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Minas vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 94-63
28-18 25-24 23-13 18-8
Position#3
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game77.1
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game73.9
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Paulistano
18 Nov 2025
MINA94
PAUL63
20 Dec 2024
MINA86
PAUL82
11 Mar 2024
MINA72
PAUL70
09 May 2023
MINA71
PAUL67
07 May 2023
MINA68
PAUL83
27 Apr 2023
MINA85
PAUL82
03 Apr 2023
MINA105
PAUL70
15 Feb 2022
MINA104
PAUL67
07 Jan 2021
MINA70
PAUL63
13 Feb 2020
MINA66
PAUL71
30 Jan 2019
MINA88
PAUL85
01 Feb 2018
MINA80
PAUL88
16 Feb 2017
MINA85
PAUL96
24 Feb 2016
MINA76
PAUL82
13 Feb 2015
MINA72
PAUL69
27 Mar 2014
MINA75
PAUL65
20 Feb 2013
MINA109
PAUL114
01 Mar 2012
MINA69
PAUL75
12 Dec 2010
MINA89
PAUL94
25 Mar 2009
MINA96
PAUL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
52avg 74
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 74
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
86avg 74
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
75avg 74
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
72avg 74
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 74
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 74
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 74
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 74
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 74
H15/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
21-22
27-20
4-21
23-20
21-22
12-20
27-19
20-21
16-16
17-13
22-25
12-17
24-15
22-18
21-21
27-17
8-22
20-14
21-22
23-14
15-23
30-17
16-22
21-17
18-20
22-18
25-15
27-19
26-20
30-18
25-17
19-20
20-21
22-14
17-25
19-22
25-28
22-17
20-14
162.1Avg total
84.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.377.1162.4+8.289%
Season at home (5)84.477.8162.2+6.6100%
Season away (4)86.576.2162.8+10.275%
Last 10 (10)84.178.0162.1+6.180%
Last 5 (5)88.476.2164.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.180.0156.1-3.943%
vs Weaker (22)82.570.7153.2+11.895%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
65avg 71
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
66-59
66
59
+7
63avg 71
H20/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
51avg 71
H24/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
87-89
87
89
-2
77avg 71
A28/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
54-71
54
71
-17
46avg 71
A30/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
69avg 71
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 71
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 71
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
101-65
101
65
+36
99avg 71
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 71
H15/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
8-15
14-17
19-12
13-13
17-19
21-16
15-11
18-21
20-19
18-13
13-18
32-21
20-18
10-26
25-24
13-20
18-20
14-14
9-17
18-15
19-13
17-26
26-17
18-12
23-18
26-22
14-24
23-17
24-29
19-18
28-17
28-17
23-19
19-17
31-12
15-21
19-23
29-25
17-13
154.2Avg total
79.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.173.9153.0+5.256%
Season at home (6)79.570.7150.2+8.867%
Season away (3)78.380.3158.7-2.033%
Last 10 (10)79.275.0154.2+4.250%
Last 5 (5)87.275.0162.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.276.5150.7-2.333%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.075.0148.0-2.047%
vs Weaker (7)88.978.3167.1+10.657%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
MinasPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
NBB
80.5Avg total
40.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.776.5+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.536.476.9+4.176%-
Last 30 away (13)38.837.175.8+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.980.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.883.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.340.979.1-2.629%-
vs Weaker (22)40.335.475.6+4.973%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A28/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A30/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/11
NBB
77.2Avg total
39.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.275.9+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.576.6+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.075.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.577.2+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.878.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.136.974.0+0.241%-
vs Weaker (7)43.137.480.6+5.771%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.7
35.1%
32.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
72.8%16.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.8
46.9%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.4
34.3%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.413.6
78.2%
72.8%13.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLWWWWWWWL
Paulistano
LWWWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#7
+7.6
Net rating
+6.1
107.8
Offensive rating
106.8
100.2
Defensive rating
100.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.0%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
34.3%
65.5%
Assist %
56.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 106.8Defence100.2 · 100.7Shooting50.7% · 49.0%3-point %35.1% · 34.3%Ball care17.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.6% · 31.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Minas   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
14/04/25Paulistano v Minas66-76
20/12/24Minas v Paulistano86-82
11/03/24Minas v Paulistano72-70
25/11/23Paulistano v Minas71-86
09/05/23Minas v Paulistano71-67
07/05/23Minas v Paulistano68-83
02/05/23Paulistano v Minas68-77
30/04/23Paulistano v Minas80-76
27/04/23Minas v Paulistano85-82
03/04/23Minas v Paulistano105-70
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HOsasco86-81
10/11/25ABrasilia78-80
08/11/25ARio Claro108-74
04/11/25HFranca86-70
01/11/25ACruzeiro84-76
27/10/25APato76-75
23/10/25HMogi79-71
20/10/25HSao Jose88-86 OT
18/10/25HCorinthians Paulista83-81
18/06/25AFranca73-86
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HFlamengo80-82
13/11/25HUniao Corinthians101-65
09/11/25AOsasco94-81
06/11/25HPinheiros81-76
04/11/25HSao Jose80-71
30/10/25ABrasilia54-71
28/10/25ARio Claro87-89
24/10/25HFranca69-71
20/10/25HBauru66-59
03/05/25ABauru80-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game85.384.486.5
Allowed / game77.177.876.2
Point differential+8.2+6.6+10.2
Avg total162.4162.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game79.179.578.3
Allowed / game73.970.780.3
Point differential+5.2+8.8-2.0
Avg total153.0150.2158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo10100100%90.172.7+17.4
2 Minas98189%85.377.1+8.2
3 Mogi97278%82.465.1+17.3
4 Brasilia86275%83.469.5+13.9
5 Corinthians Paulista86275%86.476.4+10.0
6 Pinheiros86275%82.574.9+7.6
7 Franca107370%85.872.5+13.3
8 Paulistano95456%79.173.9+5.2
9 Bauru95456%71.970.8+1.1
10 Sao Jose84450%75.475.2+0.1
11 Unifacisa84450%78.078.9-0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians84450%76.283.9-7.6
13 Caxias do Sul73443%71.377.9-6.6
14 Cruzeiro103730%75.584.1-8.6
15 Cearense72529%79.086.4-7.4
16 Botafogo92722%70.682.0-11.4
17 Rio Claro92722%78.192.0-13.9
18 Pato102820%70.579.9-9.4
19 Osasco102820%75.688.4-12.8
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2825231894
Paulistano182413863
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