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Michigan vs Ohio State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#163
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#224
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Michigan v Ohio State
30 Jan 2027
MICH v OHIO
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
MICH71
OHIO67
23 Jan 2026
MICH74
OHIO62
15 Jan 2024
MICH73
OHIO65
05 Feb 2023
MICH77
OHIO69
12 Feb 2022
MICH57
OHIO68
13 Mar 2021
MICH67
OHIO68
04 Feb 2020
MICH58
OHIO61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A05/04
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H07/04
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H02/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Marquette
#146
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
34-42
50-46
51-34
48-39
47-33
47-49
43-28
48-26
47-36
48-32
43-41
33-29
36-34
47-36
37-32
30-43
47-42
35-27
49-43
158.8Avg total
85.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.774.3156.0+7.367%
Season at home (3)81.774.3156.0+7.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.873.0158.8+12.880%
Last 5 (5)81.071.8152.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.577.5158.0+3.050%
vs Similar (4)83.270.8154.0+12.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.870.9153.7+11.992%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
94-62
94
62
+32
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
46-43
45-21
49-41
50-33
41-45
34-30
38-39
35-39
32-32
24-39
40-27
37-34
46-60
38-33
51-32
45-27
39-47
40-42
28-42
153.1Avg total
79.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.079.2160.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)86.569.5156.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)75.589.0164.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.473.7153.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)77.676.6154.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.579.9151.4-8.412%
vs Similar (13)75.574.8150.2+0.746%
vs Weaker (9)84.669.0153.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +0.2+0.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +0.2+0.2
MichiganOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H29/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A05/04
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H07/04
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H02/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/11
NCAA
Marquette
#146
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H12/11
NCAA
78.9Avg total
42.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.674.9+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.635.476.1+5.274%-
Last 30 away (11)39.733.373.0+6.564%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.578.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.472.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.535.067.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (4)41.834.276.0+7.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.734.775.4+6.071%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.571.1+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.234.471.6+2.756%-
Last 30 away (12)35.834.570.3+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.971.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.071.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.638.674.2-3.025%-
vs Similar (13)35.234.269.4+1.154%-
vs Weaker (9)39.631.270.8+8.378%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Michigan wins
3
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Michigan v Ohio State71-67
08/02/26Ohio State v Michigan61-82
24/01/26Michigan v Ohio State74-62
16/02/25Ohio State v Michigan83-86
03/03/24Ohio State v Michigan84-61
15/01/24Michigan v Ohio State73-65
05/02/23Michigan v Ohio State77-69
06/03/22Ohio State v Michigan69-75
12/02/22Michigan v Ohio State57-68
13/03/21Michigan v Ohio State67-68
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMarquette84-70
07/11/26HUconn77-85
02/11/26HOakland84-68
07/04/26HUconn69-63
05/04/26AArizona91-73
29/03/26HTennessee95-62
27/03/26HAlabama90-77
21/03/26HSt. Louis Billikens95-72
19/03/26HHoward101-80
15/03/26HPurdue72-80
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUconn68-84
09/11/26HMarshall84-74
06/11/26HYoungstown State89-65
03/11/26ABrigham Young83-94
19/03/26HTCU64-66
13/03/26AMichigan67-71
12/03/26HIowa72-69
07/03/26HIndiana91-78
05/03/26APenn State94-62
01/03/26HPurdue82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game81.781.7-
Allowed / game74.374.3-
Point differential+7.3+7.3-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Ohio State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.086.575.5
Allowed / game79.269.589.0
Point differential+1.8+17.0-13.5
Avg total160.2156.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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