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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 121-124
23-33 31-32 28-35 39-24
Position#21
Record31-27
FormLWWWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game112.2
Dallas Mavericks
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
Position#17
Record30-29
FormLWLWL
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
L
126-127
126
127
-1
117avg 101
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
99-95
99
95
+4
91avg 101
A27/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
100-108
100
108
-8
90avg 101
A29/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
111-105
111
105
+6
99avg 101
H31/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
111-106
111
106
+5
93avg 101
H03/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
113-119
113
119
-6
102avg 101
A05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
124-111
124
111
+13
120avg 101
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
110avg 101
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
122-114
122
114
+8
120avg 101
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
128-133 OT
128
133
-5
122avg 101
A12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
32-33
37-34
29-28
32-32
22-16
22-21
23-26
23-34
25-32
28-18
24-24
30-27
23-30
30-27
28-21
40-22
30-21
25-33
16-30
23-40
35-33
28-29
27-17
25-37
35-25
29-23
35-26
41-25
19-27
21-26
29-26
45-25
29-31
27-31
21-27
32-34
32-28
24-24
26-28
226.6Avg total
114.4Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)112.9112.2225.2+0.753%
Season at home (28)113.7109.0222.8+4.768%
Season away (30)112.2115.2227.4-3.040%
Last 10 (10)114.4112.2226.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)119.4116.2235.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.0112.0209.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)114.2113.2227.4+1.055%
vs Weaker (8)120.1117.8237.9+2.475%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
111-102
111
102
+9
100avg 109
A26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
111-100
111
100
+11
111avg 109
H28/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
117-110
117
110
+7
115avg 109
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
111-118 OT
111
118
-7
102avg 109
H31/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
119-114 OT
119
114
+5
104avg 109
H02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
120-127
120
127
-7
109avg 109
H04/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
128-98
128
98
+30
123avg 109
H06/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
112-146
112
146
-34
102avg 109
A08/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
143-118
143
118
+25
145avg 109
A09/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
107-128
107
128
-21
96avg 109
A11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
20-18
39-21
26-29
38-31
24-22
25-24
24-23
29-21
28-38
33-22
27-29
17-24
36-27
28-27
22-25
32-34
30-37
20-22
28-17
34-27
23-37
18-26
45-37
32-21
31-22
31-28
34-27
19-49
29-30
27-31
37-36
33-31
44-36
40-21
26-30
32-31
26-38
28-34
21-25
234.0Avg total
117.9Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)115.7115.7231.4+0.051%
Season at home (32)117.5114.8232.3+2.762%
Season away (27)113.6116.8230.4-3.237%
Last 10 (10)117.9116.1234.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)122.0123.4245.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)116.8116.7233.5+0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (19)119.0115.6234.6+3.458%
vs Weaker (5)110.6114.0224.6-3.440%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A27/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
48-66
48
66
-18
A29/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H31/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
70-43
70
43
+27
H03/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A12/02
NBA
118.5Avg total
60.1Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.057.8114.7-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.9114.5+2.750%-
Last 30 away (18)55.959.0114.9-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)60.158.4118.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)63.261.0124.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.555.5103.0-8.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.057.5114.5-0.545%-
vs Weaker (8)59.159.0118.1+0.150%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H28/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H31/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H04/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H06/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-79
48
79
-31
A08/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A09/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A11/02
NBA
119.1Avg total
58.3Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.957.0115.9+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.655.2114.8+4.367%-
Last 30 away (12)57.959.8117.7-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)58.360.8119.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)60.664.4125.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.856.3112.2-0.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)60.057.3117.3+2.763%-
vs Weaker (5)58.457.0115.4+1.420%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.725.3
56.6%
54.5%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.314.9
37.9%
35.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws24.619.1
77.6%
78.1%19.1
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.529.9
58.1%
54.5%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.614.1
37.5%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.8
72.8%
78.1%15.8
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWWWLWWLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLWLWLWWW
#21
League position
#17
+2.2
Net rating
+1.7
116.9
Offensive rating
112.0
114.7
Defensive rating
110.3
56.7%
Effective FG%
57.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.9%
3-point %
37.5%
59.2%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 112.0Defence114.7 · 110.3Shooting56.7% · 57.3%3-point %37.9% · 37.5%Ball care12.0% · 14.3%Off. rebounds20.9% · 18.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
5
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
22/12/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks99-104
20/12/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks116-106
26/03/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks116-95
22/03/22Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves110-108
22/12/21Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves114-102
20/12/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks111-105
17/05/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks136-121
25/03/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks108-128
09/02/21Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves127-122
18/12/20Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves127-129 OT
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23ASacramento Kings128-133 OT
11/02/23ASacramento Kings122-114
09/02/23ALos Angeles Clippers110-104
07/02/23AUtah Jazz124-111
05/02/23AGolden State Warriors113-119
03/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans111-106
31/01/23HDetroit Pistons111-105
29/01/23AUtah Jazz100-108
27/01/23APhoenix Suns99-95
25/01/23HWashington Wizards126-127
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23AMemphis Grizzlies107-128
09/02/23AUtah Jazz143-118
08/02/23ADenver Nuggets112-146
06/02/23HDenver Nuggets128-98
04/02/23HOrlando Magic120-127
02/02/23HGolden State Warriors119-114 OT
31/01/23HSacramento Kings111-118 OT
29/01/23HSacramento Kings117-110
28/01/23HMemphis Grizzlies111-100
26/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans111-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayLWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %53%68%40%
Points / game112.9113.7112.2
Allowed / game112.2109.0115.2
Point differential+0.7+4.7-3.0
Avg total225.2222.8227.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won65% (23)73% (11)58% (12)
Overtime %12%7%17%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL51%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLWLWL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593227
Win %51%62%37%
Points / game115.7117.5113.6
Allowed / game115.7114.8116.8
Point differential+0.0+2.7-3.2
Avg total231.4232.3230.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics57411672%117.6111.4+6.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks56391770%114.6111.6+3.0
3 Denver Nuggets58401869%117.1112.8+4.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers56371966%114.3110.4+3.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers60382263%111.8105.9+5.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies56342261%116.1112.2+3.9
7 Brooklyn Nets57332458%114.0112.4+1.6
8 Sacramento Kings56322457%119.6117.1+2.5
9 Miami Heat58322655%108.4108.2+0.2
10 New York Knicks59322754%114.4112.5+1.9
11 Phoenix Suns58312753%112.7111.3+1.4
12 Dallas Mavericks58312753%112.9112.2+0.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers59312853%111.0111.0+0.0
14 New Orleans Pelicans58302852%115.1113.4+1.7
15 Minnesota Timberwolves59302951%115.7115.7+0.0
16 Golden State Warriors56282850%118.2118.1+0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks58292950%116.7116.7+0.0
18 Utah Jazz59293049%117.7117.2+0.4
19 Oklahoma City Thunder56272948%117.6116.6+1.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers56272948%114.9114.8+0.1
21 Washington Wizards55262947%113.2113.3-0.1
22 Toronto Raptors58273147%113.2112.4+0.7
23 Chicago Bulls57263146%113.3113.3-0.0
24 Los Angeles Lakers57263146%117.0118.3-1.3
25 Indiana Pacers59253442%114.5117.2-2.7
26 Orlando Magic58243441%110.9113.5-2.6
27 Charlotte Hornets59164327%112.4119.1-6.7
28 Detroit Pistons58154326%112.3119.7-7.4
29 San Antonio Spurs58144424%112.5122.7-10.2
30 Houston Rockets57134423%110.0117.9-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks23312839121
Minnesota Timberwolves33323524124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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