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Minas vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 103-93
24-16 19-27 27-15 33-35
Position#3
Record31-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game81.7
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record14-27
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game86.0
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Cruzeiro
29 Apr 2026
MINA103
CRUZ93
21 Apr 2026
MINA99
CRUZ94
01 Apr 2026
MINA101
CRUZ88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
72avg 81
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-88
101
88
+13
99avg 81
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
109-88
109
88
+21
97avg 81
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 81
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
106-71
106
71
+35
109avg 81
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 81
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
87-56
87
56
+31
92avg 81
H14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
99-94
99
94
+5
88avg 81
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-97
81
97
-16
73avg 81
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-74
101
74
+27
97avg 81
A26/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
26-24
14-15
23-23
22-21
31-12
25-27
23-28
26-24
31-19
29-24
23-21
23-24
16-20
26-24
28-18
28-28
32-15
23-14
23-14
13-17
22-21
19-27
23-15
25-9
24-21
24-15
14-11
23-16
33-38
24-22
19-18
21-31
29-12
18-22
13-32
25-9
27-28
29-16
20-21
176.4Avg total
93.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)88.481.7170.1+6.776%
Season at home (20)87.079.2166.2+7.885%
Season away (21)89.884.2174.0+5.667%
Last 10 (10)93.982.5176.4+11.470%
Last 5 (5)89.080.2169.2+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.295.2181.3-9.017%
vs Similar (6)86.889.3176.2-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.681.6174.1+11.083%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
66-67
66
67
-1
55avg 75
H19/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-101
88
101
-13
78avg 75
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
70-80
70
80
-10
69avg 75
A06/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
79avg 75
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 75
A11/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 75
H14/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 75
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
94-99
94
99
-5
92avg 75
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 75
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
63avg 75
H26/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
25-14
20-18
8-16
21-22
12-31
27-25
28-23
15-25
15-22
26-13
14-20
15-34
23-29
25-8
21-19
19-24
18-14
31-17
21-17
21-31
22-16
19-26
29-28
20-23
23-19
18-23
25-12
16-23
38-33
22-24
18-19
31-21
12-29
22-18
32-13
9-25
28-27
16-29
21-20
170.8Avg total
83.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)80.886.0166.9-5.234%
Season at home (21)82.285.7167.9-3.538%
Season away (20)79.486.3165.8-6.930%
Last 10 (10)83.986.9170.8-3.030%
Last 5 (5)88.491.8180.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)83.492.5175.8-9.118%
vs Similar (6)77.579.5157.0-2.033%
vs Weaker (7)84.475.9160.3+8.686%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
MinasCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H21/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A24/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A26/04
NBB
91.7Avg total
49.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.644.891.4+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.841.587.3+4.462%-
Last 30 away (17)47.147.494.5-0.335%-
Last 10 (10)49.941.891.7+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.488.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.748.288.8-7.50%-
vs Similar (6)44.849.794.5-4.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)49.142.191.2+7.072%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A06/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A11/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H14/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H26/04
NBB
87.7Avg total
39.6Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.984.1-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.143.285.3-1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)38.744.483.1-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.648.187.7-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)44.049.493.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.846.987.7-6.124%-
vs Similar (6)40.841.081.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (7)38.039.177.1-1.157%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.9
54.9%
52.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.9
37.1%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.116.4
71.0%
72.8%16.4
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.8
51.4%
52.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.5%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.016.2
73.6%
72.8%16.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLWWLWWWWL
Cruzeiro
LWLWLWLLLL
#3
League position
#14
+13.5
Net rating
-2.0
104.9
Offensive rating
93.4
91.3
Defensive rating
95.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
11.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.1%
3-point %
33.5%
66.2%
Assist %
67.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 93.4Defence91.3 · 95.4Shooting55.2% · 50.9%3-point %37.1% · 33.5%Ball care11.9% · 15.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Minas   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minas wins
1
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
26/04/26Cruzeiro v Minas74-101
24/04/26Cruzeiro v Minas97-81
21/04/26Minas v Cruzeiro99-94
01/04/26Minas v Cruzeiro101-88
01/11/25Cruzeiro v Minas76-84
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26ACruzeiro101-74
24/04/26ACruzeiro81-97
21/04/26HCruzeiro99-94
14/04/26HCearense87-56
12/04/26HUnifacisa77-80
09/04/26ABotafogo106-71
06/04/26AFlamengo93-86
04/04/26AVasco109-88
01/04/26HCruzeiro101-88
24/03/26APinheiros85-91
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HMinas74-101
24/04/26HMinas97-81
21/04/26AMinas94-99
16/04/26HCearense86-77
14/04/26HUnifacisa91-101
11/04/26AVasco89-72
08/04/26AFlamengo84-90
06/04/26ABotafogo70-80
01/04/26AMinas88-101
19/03/26HUniao Corinthians66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW76%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %76%85%67%
Points / game88.487.089.8
Allowed / game81.779.284.2
Point differential+6.7+7.8+5.6
Avg total170.1166.2174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%30%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)67% (9)80% (5)
Overtime %7%10%5%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL34%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %34%38%30%
Points / game80.882.279.4
Allowed / game86.085.786.3
Point differential-5.2-3.5-7.0
Avg total166.9167.9165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca4135685%90.676.8+13.9
2 Pinheiros4133880%85.874.7+11.1
3 Minas41311076%88.481.7+6.7
4 Brasilia41301173%80.971.6+9.3
5 Flamengo41301173%87.878.9+8.9
6 Corinthians Paulista41291271%84.679.2+5.5
7 Paulistano41261563%83.378.4+4.9
8 Mogi41241759%76.671.3+5.3
9 Bauru41221954%81.080.1+0.9
10 Sao Jose41221954%81.380.4+0.9
11 Unifacisa41212051%81.380.2+1.0
12 Uniao Corinthians41202149%80.082.6-2.6
13 Caxias do Sul41182344%73.476.4-2.9
14 Cruzeiro41142734%80.886.0-5.2
15 Rio Claro41122929%78.985.8-7.0
16 Botafogo41103124%73.684.1-10.5
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas24192733103
Cruzeiro1627153593
← all games of the day
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