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Minas vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 88-86 (OT)
20-21 16-16 17-13 22-25 13-11
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.0
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Sao Jose
Brazil
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game62.0
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Sao Jose
05 Dec 2026
MINA v SAO
upcoming
20 Oct 2025
MINA88
SAO 86
21 Oct 2024
MINA91
SAO 64
25 Mar 2024
MINA73
SAO 56
23 Nov 2022
MINA104
SAO 53
27 Feb 2020
MINA124
SAO 119
16 Jan 2019
MINA75
SAO 80
04 Dec 2015
MINA91
SAO 84
21 Jan 2015
MINA91
SAO 76
21 Nov 2013
MINA87
SAO 90
22 Apr 2013
MINA59
SAO 75
16 Apr 2013
MINA70
SAO 68
05 Jan 2013
MINA97
SAO 77
28 Jan 2012
MINA85
SAO 80
23 Jan 2011
MINA72
SAO 98
03 Apr 2009
MINA83
SAO 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 74
H12/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
83-63
83
63
+20
82avg 74
H14/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
74-59
74
59
+15
77avg 74
A23/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
63avg 74
H26/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
57avg 74
H28/05
NBB
Franca
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
54avg 74
A07/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
67avg 74
H12/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
54avg 74
H14/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
52avg 74
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 74
H18/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
20-16
20-30
28-19
23-17
20-25
17-10
23-11
18-17
18-13
23-18
15-11
19-13
16-19
15-24
23-13
18-11
24-16
9-20
19-18
19-23
19-18
15-11
16-13
17-30
19-17
13-29
29-18
17-24
16-14
16-20
24-25
21-23
21-22
27-20
4-21
23-20
21-22
12-20
27-19
150.3Avg total
76.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.274.1150.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)75.281.8157.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)78.379.8158.2-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)78.869.7148.5+9.083%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
71avg 73
H31/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
70avg 73
H02/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
63avg 73
A09/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 73
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 73
H18/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 73
H23/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 73
A26/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
67avg 73
A28/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
72avg 73
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
85-62
85
62
+23
83avg 73
A18/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
16-16
26-18
22-13
18-18
16-13
24-21
20-14
17-27
22-16
18-13
14-15
20-19
19-20
17-15
21-19
23-25
23-17
16-30
15-17
16-17
14-25
26-18
19-25
19-25
18-24
25-23
21-17
17-17
20-17
23-21
21-23
28-29
19-25
18-20
18-14
17-18
25-10
16-15
27-19
157.7Avg total
79.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.977.8157.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)81.480.4161.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)85.091.7176.7-6.767%
vs Similar (19)80.380.2160.5+0.147%
vs Weaker (8)82.471.8154.1+10.675%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
MinasSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H12/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H28/05
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H12/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/10
NBB
75.8Avg total
38.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.875.9+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.236.776.9+3.567%-
Last 30 away (12)37.437.074.4+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.175.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.681.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.041.881.8-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.935.674.5+3.358%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H02/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A09/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A26/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A28/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A18/10
NBB
78.9Avg total
38.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.378.4+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.739.481.1+2.471%-
Last 30 away (16)38.637.476.1+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.278.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.480.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.341.382.7+0.067%-
vs Similar (19)40.139.579.6+0.663%-
vs Weaker (8)39.534.574.0+5.062%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.9
48.9%
52.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.3
27.5%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.514.9
69.3%
72.8%14.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.7
48.7%
52.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.610.9
32.4%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.312.8
69.9%
72.8%12.8
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLLLWWWWWW
Sao Jose
WLWLLLWLWW
#3
League position
#9
+4.0
Net rating
+2.8
105.1
Offensive rating
104.6
101.0
Defensive rating
101.8
45.4%
Effective FG%
48.7%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.5%
3-point %
32.4%
57.3%
Assist %
62.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 104.6Defence101.0 · 101.8Shooting45.4% · 48.7%3-point %27.5% · 32.4%Ball care13.8% · 15.1%Off. rebounds33.5% · 28.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Minas   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
20/01/25Sao Jose v Minas98-88
21/10/24Minas v Sao Jose91-64
25/03/24Minas v Sao Jose73-56
08/11/23Sao Jose v Minas67-77
30/01/23Sao Jose v Minas89-96
23/11/22Minas v Sao Jose104-53
27/02/20Minas v Sao Jose124-119 OT
07/12/19Sao Jose v Minas93-109
16/01/19Minas v Sao Jose75-80
22/10/18Sao Jose v Minas62-71
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HCorinthians Paulista83-81
18/06/25AFranca73-86
14/06/25HFranca73-83
12/06/25HFranca78-94
07/06/25AFranca69-65
28/05/25HBauru70-65
26/05/25HBauru73-69
23/05/25ABauru74-59
14/05/25HVasco83-63
12/05/25HVasco86-76
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25ACruzeiro85-62
02/05/25HVasco83-88
28/04/25AVasco81-78
26/04/25AVasco83-89
23/04/25HVasco75-85
18/04/25HPato77-89
11/04/25ACaxias do Sul77-73
09/04/25AUniao Corinthians76-77 OT
02/04/25HUnifacisa78-66
31/03/25HCearense84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+23.0-+23.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca110100%105.060.0+45.0
2 Sao Jose110100%85.062.0+23.0
3 Flamengo110100%102.086.0+16.0
4 Cearense110100%88.078.0+10.0
5 Minas110100%83.081.0+2.0
6 Pinheiros110100%88.086.0+2.0
7 Corinthians Paulista1010%81.083.0-2.0
8 Rio Claro1010%86.088.0-2.0
9 Vasco1010%78.088.0-10.0
10 Bauru1010%86.0102.0-16.0
11 Cruzeiro1010%62.085.0-23.0
12 Osasco1010%60.0105.0-45.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minas201617221388
Sao Jose211613251186
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