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Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position#28
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game66.2
Michigan State
USA
vs
Minnesota
USA
Position#53
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game58.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Michigan State v Minnesota
02 Dec 2026
MICH v MINN
upcoming
28 Jan 2025
MICH73
MINN51
14 Mar 2024
MICH77
MINN67
18 Jan 2024
MICH76
MINN66
15 Feb 2023
MICH v MINN
upcoming
12 Jan 2022
MICH71
MINN69
09 Jan 2020
MICH74
MINN58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#267
W
96-59
96
59
+37
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
106-72
106
72
+34
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
60-57
41-42
39-48
33-44
51-44
45-25
47-42
36-31
41-38
27-35
36-32
52-24
44-35
48-25
43-36
34-25
45-48
59-44
47-28
159.2Avg total
85.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.066.2159.2+26.8100%
Season at home (3)97.764.0161.7+33.7100%
Season away (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.973.3159.2+12.670%
Last 5 (5)87.066.4153.4+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.882.0160.8-3.250%
vs Similar (7)71.669.6141.1+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.568.1153.6+17.589%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
47-77
47
77
-30
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
85-50
85
50
+35
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-23
44-38
28-32
39-45
40-41
38-32
28-43
19-34
39-29
28-37
31-29
36-43
41-25
44-25
40-22
36-40
30-30
33-31
46-26
45-35
138.1Avg total
72.1Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.858.5137.2+20.2100%
Season at home (3)84.057.7141.7+26.3100%
Season away (1)63.061.0124.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.166.0138.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)76.461.2137.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.675.5143.2-7.931%
vs Similar (6)70.567.5138.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (11)73.559.2132.7+14.473%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +0.2+0.2
Michigan StateMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#267
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H14/11
NCAA
73.1Avg total
40.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.571.2+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.532.172.6+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)33.535.669.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.573.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.030.674.6+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Similar (7)33.434.367.7-0.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.132.472.5+7.674%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H12/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#326
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#251
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H13/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
35.9Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.364.0+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.929.365.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (11)29.832.161.9-2.318%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.065.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.626.464.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.232.364.5-0.138%-
vs Similar (6)34.031.765.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker (11)35.227.262.4+8.082%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Michigan State wins
3
Minnesota wins
DateGameScore
05/02/26Minnesota v Michigan State76-73
29/01/25Michigan State v Minnesota73-51
05/12/24Minnesota v Michigan State72-90
14/03/24Michigan State v Minnesota77-67
07/02/24Minnesota v Michigan State59-56
18/01/24Michigan State v Minnesota76-66
13/01/22Michigan State v Minnesota71-69
09/12/21Minnesota v Michigan State67-75
29/12/20Minnesota v Michigan State81-56
26/01/20Minnesota v Michigan State52-70
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Iowa106-72
11/11/26ADuke79-73
06/11/26HToledo91-61
03/11/26HQuinnipiac96-59
28/03/26AUconn63-67
21/03/26HLouisville77-69
19/03/26HNorth Dakota St92-67
14/03/26HUCLA84-88
08/03/26AMichigan80-90
06/03/26HRutgers91-87
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSouthern Univ.91-61
10/11/26ACincinnati63-61
07/11/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)76-62
03/11/26HNorth Dakota85-50
12/03/26HRutgers67-72
08/03/26HNorthwestern67-66
04/03/26AIndiana47-77
28/02/26HUCLA78-73
25/02/26AMichigan67-77
21/02/26HRutgers80-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.097.779.0
Allowed / game66.264.073.0
Point differential+26.8+33.7+6.0
Avg total159.2161.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.884.063.0
Allowed / game58.557.761.0
Point differential+20.2+26.3+2.0
Avg total137.2141.7124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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