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Minas vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-69
31-20 15-15 12-14 15-20
Position#4
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Cearense
Brazil
Position#6
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilSuper 8Super 8 - Quarter-finals· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024
Meetings · Minas v Cearense
14 Nov 2026
MINA v CEAR
upcoming
14 Apr 2026
MINA87
CEAR56
07 Nov 2024
MINA86
CEAR64
27 Jan 2024
MINA73
CEAR69
01 Dec 2023
MINA93
CEAR88
29 Nov 2022
MINA79
CEAR71
19 Dec 2021
MINA101
CEAR74
01 Apr 2021
MINA92
CEAR66
27 Mar 2020
MINA v CEAR
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
MINA95
CEAR85
27 Mar 2018
MINA75
CEAR63
01 Feb 2017
MINA62
CEAR66
05 Feb 2016
MINA61
CEAR75
27 Jan 2015
MINA90
CEAR63
25 Feb 2014
MINA79
CEAR81
19 Jan 2013
MINA76
CEAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
91-61
91
61
+30
90avg 85
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-71
91
71
+20
95avg 85
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
86avg 85
H22/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-55
84
55
+29
82avg 85
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-71
95
71
+24
100avg 85
H29/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
89-52
89
52
+37
94avg 85
H08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 85
H11/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
78avg 85
H13/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
111-68
111
68
+43
115avg 85
A17/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 85
A19/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
22-15
22-13
16-12
22-10
34-22
15-21
20-18
23-20
23-14
16-27
22-14
17-22
26-14
23-4
18-15
26-14
26-14
19-14
24-29
26-5
21-12
25-18
17-17
21-19
28-18
23-22
14-19
22-8
15-16
22-17
22-20
34-19
25-16
22-22
30-11
24-20
23-11
20-25
17-15
155.9Avg total
89.6Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.666.3155.9+23.3100%
Last 5 (5)90.266.0156.2+24.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.895.8188.6-3.040%
vs Similar (5)76.675.8152.4+0.860%
vs Weaker (20)87.271.3158.5+15.890%
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
70avg 72
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 72
A23/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 72
H27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 72
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 72
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 72
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 72
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
no box
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 72
H24/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
20-27
13-14
18-23
21-21
22-24
16-16
16-20
25-12
15-19
24-20
23-25
18-15
20-18
20-21
25-19
22-29
21-22
12-15
17-11
20-18
16-25
22-20
17-18
16-24
22-12
22-22
15-23
21-17
15-21
20-24
20-14
15-19
14-18
25-17
22-22
23-19
24-20
22-19
24-17
163.0Avg total
82.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.180.9163.0+1.240%
Last 5 (5)86.085.0171.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.982.9160.8-5.027%
vs Similar (11)80.878.2159.0+2.664%
vs Weaker (8)79.675.2154.9+4.462%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +9.1+9.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +9.1+9.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
MinasCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H29/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H13/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A17/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A19/01
NBB
79.9Avg total
48.9Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.136.983.0+9.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.834.279.0+10.581%-
Last 30 away (14)47.639.987.6+7.764%-
Last 10 (10)48.931.079.9+17.9100%-
Last 5 (5)47.828.876.6+19.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.647.697.2+2.040%-
vs Similar (5)41.836.478.2+5.460%-
vs Weaker (20)46.334.480.7+11.985%-
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A23/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H03/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H24/01
NBB
78.6Avg total
39.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.677.0-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.138.377.3+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)37.838.976.7-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.378.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.675.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.439.476.7-2.055%-
vs Similar (11)38.538.276.6+0.345%-
vs Weaker (8)39.938.077.9+1.950%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.0
59.2%
48.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.4
39.4%
33.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.215.8
71.2%
77.7%15.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.8
57.6%
48.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.1
30.5%
33.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.216.7
72.0%
77.7%16.7
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWWWWW
Cearense
WWLLLLWWLL
#4
League position
#6
+31.7
Net rating
+1.9
118.2
Offensive rating
107.7
86.4
Defensive rating
105.7
59.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
40.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
39.4%
3-point %
30.5%
66.2%
Assist %
53.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 107.7Defence86.4 · 105.7Shooting59.1% · 52.8%3-point %39.4% · 30.5%Ball care18.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds33.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Minas   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
01/12/23Minas v Cearense93-88 OT
08/04/23Cearense v Minas85-94
29/11/22Minas v Cearense79-71
27/03/22Cearense v Minas75-85
19/12/21Minas v Cearense101-74
01/04/21Minas v Cearense92-66
19/11/20Cearense v Minas67-82
12/12/19Cearense v Minas79-82
24/03/19Minas v Cearense95-85
12/12/18Cearense v Minas70-61
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24ACerrado84-71
17/01/24ABrasilia111-68
13/01/24HVasco81-61
11/01/24HFlamengo86-78
08/01/24HBotafogo89-52
29/12/23HUniao Corinthians95-71
27/12/23HCaxias do Sul84-55
22/12/23HPato84-75
20/12/23HBrasilia91-71
16/12/23APinheiros91-61
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HMogi93-75
22/01/24HSao Jose99-95 OT
18/01/24ABauru88-93 OT
16/01/24AFranca75-81
13/01/24HSao Paulo75-81
03/01/24HFranca72-77
29/12/23HBrasilia83-73
27/12/23HCerrado87-76
23/12/23AVasco75-81
22/12/23AFlamengo74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
Super 8 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cearense
Super 8 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unifacisa110100%94.092.0+2.0
2 Franca1010%92.094.0-2.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas3115121573
Cearense2015142069
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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