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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Dec 2012
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 95-97
28-29 24-24 22-24 21-20
Position#1
Record18-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game97.4
vs
Position#10
Record19-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game96.6
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Miami Heat v Golden State Warriors
17 Jan 2027
MIA v GSW
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
MIA110
GSW96
25 Mar 2025
MIA112
GSW86
21 Jul 2024
MIA102
GSW99
26 Mar 2024
MIA92
GSW113
01 Nov 2022
MIA116
GSW109
05 Jul 2022
MIA94
GSW70
23 Mar 2022
MIA104
GSW118
01 Apr 2021
MIA116
GSW109
29 Nov 2019
MIA122
GSW105
27 Feb 2019
MIA126
GSW125
03 Dec 2017
MIA95
GSW123
23 Jan 2017
MIA105
GSW102
24 Feb 2016
MIA112
GSW118
25 Nov 2014
MIA97
GSW114
17 Oct 2014
MIA115
GSW108
02 Jan 2014
MIA114
GSW123
12 Dec 2012
MIA95
GSW97
01 Jan 2011
MIA114
GSW107
02 Mar 2010
MIA110
GSW106
23 Dec 2008
MIA96
GSW88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A16/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
113-106 OT
113
106
+7
H22/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
110-108
110
108
+2
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H30/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H02/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
101-105
101
105
-4
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
92-112
92
112
-20
H07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H11/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
26-22
25-24
19-27
23-23
29-29
23-19
22-17
29-15
17-29
25-29
27-25
26-29
22-30
29-20
33-29
22-27
25-17
26-32
32-24
16-24
34-35
32-19
20-11
25-30
29-30
24-22
23-23
26-23
27-30
27-37
12-22
31-32
33-15
22-25
20-18
28-26
28-28
26-20
19-18
200.8Avg total
102.5Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)100.897.4198.2+3.367%
Season at home (16)104.897.9202.7+6.875%
Season away (11)95.096.7191.7-1.755%
Last 10 (10)102.598.3200.8+4.280%
Last 5 (5)100.497.6198.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)99.0100.4199.4-1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)102.995.0197.9+7.976%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H22/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H25/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
106-105
106
105
+1
H30/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
103-92
103
92
+11
H02/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H04/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
104-97
104
97
+7
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
109-102
109
102
+7
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A09/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A11/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
23-16
33-20
28-27
21-23
32-24
17-31
21-24
16-18
31-33
23-23
26-11
30-25
21-35
27-26
28-19
20-20
31-24
31-28
21-20
27-28
20-23
22-18
25-33
21-20
19-18
39-23
25-36
24-31
31-32
29-19
25-20
28-21
22-26
21-23
30-27
38-23
20-17
35-34
11-22
198.1Avg total
101.0Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)98.696.6195.2+2.068%
Season at home (11)98.594.9193.5+3.673%
Season away (17)98.697.8196.4+0.965%
Last 10 (10)101.097.1198.1+3.980%
Last 5 (5)102.498.8201.2+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)98.8106.0204.8-7.225%
vs Similar (18)97.695.7193.2+1.967%
vs Weaker (8)99.093.8192.8+5.275%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
Miami HeatGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A16/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H30/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H02/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H11/12
NBA
103.8Avg total
52.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.550.0102.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (19)54.350.5104.8+3.763%-
Last 30 away (11)49.549.298.6+0.345%-
Last 10 (10)52.451.4103.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)55.454.6110.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)51.350.8102.2+0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)53.449.4102.8+4.059%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H25/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H30/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H02/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H04/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A09/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A11/12
NBA
98.0Avg total
49.3Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.748.397.1+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.547.395.8+1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)48.949.198.1-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)49.348.798.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.047.897.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)49.054.2103.2-5.250%-
vs Similar (18)47.648.395.9-0.739%-
vs Weaker (8)51.145.596.6+5.675%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
1
Golden State Warriors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/12HAtlanta Hawks101-92
09/12/12HNew Orleans Pelicans106-90
07/12/12HNew York Knicks92-112
05/12/12AWashington Wizards101-105
02/12/12HBrooklyn Nets102-89
30/11/12HSan Antonio Spurs105-100
25/11/12HCleveland Cavaliers110-108
22/11/12HMilwaukee Bucks113-106 OT
18/11/12APhoenix Suns97-88
16/11/12ADenver Nuggets98-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/12ACharlotte Hornets104-96
09/12/12AWashington Wizards101-97
08/12/12ABrooklyn Nets109-102
06/12/12ADetroit Pistons104-97
04/12/12HOrlando Magic94-102
02/12/12HIndiana Pacers103-92
30/11/12HDenver Nuggets106-105
25/11/12HMinnesota Timberwolves96-85
24/11/12ADenver Nuggets91-102
22/11/12HBrooklyn Nets102-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %67%75%55%
Points / game100.8104.895.0
Allowed / game97.497.996.7
Point differential+3.3+6.8-1.7
Avg total198.2202.7191.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281117
Win %68%73%65%
Points / game98.698.598.6
Allowed / game96.694.997.8
Point differential+2.0+3.6+0.9
Avg total195.2193.5196.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %7%9%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2821775%104.596.3+8.1
2 San Antonio Spurs2821775%105.097.7+7.2
3 New York Knicks2719870%101.396.5+4.7
4 Los Angeles Clippers2920969%100.093.7+6.3
5 Memphis Grizzlies2517868%98.693.6+5.0
6 Golden State Warriors2819968%98.696.6+2.0
7 Miami Heat2718967%100.897.4+3.3
8 Philadelphia 76ers28181064%95.393.8+1.5
9 Atlanta Hawks26161062%96.893.5+3.3
10 Chicago Bulls27161159%93.090.3+2.7
11 Utah Jazz30171357%100.797.1+3.7
12 Brooklyn Nets27151256%96.195.4+0.7
13 Minnesota Timberwolves24131154%92.189.1+3.0
14 Houston Rockets27141352%104.3104.1+0.2
15 Dallas Mavericks27141352%99.198.9+0.2
16 Indiana Pacers29151452%91.091.4-0.4
17 Boston Celtics26131350%96.896.4+0.4
18 Denver Nuggets29141548%98.9100.2-1.3
19 Milwaukee Bucks27131448%96.297.1-0.9
20 Sacramento Kings27121544%95.698.4-2.9
21 Portland Trail Blazers28121643%97.5100.1-2.5
22 Phoenix Suns29111838%97.7101.1-3.4
23 Orlando Magic29101934%93.297.6-4.3
24 Detroit Pistons32112134%93.396.2-2.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans2891932%89.595.4-5.9
26 Toronto Raptors2992031%96.8100.9-4.1
27 Los Angeles Lakers3092130%97.399.4-2.1
28 Charlotte Hornets2882029%94.1101.6-7.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers2972224%93.7100.1-6.4
30 Washington Wizards2662023%91.997.6-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2824222195
Golden State Warriors2924242097
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