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Vasco vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 78-81
17-17 17-20 21-23 23-21
Position#7
Record20-16
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#10
Record17-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game78.6
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco v Sao Jose
11 Feb 2026
VASC72
SAO 74
28 Apr 2025
VASC78
SAO 81
26 Apr 2025
VASC89
SAO 83
29 Dec 2024
VASC69
SAO 75
05 Mar 2024
VASC92
SAO 59
29 Nov 2018
VASC81
SAO 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
90avg 72
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
77avg 72
H13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 72
A27/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
78-66
78
66
+12
80avg 72
H01/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
68avg 72
A05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
64avg 72
A07/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
66avg 72
A10/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
56avg 72
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 72
A23/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
89-83
89
83
+6
89avg 72
H26/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
18-16
31-17
16-30
18-20
23-13
19-19
20-14
19-16
22-16
15-29
22-23
14-19
24-12
20-16
20-19
20-11
20-29
19-26
20-11
15-22
23-19
19-16
12-19
15-18
11-21
21-20
19-32
11-28
17-18
18-13
23-16
17-16
25-14
18-26
25-19
25-19
24-18
23-25
17-21
155.2Avg total
78.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)77.076.3153.3+0.856%
Season at home (18)79.374.8154.2+4.567%
Season away (18)74.777.7152.4-3.044%
Last 10 (10)78.177.1155.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)75.680.0155.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.680.6153.2-8.020%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.479.2159.6+1.263%
vs Weaker (5)81.475.6157.0+5.860%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
L
68-71
68
71
-3
59avg 72
A03/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 72
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
60avg 72
A17/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
71avg 72
H31/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
70avg 72
H02/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
63avg 72
A09/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 72
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 72
H18/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 72
H23/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 72
A26/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
14-17
16-15
11-21
16-12
20-16
22-23
19-21
15-25
22-21
18-23
25-20
20-24
16-16
26-18
22-13
18-18
16-13
24-21
20-14
17-27
22-16
18-13
14-15
20-19
19-20
17-15
21-19
23-25
23-17
16-30
15-17
16-17
14-25
26-18
19-25
19-25
18-24
25-23
21-17
155.7Avg total
77.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.278.6156.8-0.447%
Season at home (18)79.178.1157.2+1.056%
Season away (18)77.379.1156.4-1.839%
Last 10 (10)77.578.2155.7-0.740%
Last 5 (5)77.682.6160.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.288.0173.2-2.875%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.179.0158.1+0.147%
vs Weaker (7)82.073.1155.1+8.971%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
VascoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H01/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A23/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H26/04
NBB
74.4Avg total
38.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.475.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.436.776.1+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)36.038.074.0-2.027%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.074.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.675.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.037.471.4-3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.437.675.9+0.853%-
vs Weaker (5)38.235.473.6+2.860%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A17/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H02/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A09/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A26/04
NBB
77.0Avg total
37.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.777.0+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.177.3+3.073%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.276.7+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.577.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.081.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.540.080.5+0.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.138.077.1+1.163%-
vs Weaker (7)39.135.474.6+3.757%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.4
52.7%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.4
33.7%
33.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.113.9
72.8%
72.7%13.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.5
47.7%
50.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.6
31.6%
33.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.711.5
68.9%
72.7%11.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WWLLLWWLWW
Sao Jose
LLLWLWWLWL
#7
League position
#10
+0.8
Net rating
-1.7
102.7
Offensive rating
101.3
101.9
Defensive rating
103.0
51.7%
Effective FG%
47.6%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.7%
3-point %
31.6%
70.9%
Assist %
65.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 101.3Defence101.9 · 103.0Shooting51.7% · 47.6%3-point %33.7% · 31.6%Ball care18.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds23.8% · 29.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Vasco   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vasco wins
3
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
26/04/25Vasco v Sao Jose89-83
23/04/25Sao Jose v Vasco75-85
29/12/24Vasco v Sao Jose69-75
15/10/24Sao Jose v Vasco59-68
05/03/24Vasco v Sao Jose92-59
27/11/23Sao Jose v Vasco83-71
26/02/19Sao Jose v Vasco82-68
29/11/18Vasco v Sao Jose81-77
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HSao Jose89-83
23/04/25ASao Jose85-75
17/04/25ABauru69-75
10/04/25AFranca66-91
07/04/25AMinas69-76
05/04/25ABrasilia79-77
01/04/25HPaulistano78-66
27/03/25AFlamengo78-84
13/03/25HBotafogo80-66
08/03/25HSao Paulo88-78
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25AVasco83-89
23/04/25HVasco75-85
18/04/25HPato77-89
11/04/25ACaxias do Sul77-73
09/04/25AUniao Corinthians76-77 OT
02/04/25HUnifacisa78-66
31/03/25HCearense84-71
17/03/25APinheiros80-89
07/03/25ACorinthians Paulista77-72
03/03/25ABotafogo68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game77.079.374.7
Allowed / game76.374.877.7
Point differential+0.8+4.5-3.0
Avg total153.3154.2152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%39%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayWLLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %47%56%39%
Points / game78.279.177.3
Allowed / game78.678.179.1
Point differential-0.4+1.0-1.8
Avg total156.8157.2156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)67% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3530586%82.370.9+11.4
2 Flamengo3627975%84.875.5+9.3
3 Franca3526974%84.976.1+8.9
4 Pinheiros37211657%76.674.3+2.3
5 Vasco36201656%77.076.3+0.8
6 Brasilia35191654%80.679.9+0.7
7 Bauru37201754%78.378.0+0.2
8 Corinthians Paulista35181751%82.180.1+2.0
9 Uniao Corinthians35181751%78.580.9-2.4
10 Sao Jose36171947%78.278.6-0.4
11 Paulistano37172046%77.475.9+1.4
12 Unifacisa37172046%74.975.3-0.5
13 Sao Paulo35142140%76.179.2-3.1
14 Pato35132237%81.883.7-1.9
15 Caxias do Sul36122433%73.881.4-7.6
16 Mogi35112431%74.481.3-6.9
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo34102429%73.182.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1717212378
Sao Jose1720232181
← all games of the day
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