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Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 128-119
33-28 38-32 29-31 28-28
Position#8
Record17-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game123.5
Allowed / game118.7
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Houston Rockets
USA
Position#19
Record13-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game105.1
USANBA· Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets
28 Oct 2026
MIL100
HOU132
09 Nov 2025
MIL115
HOU122
18 Nov 2024
MIL101
HOU100
17 Dec 2023
MIL128
HOU119
22 Oct 2022
MIL125
HOU105
22 Dec 2021
MIL126
HOU106
07 May 2021
MIL141
HOU133
26 Mar 2019
MIL108
HOU94
07 Mar 2018
MIL99
HOU110
23 Jan 2017
MIL127
HOU114
29 Feb 2016
MIL128
HOU121
29 Nov 2014
MIL103
HOU117
08 Feb 2014
MIL95
HOU101
04 Jan 2013
MIL101
HOU115
10 Dec 2010
MIL97
HOU91
17 Feb 2010
MIL99
HOU127
09 Feb 2009
MIL124
HOU112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
142-129
142
129
+13
146avg 112
A21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
116-119
116
119
-3
101avg 112
A23/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
131-128
131
128
+3
128avg 112
H25/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
108-102
108
102
+6
96avg 112
H26/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
131-124
131
124
+7
128avg 112
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
113-120 OT
113
120
-7
102avg 112
A01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
132-121
132
121
+11
135avg 112
H03/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
133-129 OT
133
129
+4
135avg 112
H12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
140-126
140
126
+14
133avg 112
H14/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
146-114
146
114
+32
144avg 112
H16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
39-38
34-37
38-27
17-29
36-38
26-27
37-25
34-35
26-26
32-28
39-39
26-31
26-37
23-20
33-14
31-22
28-40
34-35
38-27
24-26
31-23
25-31
26-26
42-37
25-26
32-35
33-23
37-32
37-33
17-24
27-29
36-33
34-30
31-31
39-32
43-20
38-36
33-27
32-31
250.4Avg total
129.2Scored
121.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)123.5118.7242.3+4.874%
Season at home (13)124.6118.1242.7+6.592%
Season away (10)122.1119.6241.7+2.550%
Last 10 (10)129.2121.2250.4+8.080%
Last 5 (5)132.8122.0254.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)116.0119.0235.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)119.5121.4240.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (11)126.1118.6244.7+7.582%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
111-91
111
91
+20
101avg 103
H23/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
105-86
105
86
+19
105avg 103
H25/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
115-121
115
121
-6
113avg 103
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
124-134
124
134
-10
117avg 103
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
97-107
97
107
-10
91avg 103
A03/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
110-101
110
101
+9
111avg 103
H07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
114-106
114
106
+8
104avg 103
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 103
H12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
117-104
117
104
+13
114avg 103
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
103-96
103
96
+7
91avg 103
A16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
24-18
29-22
37-23
29-19
31-24
24-26
21-17
22-29
28-25
38-30
27-37
26-41
33-35
38-32
27-26
30-25
14-35
28-26
25-21
32-22
23-28
25-24
30-27
27-22
25-26
40-26
22-32
19-21
32-26
18-15
24-20
29-23
28-20
25-38
35-23
14-29
31-26
30-19
28-22
211.7Avg total
108.9Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)109.5105.1214.5+4.459%
Season at home (12)110.697.8208.4+12.892%
Season away (10)108.1113.8221.9-5.720%
Last 10 (10)108.9102.8211.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)107.497.8205.2+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)111.0116.4227.4-5.443%
vs Similar ◀ (17)109.2106.9216.1+2.453%
vs Weaker (6)112.3103.0215.3+9.383%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
Milwaukee BucksHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A23/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H25/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H26/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H03/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H14/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H16/12
NBA
126.0Avg total
64.1Scored
61.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.260.2121.4+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)64.159.5123.6+4.676%-
Last 30 away (13)57.561.1118.5-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)64.161.9126.0+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)69.459.2128.6+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.067.0120.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)61.659.4121.0+2.267%-
vs Weaker (11)61.460.9122.3+0.555%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H25/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A03/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A16/12
NBA
104.0Avg total
51.8Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.854.2108.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.151.5107.6+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)51.557.0108.5-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)51.852.2104.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)52.048.6100.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)55.060.9115.9-5.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.052.9106.9+1.153%-
vs Weaker (6)51.850.2102.0+1.750%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 129.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.633.8
60.8%
54.4%67.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.1
36.6%
36.3%39.3
🏀 Free throws28.222.3
79.1%
78.2%22.3
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.125.9
49.7%
54.4%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.512.4
35.9%
36.3%37.2
🏀 Free throws25.419.9
78.3%
78.2%19.9
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWWWLW
Houston Rockets
WWWWWLLLWW
#8
League position
#19
+7.5
Net rating
+6.1
121.0
Offensive rating
108.4
113.5
Defensive rating
102.3
58.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
12.4%
Turnover %
13.0%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.6%
3-point %
35.9%
58.6%
Assist %
62.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.0 · 108.4Defence113.5 · 102.3Shooting58.5% · 51.4%3-point %36.6% · 35.9%Ball care12.4% · 13.0%Off. rebounds26.5% · 24.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Houston Rockets wins
DateGameScore
12/12/22Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks97-92
23/10/22Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets125-105
23/12/21Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets126-106
11/12/21Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks114-123
08/05/21Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets141-133
30/04/21Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks143-136
03/08/20Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks120-116
25/10/19Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks111-117
27/03/19Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets108-94
10/01/19Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks109-116
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HDetroit Pistons146-114
14/12/23HIndiana Pacers140-126
12/12/23HChicago Bulls133-129 OT
03/12/23HAtlanta Hawks132-121
01/12/23AChicago Bulls113-120 OT
29/11/23AMiami Heat131-124
26/11/23HPortland Trail Blazers108-102
25/11/23HWashington Wizards131-128
23/11/23ABoston Celtics116-119
21/11/23AWashington Wizards142-129
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies103-96
14/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies117-104
12/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs93-82
09/12/23ADenver Nuggets114-106
07/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder110-101
03/12/23ALos Angeles Lakers97-107
30/11/23ADenver Nuggets124-134
29/11/23ADallas Mavericks115-121
25/11/23HDenver Nuggets105-86
23/11/23HMemphis Grizzlies111-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %74%92%50%
Points / game123.5124.6122.1
Allowed / game118.7118.1119.6
Point differential+4.8+6.5+2.5
Avg total242.3242.7241.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%23%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLLWW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %59%92%20%
Points / game109.5110.6108.1
Allowed / game105.197.8113.8
Point differential+4.4+12.8-5.7
Avg total214.5208.4221.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2420483%117.9108.0+9.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2419579%113.6105.8+7.8
3 Milwaukee Bucks2317674%123.5118.7+4.8
4 Philadelphia 76ers2518772%122.9111.0+11.9
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2416867%120.4113.6+6.8
6 Sacramento Kings2315865%117.1116.1+1.0
7 Orlando Magic2516964%113.2109.9+3.4
8 Dallas Mavericks2516964%119.9117.1+2.8
9 Denver Nuggets27171063%114.7110.8+3.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers25151060%115.6110.0+5.6
11 New Orleans Pelicans25151060%116.6112.9+3.7
12 Houston Rockets2213959%109.5105.1+4.4
13 New York Knicks24141058%114.2110.4+3.8
14 Miami Heat26151158%113.0112.0+1.0
15 Phoenix Suns24131154%115.9114.6+1.3
16 Los Angeles Lakers24131154%113.5114.9-1.4
17 Cleveland Cavaliers26141254%111.1111.2-0.1
18 Brooklyn Nets25131252%116.4114.7+1.7
19 Indiana Pacers22111150%127.6127.0+0.6
20 Golden State Warriors25111444%115.8115.7+0.1
21 Atlanta Hawks25101540%122.4122.7-0.2
22 Toronto Raptors25101540%112.5114.8-2.3
23 Chicago Bulls27101737%109.9113.6-3.7
24 Utah Jazz2691735%111.7120.0-8.3
25 Charlotte Hornets2471729%111.5121.0-9.5
26 Memphis Grizzlies2461825%106.0112.3-6.3
27 Portland Trail Blazers2461825%107.4114.4-7.0
28 Washington Wizards2442017%116.8126.8-10.0
29 San Antonio Spurs2542116%110.6122.2-11.6
30 Detroit Pistons262248%108.3120.4-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks33382928128
Houston Rockets28323128119
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