PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Michigan State vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-51
36-16 37-35
Position#17
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#226
Record11-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan State v Minnesota
02 Dec 2026
MICH v MINN
upcoming
28 Jan 2025
MICH73
MINN51
14 Mar 2024
MICH77
MINN67
18 Jan 2024
MICH76
MINN66
15 Feb 2023
MICH v MINN
upcoming
12 Jan 2022
MICH71
MINN69
09 Jan 2020
MICH74
MINN58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
48-21
31-30
46-28
42-29
44-40
37-24
43-38
37-29
32-33
42-13
46-41
47-28
31-40
46-36
44-49
36-36
44-42
35-32
46-42
148.0Avg total
81.8Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.768.1149.7+13.689%
Season at home (14)81.466.1147.6+15.386%
Season away (5)82.473.4155.8+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.866.2148.0+15.6100%
Last 5 (5)83.471.8155.2+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar (7)70.065.4135.4+4.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.367.0147.3+13.385%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#132
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A09/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
61-81
61
81
-20
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A11/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A13/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A22/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-44
36-38
20-21
54-39
55-37
35-31
27-28
34-53
28-27
36-37
29-30
30-50
35-32
36-45
31-40
40-31
32-28
40-39
44-38
33-31
149.7Avg total
74.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.868.7138.4+1.055%
Season at home (15)71.767.4139.1+4.367%
Season away (5)64.072.6136.6-8.620%
Last 10 (10)74.375.4149.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)72.674.8147.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.974.6144.5-4.740%
vs Similar (12)71.668.8140.3+2.858%
vs Weaker (2)69.570.0139.5-0.550%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -2.0-2.0
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -2.0-2.0
Michigan StateMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-13
42
13
+29
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
39.4Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.467.8+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.130.666.7+5.561%-
Last 30 away (12)36.832.669.3+4.267%-
Last 10 (10)39.428.868.2+10.690%-
Last 5 (5)41.229.070.2+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (7)31.730.662.3+1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.830.869.6+8.080%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#132
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
20-21
20
21
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A22/01
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
33.2Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.933.265.1-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.431.562.9-0.137%-
Last 30 away (11)32.736.268.9-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.565.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.667.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.534.064.5-3.533%-
vs Similar (12)33.431.865.2+1.650%-
vs Weaker (2)31.033.564.5-2.50%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Michigan State wins
2
Minnesota wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ARutgers81-74
19/01/25HIllinois80-78
16/01/25HPenn State90-85
12/01/25ANorthwestern78-68
10/01/25HWashington88-54
04/01/25AOhio State69-62
30/12/24HWestern Michigan80-62
21/12/24HFlorida Atlantic86-69
18/12/24HOakland77-58
07/12/24HNebraska89-52
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HOregon77-69
22/01/25AIowa72-67
17/01/25HMichigan84-81 OT
13/01/25AMaryland71-77
11/01/25AWisconsin59-80
07/01/25HOhio State88-89 OT
03/01/25HPurdue61-81
29/12/24HMorgan State90-68
21/12/24HFairleigh Dickinson74-60
09/12/24AIndiana67-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %89%86%100%
Points / game81.781.482.4
Allowed / game68.166.173.4
Point differential+13.6+15.3+9.0
Avg total149.7147.6155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%20%
Minnesota
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20155
Win %55%67%20%
Points / game69.871.764.0
Allowed / game68.767.472.6
Point differential+1.1+4.3-8.6
Avg total138.4139.1136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)57% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %15%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State1917289%81.768.1+13.6
2 Wisconsin2016480%82.570.3+12.2
3 Oregon2016480%77.970.3+7.6
4 Maryland2116576%83.465.4+18.0
5 Purdue2116576%77.567.5+10.0
6 Michigan2015575%83.270.7+12.5
7 UCLA2115671%75.965.0+10.9
8 Illinois2014670%85.869.5+16.3
9 Indiana2114767%77.173.1+4.0
10 Penn State2113862%83.272.1+11.0
11 Iowa2113862%85.778.5+7.2
12 Ohio State2012860%79.871.0+8.8
13 Northwestern2012860%74.268.9+5.3
14 Nebraska2012860%75.371.0+4.3
15 USC2012860%77.072.8+4.2
16 Minnesota2011955%69.868.7+1.1
17 Rutgers20101050%76.575.2+1.2
18 Washington1991047%71.472.3-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State363773
Minnesota163551
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.