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Minas vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-56
17-12 20-14 15-21 21-9
Position#3
Record22-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game74.8
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#10
Record17-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game77.2
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Sao Jose
05 Dec 2026
MINA v SAO
upcoming
20 Oct 2025
MINA88
SAO 86
21 Oct 2024
MINA91
SAO 64
25 Mar 2024
MINA73
SAO 56
23 Nov 2022
MINA104
SAO 53
27 Feb 2020
MINA124
SAO 119
16 Jan 2019
MINA75
SAO 80
04 Dec 2015
MINA91
SAO 84
21 Jan 2015
MINA91
SAO 76
21 Nov 2013
MINA87
SAO 90
22 Apr 2013
MINA59
SAO 75
16 Apr 2013
MINA70
SAO 68
05 Jan 2013
MINA97
SAO 77
28 Jan 2012
MINA85
SAO 80
23 Jan 2011
MINA72
SAO 98
03 Apr 2009
MINA83
SAO 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 84
A19/01
NBB
Cearense
#6
W
73-69
73
69
+4
70avg 84
H27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
73avg 84
H30/01
Super 8
Mogi
#14
W
102-65
102
65
+37
110avg 84
H08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 84
H15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
94-95
94
95
-1
77avg 84
A29/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
no box
A02/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
72-70
72
70
+2
73avg 84
H11/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
58avg 84
A20/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
96-98
96
98
-2
89avg 84
A22/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
23-11
20-25
17-15
31-20
15-15
12-14
15-20
21-19
19-21
24-26
22-25
35-10
30-19
22-18
15-18
28-17
11-27
23-22
24-28
25-31
23-22
22-21
24-21
24-22
19-26
16-14
15-12
23-18
23-14
9-18
17-20
21-24
12-20
17-16
19-19
22-31
26-24
11-28
37-15
166.4Avg total
84.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.374.8161.1+11.673%
Season at home (15)85.772.7158.4+12.980%
Season away (15)87.076.8163.8+10.267%
Last 10 (10)84.681.8166.4+2.840%
Last 5 (5)83.085.6168.6-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)84.286.2170.5-2.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.273.7160.0+12.576%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 74
A24/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
87avg 74
A05/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
111-86
111
86
+25
106avg 74
H14/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
82-68
82
68
+14
77avg 74
H16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
59-92
59
92
-33
43avg 74
A05/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
64-79
64
79
-15
56avg 74
A09/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
58avg 74
A12/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 74
H20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
103-85
103
85
+18
106avg 74
H22/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-21
9-16
24-26
28-20
25-14
16-18
19-28
27-30
28-15
30-12
26-29
19-19
23-10
19-18
21-21
17-19
24-23
22-17
14-18
17-25
13-27
13-18
16-22
17-18
15-24
17-11
15-26
20-15
7-16
23-19
17-19
18-21
18-20
20-11
15-17
30-16
14-28
34-24
25-17
160.8Avg total
80.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.177.2157.3+2.955%
Season at home (16)81.174.0155.1+7.162%
Season away (15)79.080.6159.6-1.647%
Last 10 (10)80.680.2160.8+0.460%
Last 5 (5)72.878.8151.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.675.4147.0-3.820%
vs Similar (13)79.179.0158.1+0.154%
vs Weaker (12)86.276.8163.0+9.575%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
MinasSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A19/01
NBB
Cearense
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H30/01
Super 8
Mogi
#14
W
65-29
65
29
+36
H08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A29/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A22/03
NBB
86.6Avg total
45.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.436.882.2+8.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.533.879.3+11.876%-
Last 30 away (13)45.340.786.0+4.654%-
Last 10 (10)45.541.186.6+4.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.490.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.841.584.2+1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.836.181.9+9.872%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A24/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A05/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H14/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A05/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A12/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/03
NBB
79.7Avg total
39.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.077.6+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.237.178.3+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.938.976.8-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.279.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.842.075.8-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.236.273.4+1.040%-
vs Similar (13)38.538.577.1+0.046%-
vs Weaker (12)41.638.279.8+3.358%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.219.2
59.6%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.7
36.9%
33.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
72.6%16.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.0
55.6%
51.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.1
33.8%
33.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws14.09.1
65.0%
72.6%9.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LLWLLLWLWW
Sao Jose
WWLLLWWWWL
#3
League position
#10
+10.3
Net rating
-0.7
119.4
Offensive rating
105.4
109.0
Defensive rating
106.1
57.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.9%
3-point %
33.8%
61.2%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 105.4Defence109.0 · 106.1Shooting57.6% · 53.7%3-point %36.9% · 33.8%Ball care15.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds27.2% · 27.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Minas   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Sao Jose v Minas67-77
30/01/23Sao Jose v Minas89-96
23/11/22Minas v Sao Jose104-53
27/02/20Minas v Sao Jose124-119 OT
07/12/19Sao Jose v Minas93-109
16/01/19Minas v Sao Jose75-80
22/10/18Sao Jose v Minas62-71
19/02/16Sao Jose v Minas59-89
04/12/15Minas v Sao Jose91-84 OT
21/01/15Minas v Sao Jose91-76
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24AUnifacisa96-98
20/03/24ACearense69-79
11/03/24HPaulistano72-70
02/03/24ABauru84-86 OT
29/02/24AFranca94-95
15/02/24HSao Paulo86-94
08/02/24HMogi102-65
30/01/24HUnifacisa86-91
27/01/24HCearense73-69
19/01/24ACerrado84-71
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HBrasilia103-85
20/03/24HCerrado71-69
12/03/24AFlamengo67-69
09/03/24AMogi64-79
05/03/24AVasco59-92
29/02/24ABotafogo93-90 OT
16/02/24HCaxias do Sul82-68
14/02/24HUniao Corinthians111-86
05/02/24APato88-80
24/01/24AUnifacisa68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game86.385.787.0
Allowed / game74.872.776.8
Point differential+11.6+12.9+10.2
Avg total161.1158.4163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%47%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%62%47%
Points / game80.181.179.0
Allowed / game77.274.080.6
Point differential+2.9+7.1-1.6
Avg total157.3155.1159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %6%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3025583%87.675.7+11.9
2 Flamengo3025583%84.973.7+11.2
3 Minas3022873%86.374.8+11.6
4 Vasco3022873%76.772.8+3.8
5 Bauru32211166%80.979.0+1.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano29181162%75.271.5+3.7
8 Corinthians Paulista30171357%80.778.3+2.5
9 Sao Jose31171455%80.177.2+2.9
10 Cearense30161453%78.777.1+1.6
11 Sao Paulo29151452%78.479.3-1.0
12 Pinheiros30131743%75.478.1-2.7
13 Pato30121840%76.779.9-3.2
14 Uniao Corinthians31102132%74.583.4-8.8
15 Cerrado3082227%75.076.4-1.4
16 Caxias do Sul3082227%71.979.6-7.7
17 Mogi3182326%74.079.5-5.5
18 Botafogo3382524%79.088.2-9.2
19 Brasilia3042613%72.687.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1720152173
Sao Jose121421956
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