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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 102-104
23-23 20-21 28-33 31-27
Position#17
Record35-34
FormWWLLW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game115.7
vs
Position#3
Record47-22
FormLLWWL
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game112.3
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics
28 Feb 2027
MIN v BOS
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
MIN119
BOS115
02 Jan 2025
MIN115
BOS118
06 Nov 2023
MIN114
BOS109
15 Mar 2023
MIN102
BOS104
27 Dec 2021
MIN108
BOS103
15 May 2021
MIN108
BOS124
21 Feb 2020
MIN117
BOS127
01 Dec 2018
MIN109
BOS118
08 Mar 2018
MIN109
BOS117
21 Nov 2016
MIN93
BOS99
22 Feb 2016
MIN124
BOS122
28 Jan 2015
MIN110
BOS98
16 Nov 2013
MIN106
BOS88
01 Apr 2013
MIN110
BOS100
30 Mar 2012
MIN79
BOS100
27 Mar 2011
MIN82
BOS85
04 Nov 2009
MIN90
BOS92
21 Nov 2008
MIN78
BOS95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
124-121
124
121
+3
121avg 108
A14/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
106-114
106
114
-8
96avg 108
H17/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
113-121
113
121
-8
104avg 108
H25/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
104-109
104
109
-5
92avg 108
A27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 108
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
106avg 108
A04/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
138-134
138
134
+4
139avg 108
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
94-117
94
117
-23
75avg 108
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
123-124 OT
123
124
-1
113avg 108
H11/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
136-115
136
115
+21
136avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
32-31
35-28
24-39
36-21
23-30
28-25
19-38
32-37
32-35
25-24
24-25
34-25
23-34
30-19
17-31
26-33
32-23
28-19
22-26
33-34
23-21
27-21
27-26
36-30
38-34
31-38
33-32
27-24
18-34
23-29
26-30
33-26
35-34
20-37
26-17
40-29
36-23
30-33
30-30
231.4Avg total
115.6Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)115.7115.7231.4-0.051%
Season at home (36)116.6115.3231.9+1.356%
Season away (33)114.8116.2231.0-1.545%
Last 10 (10)115.6115.8231.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)120.2118.4238.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)117.0117.0234.0+0.050%
vs Similar (21)118.3116.0234.3+2.262%
vs Weaker (5)112.4115.0227.4-2.640%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
142-138 OT
142
138
+4
139avg 111
A24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
110-107
110
107
+3
101avg 111
A26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
94-109
94
109
-15
81avg 111
A28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
117-113
117
113
+4
116avg 111
H02/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
105-115
105
115
-10
102avg 111
H04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
129-131 OT
129
131
-2
115avg 111
H06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
114-118 OT
114
118
-4
101avg 111
A07/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
115-93
115
93
+22
108avg 111
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
134-125
134
125
+9
132avg 111
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
109-111
109
111
-2
95avg 111
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-31
34-27
32-39
25-28
28-30
22-26
30-22
30-29
15-27
31-33
29-28
19-21
26-28
29-24
41-26
21-35
37-15
27-40
20-34
21-26
34-31
27-23
26-34
26-25
33-26
35-30
24-22
17-31
35-28
25-17
34-27
21-21
37-38
34-23
30-28
33-36
29-31
26-31
25-23
29-26
232.9Avg total
116.9Scored
116.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)117.7112.3230.1+5.468%
Season at home (35)120.7111.9232.6+8.774%
Season away (34)114.7112.8227.4+1.962%
Last 10 (10)116.9116.0232.9+0.950%
Last 5 (5)120.2115.6235.8+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)114.6115.2229.8-0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)117.2110.1227.4+7.176%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A14/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H17/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H25/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A04/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H11/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
76-52
76
52
+24
A13/03
NBA
120.3Avg total
62.2Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.8118.7+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.157.4116.5+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)60.960.4121.3+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)62.258.1120.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)63.857.8121.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)55.057.8112.8-2.850%-
vs Similar (21)61.258.4119.6+2.962%-
vs Weaker (5)58.461.4119.8-3.00%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H02/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A07/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A14/03
NBA
115.7Avg total
59.8Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.155.2115.4+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.352.7113.0+7.780%-
Last 30 away (15)59.957.8117.7+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)59.855.9115.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)63.055.6118.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)58.155.9114.0+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)61.055.0116.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.732.0
56.4%
54.5%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.0
36.5%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.715.6
68.7%
78.1%15.6
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.227.4
55.7%
54.5%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.915.5
37.0%
35.8%46.5
🏀 Free throws19.915.6
78.4%
78.1%15.6
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLLLW
Boston Celtics
LWWLLLWLWW
#17
League position
#3
-0.2
Net rating
+0.9
111.9
Offensive rating
113.9
112.1
Defensive rating
113.1
55.8%
Effective FG%
55.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.5%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.5%
3-point %
37.0%
61.1%
Assist %
59.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 113.9Defence112.1 · 113.1Shooting55.8% · 55.6%3-point %36.5% · 37.0%Ball care13.2% · 12.5%Off. rebounds20.9% · 22.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/23AAtlanta Hawks136-115
11/03/23HBrooklyn Nets123-124 OT
08/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers94-117
05/03/23ASacramento Kings138-134
04/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers110-102
01/03/23ALos Angeles Clippers108-101
27/02/23AGolden State Warriors104-109
25/02/23HCharlotte Hornets113-121
17/02/23HWashington Wizards106-114
14/02/23ADallas Mavericks124-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/23AHouston Rockets109-111
12/03/23AAtlanta Hawks134-125
09/03/23HPortland Trail Blazers115-93
07/03/23ACleveland Cavaliers114-118 OT
06/03/23HNew York Knicks129-131 OT
04/03/23HBrooklyn Nets105-115
02/03/23HCleveland Cavaliers117-113
28/02/23ANew York Knicks94-109
26/02/23APhiladelphia 76ers110-107
24/02/23AIndiana Pacers142-138 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW51%
HomeWLLLL56%
AwayLWWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693633
Win %51%56%45%
Points / game115.7116.6114.8
Allowed / game115.7115.3116.2
Point differential-0.0+1.3-1.5
Avg total231.4231.9231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%22%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)57% (7)45% (11)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL68%
HomeWWLLW74%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %68%74%62%
Points / game117.7120.7114.7
Allowed / game112.3111.9112.8
Point differential+5.4+8.7+1.9
Avg total230.1232.6227.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%46%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)50% (10)60% (10)
Overtime %16%17%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks69501972%116.1112.0+4.1
2 Boston Celtics69472268%117.7112.3+5.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers68462268%115.1110.7+4.4
4 Denver Nuggets69462367%116.8113.2+3.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers72442861%112.1106.8+5.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies68412760%115.7111.9+3.7
7 Sacramento Kings67402760%121.3118.6+2.7
8 New York Knicks71413058%115.1112.3+2.8
9 Brooklyn Nets69393057%113.8113.1+0.7
10 Phoenix Suns69373254%113.2111.4+1.8
11 Miami Heat71383354%109.1109.6-0.5
12 Golden State Warriors69363352%118.2117.5+0.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers69363352%112.5112.5+0.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves69353451%115.7115.7-0.0
15 Oklahoma City Thunder69343549%117.9116.2+1.7
16 Dallas Mavericks69343549%113.5113.1+0.4
17 Atlanta Hawks69343549%117.2117.5-0.3
18 Los Angeles Lakers69343549%116.7117.1-0.4
19 New Orleans Pelicans69333648%113.9113.5+0.4
20 Toronto Raptors69333648%112.6112.1+0.4
21 Utah Jazz69333648%117.2117.2-0.0
22 Washington Wizards69323746%113.0113.2-0.2
23 Chicago Bulls67313646%113.2112.4+0.7
24 Portland Trail Blazers69313845%114.4115.9-1.5
25 Indiana Pacers69313845%115.5117.9-2.4
26 Orlando Magic69284141%111.6114.6-3.0
27 Charlotte Hornets71224931%111.6117.5-5.8
28 San Antonio Spurs68185026%112.3121.9-9.6
29 Houston Rockets68165224%110.3118.3-8.0
30 Detroit Pistons70165423%111.2118.6-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves23202831102
Boston Celtics23213327104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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