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Miami (FL) vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 72-75
41-40 31-35
Position#246
Record15-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#19
Record18-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Miami (FL) v North Carolina
10 Feb 2026
MIAM75
NORT66
10 Feb 2024
MIAM72
NORT75
18 Jan 2022
MIAM85
NORT57
05 Jan 2021
MIAM65
NORT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
A06/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H18/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-44
36-29
41-37
30-43
29-30
46-41
35-45
40-39
31-30
38-42
37-29
36-32
40-29
32-39
29-33
39-41
26-35
56-39
17-29
21-31
143.5Avg total
70.5Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.371.7150.0+6.662%
Season at home (16)83.670.6154.2+13.081%
Season away (8)67.873.9141.6-6.125%
Last 10 (10)70.573.0143.5-2.540%
Last 5 (5)66.667.4134.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.279.0155.2-2.850%
vs Similar (13)76.471.6148.0+4.862%
vs Weaker (7)83.962.6146.4+21.386%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A06/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A31/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
31-21
30-28
37-26
52-30
51-37
46-29
40-41
34-31
42-35
33-34
52-30
36-41
39-27
37-37
36-37
45-35
48-49
34-43
42-37
148.1Avg total
79.9Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.870.3153.1+12.478%
Season at home (14)88.471.5159.9+16.986%
Season away (9)74.068.6142.6+5.467%
Last 10 (10)79.968.2148.1+11.780%
Last 5 (5)80.474.0154.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)76.372.7149.0+3.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.166.7147.8+14.485%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +7.8+7.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +7.8+7.8
Miami (FL)North Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H18/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
17-29
17
29
-12
A06/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
32.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.233.470.5+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.132.272.2+7.967%-
Last 30 away (12)32.835.268.0-2.342%-
Last 10 (10)32.234.166.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)29.831.060.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.938.273.1-3.320%-
vs Similar (13)35.031.866.8+3.262%-
vs Weaker (7)44.429.473.9+15.0100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
38.1Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.170.7+4.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.033.774.7+7.365%-
Last 30 away (13)33.232.365.5+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.134.272.3+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.075.0-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (9)37.332.469.8+4.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.732.970.6+4.960%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami (FL) wins
2
North Carolina wins
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24AVirginia38-60
03/02/24HVirginia Tech82-74
31/01/24ANC State68-74
27/01/24HPittsburgh72-68
25/01/24ANotre Dame73-61
20/01/24ASyracuse69-72
18/01/24HFlorida State75-84
14/01/24AVirginia Tech75-71
11/01/24HLouisville71-80
06/01/24AWake Forest82-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HClemson76-80
03/02/24HDuke93-84
31/01/24AGeorgia Tech73-74
27/01/24AFlorida State75-68
23/01/24HWake Forest85-64
20/01/24ABoston College76-66
18/01/24HLouisville86-70
13/01/24HSyracuse103-67
11/01/24ANC State67-54
06/01/24AClemson65-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWLLWW81%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %62%81%25%
Points / game78.383.667.8
Allowed / game71.770.673.9
Point differential+6.6+13.0-6.1
Avg total150.0154.2141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%12%
North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL78%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %78%86%67%
Points / game82.888.474.0
Allowed / game70.371.568.6
Point differential+12.4+16.9+5.4
Avg total153.1159.9142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%64%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2318578%80.767.6+13.0
2 North Carolina2318578%82.870.3+12.4
3 Virginia2318578%65.156.9+8.2
4 SMU Mustangs2316770%76.464.4+12.0
5 Clemson2316770%79.072.2+6.7
6 Wake Forest2215768%80.770.0+10.7
7 Pittsburgh2315865%75.366.7+8.6
8 NC State2315865%75.270.0+5.2
9 Miami (FL)2415962%78.371.7+6.6
10 Syracuse2415962%75.674.5+1.1
11 Virginia Tech2213959%74.369.2+5.1
12 Florida State2213959%76.674.1+2.5
13 Boston College23131057%75.372.4+2.8
14 Stanford22111150%77.976.1+1.8
15 California23101343%75.676.5-0.9
16 Georgia Tech23101343%72.076.2-4.2
17 Notre Dame2371630%61.565.7-4.2
18 Louisville2371630%73.778.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)413172
North Carolina403575
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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