
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 69
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 69
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 69
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 69
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 69
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 69
H21/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
79-93
79
93
-14
76avg 69
A28/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
69-79
69
79
-10
61avg 69
H04/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-16
20-23
17-26
17-21
17-21
22-22
17-24
18-18
15-19
20-23
21-15
16-24
24-24
20-23
17-24
27-20
19-26
26-22
13-15
24-25
19-27
29-18
21-19
16-8
11-23
23-18
21-22
24-27
19-18
22-21
22-20
14-27
22-26
22-24
17-27
18-16
18-18
28-23
14-19
9-19
161.5Avg total
76.4Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.981.6157.5-5.730%
Season at home (10)78.480.2158.6-1.840%
Season away (10)73.483.0156.4-9.620%
Last 10 (10)76.485.1161.5-8.710%
Last 5 (5)77.884.0161.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.183.3156.4-10.114%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.478.7159.1+1.753%
vs Weaker (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
MestreForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/01
Serie A2
76.3Avg total
36.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)39.241.880.9-2.642%-
Last 30 at home (9)39.042.781.7-3.744%-
Last 30 away (10)39.341.080.3-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.676.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.476.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.642.580.1-4.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.342.684.9-0.343%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A28/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H04/01
Serie A2
83.6Avg total
40.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.780.6-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.540.683.1+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.740.878.4-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.583.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.285.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.339.676.9-2.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.140.883.9+2.360%-
vs Weaker (1)30.054.084.0-24.00%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.6
47.2%
50.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.9
35.9%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.712.3
78.3%
74.4%12.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.0
45.7%
50.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.6
38.1%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.213.6
74.7%
74.4%13.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LWWWLLWWLW
Forli
LLLLWLLLLL
#15
League position
#17
-1.3
Net rating
-12.6
106.6
Offensive rating
106.4
107.8
Defensive rating
119.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.9%
3-point %
38.1%
54.9%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 106.4Defence107.8 · 119.0Shooting49.8% · 51.0%3-point %35.9% · 38.1%Ball care14.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.3% · 25.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Mestre   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Forli v Mestre85-80
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ACividale63-77
27/12/25HBasket Torino74-69
19/12/25ALibertas Livorno79-75
13/12/25HVerona74-72
06/12/25AUrania Milano85-86
03/12/25ABrindisi72-83
22/11/25HJuVi Cremona75-70
16/11/25AAvellino Basket79-75
12/11/25HFortitudo Bologna58-81
09/11/25APistoia89-74
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HJuVi Cremona69-79
28/12/25ABlu Basket Bergamo79-93
21/12/25HRimini77-86
14/12/25AAvellino Basket79-90
08/12/25HPistoia85-72
30/11/25ARoseto82-88
26/11/25HPesaro88-91
23/11/25AFortitudo Bologna72-81
16/11/25HVerona74-85
12/11/25ALibertas Livorno59-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game77.778.377.1
Allowed / game79.980.779.2
Point differential-2.2-2.3-2.1
Avg total157.6159.0156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game75.978.473.4
Allowed / game81.680.283.0
Point differential-5.7-1.8-9.6
Avg total157.5158.6156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2014670%82.075.5+6.5
2 Brindisi2014670%77.371.6+5.7
3 Pesaro2014670%81.876.8+4.9
4 Verona2013765%77.274.0+3.2
5 Cividale2113862%77.175.8+1.3
6 Libertas Livorno2012860%78.173.4+4.7
7 Scafati2012860%82.077.6+4.3
8 Fortitudo Bologna2012860%75.972.2+3.8
9 Sebastiani Rieti2112957%79.576.9+2.6
10 Avellino Basket2011955%80.377.4+3.0
11 Basket Torino20101050%74.173.1+1.0
12 Blu Basket Bergamo1991047%80.881.7-0.9
13 Mestre1991047%77.779.9-2.2
14 Cento2091145%79.080.2-1.2
15 Urania Milano2071335%77.583.0-5.5
16 JuVi Cremona2071335%74.279.8-5.6
17 Pistoia2061430%77.882.2-4.5
18 Forli2061430%75.981.6-5.7
19 Ruvo Di Puglia2061430%74.784.9-10.2
20 Roseto2041620%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre229131155
Forli1821301483
← all games of the day
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