PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 95-123
36-33 24-29 17-37 18-24
Position#16
Record14-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game103.2
vs
Position#2
Record19-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Golden State Warriors
17 Jan 2027
MIA v GSW
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
MIA110
GSW96
25 Mar 2025
MIA112
GSW86
21 Jul 2024
MIA102
GSW99
26 Mar 2024
MIA92
GSW113
01 Nov 2022
MIA116
GSW109
05 Jul 2022
MIA94
GSW70
23 Mar 2022
MIA104
GSW118
01 Apr 2021
MIA116
GSW109
29 Nov 2019
MIA122
GSW105
27 Feb 2019
MIA126
GSW125
03 Dec 2017
MIA95
GSW123
23 Jan 2017
MIA105
GSW102
24 Feb 2016
MIA112
GSW118
25 Nov 2014
MIA97
GSW114
17 Oct 2014
MIA115
GSW108
02 Jan 2014
MIA114
GSW123
12 Dec 2012
MIA95
GSW97
01 Jan 2011
MIA114
GSW107
02 Mar 2010
MIA110
GSW106
23 Dec 2008
MIA96
GSW88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
103-112
103
112
-9
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
95-120
95
120
-25
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
109-97
109
97
+12
A25/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
100-93
100
93
+7
A26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
86-115
86
115
-29
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
29-24
23-28
22-29
19-30
30-31
25-10
19-31
26-17
24-12
16-28
25-31
27-29
28-29
13-32
27-30
27-16
27-25
25-22
25-35
28-24
30-24
23-22
28-27
7-13
38-29
19-19
36-32
24-35
25-40
25-18
23-15
22-33
22-32
20-23
22-27
22-30
28-19
29-26
26-25
201.6Avg total
98.3Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)100.0103.2203.2-3.250%
Season at home (13)103.4104.7208.1-1.362%
Season away (15)97.1102.0199.1-4.940%
Last 10 (10)98.3103.3201.6-5.050%
Last 5 (5)99.4102.6202.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)86.396.7183.0-10.333%
vs Similar (22)100.2104.6204.8-4.441%
vs Weaker (5)104.696.4201.0+8.2100%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
110-100
110
100
+10
H14/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
124-116
124
116
+8
A19/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
118-111
118
111
+7
A19/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
91-108
91
108
-17
A23/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
143-94
143
94
+49
H25/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
110-95
110
95
+15
H26/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
106-110
106
110
-4
H28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
127-123 OT
127
123
+4
A30/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
133-112
133
112
+21
A02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
29-27
32-19
22-25
28-18
19-24
21-26
20-24
28-47
24-27
47-15
25-27
32-20
32-22
34-42
20-27
26-33
22-32
23-29
20-14
29-32
45-21
36-13
33-28
17-31
36-22
31-22
26-20
27-27
28-26
27-30
24-27
30-20
20-34
34-30
25-25
41-34
37-29
24-28
31-21
221.1Avg total
115.0Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)117.4107.6225.0+9.970%
Season at home (14)114.6106.1220.7+8.664%
Season away (13)120.4109.2229.5+11.277%
Last 10 (10)115.0106.1221.1+8.970%
Last 5 (5)123.8106.8230.6+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.096.5185.5-7.550%
vs Similar (7)107.6104.7212.3+2.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)118.8106.7225.4+12.176%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
Miami HeatGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A25/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
49-75
49
75
-26
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H02/12
NBA
103.5Avg total
51.2Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.251.9103.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.650.8102.4+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)50.952.8103.8-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)51.252.3103.5-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)49.255.8105.0-6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.756.098.7-13.30%-
vs Similar (22)52.052.7104.7-0.645%-
vs Weaker (5)52.845.898.6+7.080%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H14/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A19/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A19/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A23/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H25/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H26/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A30/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A02/12
NBA
113.2Avg total
57.7Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.955.1112.0+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.653.9111.6+3.771%-
Last 30 away (16)56.256.1112.4+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)57.755.5113.2+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)62.055.2117.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.051.094.0-8.050%-
vs Similar (7)54.656.4111.0-1.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)59.055.0114.0+4.062%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 98.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.623.5
49.4%
51.0%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.212.5
36.5%
36.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
76.5%13.8
They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.532.9
56.2%
51.0%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
36.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.715.9
80.7%
76.5%15.9
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLWWWLWLL
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWLWWLW
#16
League position
#2
-5.2
Net rating
+8.6
101.8
Offensive rating
110.6
107.0
Defensive rating
102.0
51.7%
Effective FG%
56.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
18.6%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.5%
3-point %
37.9%
61.1%
Assist %
69.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 110.6Defence107.0 · 102.0Shooting51.7% · 56.4%3-point %36.5% · 37.9%Ball care15.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds18.6% · 21.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/17HCharlotte Hornets105-100
30/11/17ANew York Knicks86-115
29/11/17ACleveland Cavaliers97-108
26/11/17AChicago Bulls100-93
25/11/17AMinnesota Timberwolves109-97
23/11/17HBoston Celtics104-98
19/11/17HIndiana Pacers95-120
18/11/17AWashington Wizards91-88
16/11/17HWashington Wizards93-102
12/11/17ADetroit Pistons103-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/17AOrlando Magic133-112
30/11/17ALos Angeles Lakers127-123 OT
28/11/17HSacramento Kings106-110
26/11/17HNew Orleans Pelicans110-95
25/11/17HChicago Bulls143-94
23/11/17AOklahoma City Thunder91-108
19/11/17ABrooklyn Nets118-111
19/11/17APhiladelphia 76ers124-116
17/11/17ABoston Celtics88-92
14/11/17HOrlando Magic110-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %50%62%40%
Points / game100.0103.497.1
Allowed / game103.2104.7102.0
Point differential-3.2-1.3-4.9
Avg total203.2208.1199.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%8%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%64%77%
Points / game117.4114.6120.4
Allowed / game107.6106.1109.2
Point differential+9.9+8.6+11.2
Avg total225.0220.7229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2824486%104.897.1+7.7
2 Houston Rockets2520580%112.4102.1+10.4
3 Golden State Warriors2719870%117.4107.6+9.9
4 San Antonio Spurs2718967%102.697.9+4.7
5 Toronto Raptors2617965%110.6103.5+7.0
6 Portland Trail Blazers28171161%104.9100.3+4.6
7 Cleveland Cavaliers28171161%109.3108.4+0.9
8 Detroit Pistons27161159%104.8103.0+1.8
9 Denver Nuggets27161159%106.7106.3+0.4
10 Utah Jazz26151158%104.2100.1+4.1
11 Washington Wizards26151158%107.8103.8+4.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves26151158%108.0107.9+0.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers27151256%108.4107.9+0.5
14 Indiana Pacers26141254%107.9107.2+0.7
15 Milwaukee Bucks25131252%102.6104.4-1.8
16 Miami Heat28141450%100.0103.2-3.2
17 New Orleans Pelicans27131448%107.7110.0-2.3
18 Oklahoma City Thunder24111346%102.298.9+3.3
19 Orlando Magic30131743%106.2108.4-2.2
20 Brooklyn Nets26111542%110.3111.7-1.3
21 New York Knicks27111641%103.1105.4-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets26101638%104.7106.2-1.5
23 Los Angeles Clippers26101638%104.8107.3-2.4
24 Memphis Grizzlies27101737%99.4100.2-0.9
25 Los Angeles Lakers28101836%104.8107.8-3.0
26 Dallas Mavericks29101934%100.4102.6-2.1
27 Phoenix Suns2891932%106.8115.6-8.8
28 Sacramento Kings2982128%94.6104.7-10.1
29 Atlanta Hawks2772026%101.9106.7-4.8
30 Chicago Bulls2762122%97.0107.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat3624171895
Golden State Warriors33293724123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.