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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 115-118
35-28 16-34 34-29 30-27
Position#7
Record17-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game109.2
Allowed / game107.4
Minnesota Timberwolves
USA
vs
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
Position#3
Record24-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game119.6
Allowed / game108.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics
28 Feb 2027
MIN v BOS
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
MIN119
BOS115
02 Jan 2025
MIN115
BOS118
06 Nov 2023
MIN114
BOS109
15 Mar 2023
MIN102
BOS104
27 Dec 2021
MIN108
BOS103
15 May 2021
MIN108
BOS124
21 Feb 2020
MIN117
BOS127
01 Dec 2018
MIN109
BOS118
08 Mar 2018
MIN109
BOS117
21 Nov 2016
MIN93
BOS99
22 Feb 2016
MIN124
BOS122
28 Jan 2015
MIN110
BOS98
16 Nov 2013
MIN106
BOS88
01 Apr 2013
MIN110
BOS100
30 Mar 2012
MIN79
BOS100
27 Mar 2011
MIN82
BOS85
04 Nov 2009
MIN90
BOS92
21 Nov 2008
MIN78
BOS95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
97-87
97
87
+10
84avg 105
H14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
106-92
106
92
+14
95avg 105
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-133
107
133
-26
98avg 105
H20/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
103-113
103
113
-10
95avg 105
H22/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
104-117
104
117
-13
99avg 105
A24/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
105-99
105
99
+6
99avg 105
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
113-112
113
112
+1
106avg 105
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
112-110
112
110
+2
102avg 105
H30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-113
105
113
-8
102avg 105
A01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
28-28
32-44
16-21
32-23
18-21
27-22
20-21
28-19
24-18
24-33
30-22
33-32
18-41
23-31
33-29
15-26
22-24
38-29
28-34
19-35
36-17
30-30
19-35
26-24
31-16
33-28
15-31
22-21
35-31
19-32
37-28
25-33
32-12
25-37
30-28
24-21
28-25
23-43
30-24
214.8Avg total
105.8Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)109.2107.4216.6+1.853%
Season at home (15)109.1106.1215.1+3.060%
Season away (17)109.3108.5217.8+0.847%
Last 10 (10)105.8109.0214.8-3.250%
Last 5 (5)107.8110.2218.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)105.0110.0215.0-5.00%
vs Similar (11)106.6103.1209.7+3.564%
vs Weaker (17)111.2109.2220.5+2.053%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
121-127
121
127
-6
104avg 112
H08/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
123-99
123
99
+24
127avg 112
H13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-98
112
98
+14
105avg 112
A15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
108-117
108
117
-9
91avg 112
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
123-98
123
98
+25
120avg 112
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
104-108
104
108
-4
88avg 112
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
114-118
114
118
-4
105avg 112
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
142-105
142
105
+37
142avg 112
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
114-123
114
123
-9
102avg 112
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
125-71
125
71
+54
125avg 112
H31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
27-35
35-28
32-33
27-16
32-28
34-24
30-31
34-23
33-29
24-20
21-26
25-21
32-33
29-28
22-35
28-28
33-26
32-23
30-21
32-21
26-22
21-36
25-29
25-30
33-36
24-16
32-36
39-22
28-23
36-33
39-27
29-27
29-38
33-33
23-25
23-12
22-23
45-18
35-18
225.0Avg total
118.6Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)119.6108.9228.5+10.773%
Season at home (19)119.1108.9227.9+10.268%
Season away (14)120.4108.9229.4+11.579%
Last 10 (10)118.6106.4225.0+12.250%
Last 5 (5)119.8105.0224.8+14.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)115.5116.0231.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)119.2108.3227.6+10.971%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H20/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H22/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A24/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A01/01
NBA
101.4Avg total
52.6Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.651.9106.5+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.253.8108.0+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)55.050.0105.0+5.060%-
Last 10 (10)52.648.8101.4+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)55.647.0102.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)52.050.5102.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (11)53.550.5103.9+3.073%-
vs Weaker (17)55.653.0108.6+2.647%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H08/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
67-52
67
52
+15
A15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H31/12
NBA
110.8Avg total
58.4Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.654.5114.1+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.052.8110.8+5.261%-
Last 30 away (12)62.157.0119.1+5.158%-
Last 10 (10)58.452.4110.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)57.250.8108.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)57.049.5106.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)59.854.8114.6+5.061%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 105.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.124.5
49.9%
54.3%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.914.6
37.5%
35.9%43.8
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
77.8%13.0
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 118.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.7
57.8%
54.3%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.917.4
35.6%
35.9%52.2
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.9%
77.8%15.0
They take 93.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 48.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWLLLWWL
Boston Celtics
WLWLLWLWWL
#7
League position
#3
-3.2
Net rating
+12.0
107.0
Offensive rating
116.5
110.2
Defensive rating
104.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.1%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.5%
3-point %
35.6%
62.7%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 116.5Defence110.2 · 104.5Shooting52.7% · 55.5%3-point %37.5% · 35.6%Ball care14.6% · 12.1%Off. rebounds24.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.19 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
8
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
24/11/24Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves107-105
11/01/24Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves127-120 OT
07/11/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics114-109 OT
16/03/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics102-104
24/12/22Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves121-109
27/03/22Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves134-112
28/12/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics108-103
15/05/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics108-124
09/04/21Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves145-136 OT
22/02/20Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics117-127
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-113
30/12/24HSan Antonio Spurs112-110
28/12/24AHouston Rockets113-112
25/12/24ADallas Mavericks105-99
24/12/24AAtlanta Hawks104-117
22/12/24HGolden State Warriors103-113
20/12/24HNew York Knicks107-133
16/12/24ASan Antonio Spurs106-92
14/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers97-87
09/12/24AGolden State Warriors106-114
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24HToronto Raptors125-71
29/12/24HIndiana Pacers114-123
28/12/24HIndiana Pacers142-105
25/12/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-118
24/12/24AOrlando Magic104-108
22/12/24AChicago Bulls123-98
20/12/24HChicago Bulls108-117
15/12/24AWashington Wizards112-98
13/12/24HDetroit Pistons123-99
08/12/24HMemphis Grizzlies121-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWLWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %53%60%47%
Points / game109.2109.1109.3
Allowed / game107.4106.1108.5
Point differential+1.8+3.0+0.8
Avg total216.6215.1217.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW73%
HomeLLWLW68%
AwayWLWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %73%68%79%
Points / game119.6119.1120.4
Allowed / game108.9108.9108.9
Point differential+10.7+10.2+11.5
Avg total228.5227.9229.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%42%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %9%11%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3329488%122.4110.5+11.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3025583%115.4103.6+11.8
3 Boston Celtics3324973%119.6108.9+10.7
4 New York Knicks3324973%118.4109.7+8.7
5 Houston Rockets31211068%114.1106.7+7.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies34231168%123.2114.1+9.1
7 Dallas Mavericks33201361%117.0111.2+5.7
8 Denver Nuggets32191359%121.1117.6+3.5
9 Orlando Magic34201459%105.5103.3+2.3
10 Los Angeles Clippers33191458%108.8107.8+1.1
11 Los Angeles Lakers32181456%111.9114.3-2.4
12 Miami Heat31171455%111.3108.7+2.6
13 Minnesota Timberwolves32171553%109.2107.4+1.8
14 Atlanta Hawks32171553%118.7120.3-1.6
15 Milwaukee Bucks29151452%112.7111.8+1.0
16 Golden State Warriors31161552%112.2111.2+1.0
17 San Antonio Spurs33171652%111.5111.2+0.3
18 Indiana Pacers34161847%114.6116.9-2.2
19 Phoenix Suns32151747%112.2114.0-1.8
20 Detroit Pistons33151845%112.0114.6-2.6
21 Sacramento Kings34151944%114.8113.5+1.2
22 Chicago Bulls34151944%117.2121.1-3.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers31131842%107.2110.4-3.2
24 Brooklyn Nets33122136%108.0113.3-5.3
25 Portland Trail Blazers32112134%108.1117.3-9.3
26 Toronto Raptors3482624%111.6119.1-7.4
27 Charlotte Hornets3272522%106.2112.8-6.7
28 Utah Jazz3272522%110.7119.8-9.0
29 Washington Wizards3162519%108.9121.9-13.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans3452915%106.7118.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves35163430115
Boston Celtics28342927118
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