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Pato vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 90-86
22-16 19-18 21-25 28-27
Position#14
Record6-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game85.3
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#5
Record10-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game74.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Pinheiros
02 Dec 2026
PATO v PINH
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
PATO67
PINH94
27 Dec 2024
PATO90
PINH86
30 Mar 2024
PATO83
PINH79
30 Nov 2022
PATO95
PINH76
16 Dec 2021
PATO81
PINH69
11 Mar 2021
PATO89
PINH88
08 Nov 2019
PATO67
PINH81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 73
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 73
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 73
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
98-78
98
78
+20
100avg 73
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
88avg 73
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
63avg 73
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 73
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 73
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 73
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
90-106
90
106
-16
85avg 73
H21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
19-21
19-19
10-19
13-22
12-20
29-25
22-17
15-15
21-20
12-9
18-21
27-20
20-11
25-14
26-33
28-29
23-26
25-24
22-19
19-30
19-22
14-23
18-22
18-16
29-26
20-26
24-29
22-21
24-19
26-27
22-31
22-18
16-23
22-19
25-21
28-30
20-26
20-21
22-29
174.0Avg total
84.3Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.685.3167.9-2.735%
Season at home (9)85.983.2169.1+2.756%
Season away (8)78.987.6166.5-8.812%
Last 10 (10)84.389.7174.0-5.430%
Last 5 (5)86.095.8181.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.990.6170.4-10.722%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.780.7159.4-2.140%
vs Weaker (6)88.380.2168.5+8.267%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 68
A05/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 68
H11/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 68
H14/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 68
A28/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
73-53
73
53
+20
65avg 68
A02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 68
H12/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 68
H14/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-76
77
76
+1
62avg 68
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
101-92 OT
101
92
+9
98avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
48avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
13-20
22-24
19-15
18-18
24-17
19-17
26-24
22-26
16-18
20-15
22-28
23-20
25-11
21-14
20-24
20-16
14-11
19-9
20-17
20-29
18-18
18-22
22-13
14-20
21-16
22-17
19-21
13-21
23-27
23-21
18-7
25-23
22-17
14-18
21-24
30-22
8-19
17-24
18-15
156.8Avg total
81.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.874.5150.2+1.359%
Season at home (7)75.978.9154.7-3.043%
Season away (10)75.771.4147.1+4.370%
Last 10 (10)81.075.8156.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)81.080.8161.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.275.0142.2-7.827%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.577.6152.2-3.136%
vs Weaker (8)79.871.2151.0+8.588%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
PatoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H21/12
NBB
85.4Avg total
41.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.482.1+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.882.3+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.182.0-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.785.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.289.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.245.287.4-3.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.539.178.6+0.553%-
vs Weaker (6)46.336.783.0+9.783%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A05/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H14/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A28/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H12/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H14/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A23/12
NBB
77.0Avg total
39.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.074.4-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.239.676.8-2.438%-
Last 30 away (17)35.836.772.5-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.977.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.481.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.236.570.6-2.345%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.442.079.4-4.636%-
vs Weaker (8)38.134.572.6+3.662%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.1
54.2%
50.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.0
38.5%
33.0%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
72.7%11.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.4
49.4%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
33.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
72.7%14.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LWLLLLWWLL
Pinheiros
LWWWLWWLWW
#14
League position
#5
-6.8
Net rating
+6.1
109.0
Offensive rating
106.1
115.8
Defensive rating
100.0
55.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.5%
3-point %
33.0%
57.1%
Assist %
57.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 106.1Defence115.8 · 100.0Shooting55.9% · 49.4%3-point %38.5% · 33.0%Ball care18.9% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.9% · 32.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Pato   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pato wins
6
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Pinheiros v Pato68-67
30/03/24Pato v Pinheiros83-79
18/12/23Pinheiros v Pato91-77
09/03/23Pinheiros v Pato76-69
30/11/22Pato v Pinheiros95-76
02/04/22Pinheiros v Pato82-69
16/12/21Pato v Pinheiros81-69
11/03/21Pato v Pinheiros89-88
07/12/20Pinheiros v Pato85-77
08/03/20Pinheiros v Pato87-83
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HMogi90-106
19/12/24HSao Jose85-81
16/12/24ABrasilia94-98
13/12/24ABauru91-97
05/12/24AMinas70-97
03/12/24HFlamengo103-110 OT
28/11/24HBotafogo98-78
17/11/24HPaulistano66-65
12/11/24HVasco76-84
02/11/24AUniao Corinthians70-81
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24AUniao Corinthians73-80
21/12/24ACaxias do Sul101-92 OT
17/12/24ASao Jose77-76
14/12/24HCearense76-74
12/12/24HUnifacisa78-82
02/12/24AMogi73-53
28/11/24ACorinthians Paulista89-69
14/11/24HBauru80-87
11/11/24HFranca87-76
05/11/24ASao Paulo76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%56%12%
Points / game82.685.978.9
Allowed / game85.383.287.6
Point differential-2.7+2.7-8.8
Avg total167.9169.1166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %59%43%70%
Points / game75.875.975.7
Allowed / game74.578.971.4
Point differential+1.3-3.0+4.3
Avg total150.2154.7147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%14%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1816289%82.869.8+13.0
2 Flamengo1714382%84.271.7+12.5
3 Franca1711665%81.276.7+4.5
4 Brasilia1711665%83.881.4+2.4
5 Vasco1710759%74.672.1+2.5
6 Pinheiros1710759%75.874.5+1.3
7 Sao Paulo1710759%78.978.3+0.6
8 Uniao Corinthians1710759%78.379.2-0.9
9 Bauru1810856%78.879.9-1.2
10 Paulistano1771041%77.775.6+2.1
11 Sao Jose1771041%74.975.1-0.2
12 Unifacisa1771041%74.976.8-1.9
13 Corinthians Paulista1761135%79.481.4-2.0
14 Pato1761135%82.685.3-2.7
15 Mogi1761135%72.478.6-6.2
16 Botafogo1751229%71.680.6-9.0
17 Caxias do Sul1741324%72.579.7-7.2
18 Cearense1741324%69.177.4-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2219212890
Pinheiros1618252786
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