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Cearense vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-69
24-21 20-12 16-17 19-19
Position#8
Record15-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#3
Record22-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game73.8
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Minas
27 Dec 2025
CEAR81
MINA99
28 Feb 2025
CEAR86
MINA92
20 Mar 2024
CEAR79
MINA69
08 Apr 2023
CEAR85
MINA94
27 Mar 2022
CEAR75
MINA85
19 Nov 2020
CEAR67
MINA82
12 Dec 2019
CEAR79
MINA82
12 Dec 2018
CEAR70
MINA61
16 Jan 2018
CEAR66
MINA58
15 Nov 2016
CEAR78
MINA71
19 Nov 2015
CEAR64
MINA69
11 Nov 2014
CEAR71
MINA65
12 Dec 2013
CEAR60
MINA71
09 Apr 2013
CEAR88
MINA52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
no box
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 72
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 72
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 72
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
51-64
51
64
-13
46avg 72
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
84-75
84
75
+9
83avg 72
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 72
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
83avg 72
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-72
61
72
-11
56avg 72
A09/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
15-21
20-24
20-14
15-19
14-18
25-17
22-22
23-19
24-20
22-19
24-17
20-31
15-15
14-12
20-15
21-19
24-22
15-6
20-26
11-24
17-14
13-8
10-18
16-15
20-16
30-23
18-21
15-18
28-13
20-22
27-16
17-25
17-24
26-29
22-24
13-22
13-18
10-14
25-18
158.8Avg total
79.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.777.4156.1+1.352%
Season at home (15)79.574.5153.9+5.067%
Season away (14)77.980.6158.5-2.636%
Last 10 (10)79.779.1158.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)73.676.4150.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.282.0159.2-4.80%
vs Similar (15)79.577.9157.3+1.660%
vs Weaker (10)78.274.9153.1+3.360%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
78avg 84
H13/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
111-68
111
68
+43
115avg 84
A17/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 84
A19/01
NBB
Cearense
#6
W
73-69
73
69
+4
70avg 84
H27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
73avg 84
H30/01
Super 8
Mogi
#14
W
102-65
102
65
+37
110avg 84
H08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 84
H15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
94-95
94
95
-1
77avg 84
A29/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
no box
A02/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
72-70
72
70
+2
73avg 84
H11/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-8
15-16
22-17
22-20
34-19
25-16
22-22
30-11
24-20
23-11
20-25
17-15
31-20
15-15
12-14
15-20
21-19
19-21
24-26
22-25
35-10
30-19
22-18
15-18
28-17
11-27
23-22
24-28
25-31
23-22
22-21
24-21
24-22
19-26
16-14
15-12
23-18
23-14
9-18
17-20
164.3Avg total
87.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.673.8160.4+12.879%
Season at home (15)85.772.7158.4+12.980%
Season away (13)87.775.0162.7+12.777%
Last 10 (10)87.377.0164.3+10.360%
Last 5 (5)87.682.0169.6+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)84.883.0167.8+1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.072.6159.5+14.483%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +8.3+8.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +8.3+8.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
CearenseMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A09/03
NBB
74.9Avg total
35.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.077.0-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.136.975.0+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.179.0-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)35.939.074.9-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.871.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.542.880.2-5.250%-
vs Similar (15)38.238.676.8-0.447%-
vs Weaker (10)38.137.575.6+0.650%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H13/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A17/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A19/01
NBB
Cearense
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H30/01
Super 8
Mogi
#14
W
65-29
65
29
+36
H08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A29/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/03
NBB
84.1Avg total
47.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.336.182.4+10.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.533.879.3+11.876%-
Last 30 away (13)47.339.186.4+8.269%-
Last 10 (10)47.037.184.1+9.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.289.4+7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)44.841.486.2+3.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.635.081.6+11.679%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.5
55.6%
51.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.2
29.9%
33.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.4
74.2%
72.6%14.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.618.6
58.9%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.1
37.0%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
72.6%16.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLWWLWLWWL
Minas
WLLLWLWWWW
#8
League position
#3
-1.0
Net rating
+17.0
103.7
Offensive rating
120.3
104.7
Defensive rating
103.3
51.2%
Effective FG%
57.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.9%
3-point %
37.0%
56.6%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 120.3Defence104.7 · 103.3Shooting51.2% · 57.2%3-point %29.9% · 37.0%Ball care19.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds27.5% · 29.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cearense   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cearense wins
10
Minas wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Minas v Cearense73-69
01/12/23Minas v Cearense93-88 OT
08/04/23Cearense v Minas85-94
29/11/22Minas v Cearense79-71
27/03/22Cearense v Minas75-85
19/12/21Minas v Cearense101-74
01/04/21Minas v Cearense92-66
19/11/20Cearense v Minas67-82
12/12/19Cearense v Minas79-82
24/03/19Minas v Cearense95-85
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24APinheiros61-72
07/03/24ACorinthians Paulista82-102
02/03/24HPato90-69
14/02/24HBotafogo84-75
10/02/24HPaulistano51-64
06/02/24AUnifacisa80-73
27/01/24AMinas69-73
24/01/24HMogi93-75
22/01/24HSao Jose99-95 OT
18/01/24ABauru88-93 OT
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24HPaulistano72-70
02/03/24ABauru84-86 OT
29/02/24AFranca94-95
15/02/24HSao Paulo86-94
08/02/24HMogi102-65
30/01/24HUnifacisa86-91
27/01/24HCearense73-69
19/01/24ACerrado84-71
17/01/24ABrasilia111-68
13/01/24HVasco81-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL52%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game78.779.577.9
Allowed / game77.474.580.6
Point differential+1.3+5.0-2.6
Avg total156.1153.9158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %10%7%14%
Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW79%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %79%80%77%
Points / game86.685.787.7
Allowed / game73.872.775.0
Point differential+12.8+12.9+12.7
Avg total160.4158.4162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%47%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2824486%87.975.6+12.3
2 Flamengo2924583%84.873.8+11.1
3 Minas2822679%86.673.8+12.8
4 Vasco2922776%77.072.1+4.9
5 Bauru31201165%79.978.5+1.4
6 Unifacisa31191261%83.678.9+4.7
7 Paulistano28171161%74.171.5+2.6
8 Corinthians Paulista29161355%80.478.3+2.1
9 Sao Jose29151452%79.677.2+2.4
10 Cearense29151452%78.777.4+1.3
11 Sao Paulo27131448%78.880.5-1.7
12 Pinheiros29131645%75.377.7-2.3
13 Pato30121840%76.779.9-3.2
14 Uniao Corinthians29101934%75.183.0-7.9
15 Cerrado2882029%75.676.9-1.2
16 Caxias do Sul2982128%72.179.8-7.8
17 Botafogo3282425%78.587.4-8.9
18 Mogi2962321%73.180.6-7.5
19 Brasilia2842414%72.586.7-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2420161979
Minas2112171969
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