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Minas vs Rio Claro Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 98-95 (OT)
26-22 17-18 15-25 27-20 13-10
Position#3
Record20-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game80.9
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#15
Record8-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game86.7
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Rio Claro
19 Feb 2026
MINA98
RIO 95
08 Dec 2022
MINA90
RIO 61
04 Dec 2021
MINA89
RIO 61
22 Jan 2020
MINA104
RIO 71
23 Mar 2016
MINA77
RIO 72
19 Dec 2014
MINA82
RIO 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rio Claro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 77
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
95-91
95
91
+4
no box
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 77
H21/01
NBB
Aguada
#11
W
94-62
94
62
+32
100avg 77
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
52avg 77
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#10
L
90-105
90
105
-15
89avg 77
A10/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
82-100
82
100
-18
73avg 77
A12/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
88avg 77
H17/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
19-14
16-25
17-17
13-21
23-25
18-27
23-19
24-21
28-15
21-19
22-20
28-27
29-17
17-21
21-26
17-27
23-18
17-4
18-18
30-25
20-16
24-8
20-13
12-24
20-10
22-18
13-25
21-28
33-27
20-28
16-22
24-20
24-35
20-23
14-22
31-20
26-28
26-16
9-27
169.3Avg total
84.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.780.9167.6+5.877%
Season at home (13)85.077.9162.9+7.185%
Season away (13)88.483.9172.3+4.569%
Last 10 (10)84.385.0169.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)85.087.0172.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.480.0158.4-1.640%
vs Similar (8)84.179.6163.8+4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.778.9167.6+9.894%
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
64-95
64
95
-31
46avg 67
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 67
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
68-84
68
84
-16
66avg 67
A22/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 67
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
46avg 67
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 67
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 67
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
68avg 67
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
82avg 67
H16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
13-15
17-25
17-24
12-16
10-12
19-17
16-22
23-20
16-29
18-17
11-18
18-24
20-31
16-10
20-17
20-18
6-29
17-13
17-18
13-24
17-24
13-27
22-18
23-13
16-25
19-14
19-23
18-16
18-13
20-19
23-25
12-26
23-19
24-25
23-7
26-21
25-24
13-13
14-20
153.0Avg total
71.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.686.7163.3-10.032%
Season at home (12)86.889.0175.8-2.250%
Season away (13)67.284.5151.8-17.315%
Last 10 (10)71.981.1153.0-9.240%
Last 5 (5)79.281.0160.2-1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.789.3160.9-17.616%
vs Similar (8)83.083.6166.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (3)92.791.3184.0+1.367%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
MinasRio Claro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/01
NBB
Aguada
#11
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#10
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A12/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H17/02
NBB
92.1Avg total
46.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.285.3+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.839.685.4+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)42.542.785.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)46.945.292.1+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)48.246.694.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.841.879.6-4.020%-
vs Similar (8)44.643.588.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.640.085.6+5.665%-
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A15/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/02
NBB
77.6Avg total
34.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.044.582.5-6.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.644.785.3-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)35.444.379.7-8.920%-
Last 10 (10)34.643.077.6-8.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.079.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.846.082.8-9.216%-
vs Similar (8)37.839.277.0-1.538%-
vs Weaker (3)46.349.095.3-2.733%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.3
51.1%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.2
33.9%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.817.4
73.1%
72.8%17.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.5
46.7%
52.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.6
26.2%
32.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.9
75.7%
72.8%15.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLLLWWWWLL
Rio Claro
WWWWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#15
+2.2
Net rating
-9.3
97.4
Offensive rating
89.0
95.2
Defensive rating
98.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
43.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
26.2%
71.9%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 89.0Defence95.2 · 98.3Shooting51.0% · 43.9%3-point %33.9% · 26.2%Ball care15.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds34.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Minas   ■ Rio Claro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Rio Claro wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Rio Claro v Minas74-108
23/03/23Rio Claro v Minas79-97
08/12/22Minas v Rio Claro90-61
05/03/22Rio Claro v Minas75-78
04/12/21Minas v Rio Claro89-61
22/01/20Minas v Rio Claro104-71
22/10/19Rio Claro v Minas89-90
23/03/16Minas v Rio Claro77-72
20/12/15Rio Claro v Minas67-77
20/03/15Rio Claro v Minas73-68
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26HBrasilia92-91
12/02/26AFranca82-100
10/02/26ABauru90-105
06/02/26HBoca Juniors67-77
04/02/26HAguada94-62
21/01/26HPato75-67
19/01/26ASao Jose95-91
16/01/26HAguada95-75
15/01/26ABoca Juniors77-92
10/01/26AMogi76-90
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/26HFlamengo93-87 OT
05/02/26HUniao Corinthians82-77
03/02/26HCaxias do Sul79-73
20/01/26AOsasco77-75
17/01/26APinheiros65-93
09/01/26HBrasilia60-78
29/12/25AFranca74-82
22/12/25ABauru68-84
15/12/25ACorinthians Paulista57-67
12/12/25ASao Jose64-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW77%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayWLWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%85%69%
Points / game86.785.088.4
Allowed / game80.977.983.9
Point differential+5.8+7.1+4.5
Avg total167.6162.9172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%23%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW32%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %32%50%15%
Points / game76.686.867.2
Allowed / game86.789.084.5
Point differential-10.0-2.2-17.3
Avg total163.3175.8151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2722581%89.474.6+14.7
2 Pinheiros2621581%86.274.7+11.5
3 Flamengo2621581%87.176.7+10.4
4 Minas2620677%86.780.9+5.8
5 Brasilia2719870%81.972.1+9.7
6 Corinthians Paulista2719870%83.177.4+5.7
7 Sao Jose27171063%82.379.1+3.2
8 Paulistano26161062%80.776.6+4.1
9 Bauru27151256%78.978.1+0.8
10 Mogi27141352%75.869.9+5.9
11 Unifacisa26131350%80.079.7+0.4
12 Uniao Corinthians26131350%79.081.5-2.5
13 Caxias do Sul26111542%72.277.2-5.1
14 Cruzeiro2581732%78.385.1-6.8
15 Rio Claro2581732%76.686.7-10.0
16 Pato2772026%73.679.3-5.8
17 Cearense2762122%77.086.9-9.8
18 Botafogo2652119%71.783.0-11.2
19 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
20 Vasco2742315%69.379.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minas261715271398
Rio Claro221825201095
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